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@Revolving-Parka

#2,571,59286

0xc70acb92a240bdda1aaf41725a818a72a74b054b

90d· 312 markets · 312 tradesVol: $3,3362026-06-26T18:49
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

86
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 59%15/20
Profit Factor 1.42x8/15
Sharpe 1.08615/15
Sortino 20010.00210/10
EV $+0.1739/10
HHI 6410/10
Profit Days 91%10/10
DD/Peak 5%10/10

Summary

Revolving-Parka is a moderately active trader on Polymarket with 312 trades over 10 days, reflecting consistent engagement. Despite a net loss of $190.99, their Smart Score of 86/100 places them in the elite category, though their global PnL rank is relatively low at #2,571,592. Their total trading volume of $3,336 suggests a cautious capital deployment across many small positions.

The trader demonstrates a preference for diverse markets, having traded in 312 different markets without concentration. With a win rate of 59.2% and a profit factor of 1.42, Revolving-Parka exhibits a balanced risk profile, favoring steady, incremental gains over aggressive bets. The absence of sell orders and a Sharpe ratio of 1.09 indicate a strategy focused on holding positions rather than frequent flipping, supported by badges like Diamond Hands and Cool Head that imply disciplined, patient trading behavior.

Revolving-Parka’s strengths lie in consistency and emotional control, as evidenced by their upward equity trend and zero days of max drawdown duration. However, the negative net PnL and semi-bot score suggest that their strategy may not yet be fully optimized or automated, posing risks in scalability and adaptability. Their current approach may benefit from refinement to improve profitability while maintaining disciplined trading on Polymarket.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

4
Diamond Hands
0% sell
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
Consistent
10/11 days
Cool Head
DD 5%

Categories

1
CRYPTO#1,470,292$-191Vol: $3,336

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-191
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$3,336
Total Redeem
$1,442
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
312
total markets
Trades
312B / 0S
Daily Volume
$156
Account Age
90d
since Apr 17, 2026

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
59%
148W / 102L events
Realized PnL
$220
Win Rate
59%
148W / 102L
Profit Factor
1.42x
Avg Win
$5
Avg Loss
$-5

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $15 (7.1% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET$5

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$-5
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET$-5
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET$-5
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET$-5
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$-5
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET$-5
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET$-5
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$-5
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET$-5
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$-5

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
1.086
Sortino
inf
HHI
64
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.173
Kelly %
17.6%
Half-Kelly
8.8%
Top-1 market
5.9%
Top-5 markets
7.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
29.9
Active
Markets / Day
29.9
Active Hours
15/24
Extended
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
4s
between trades
Avg Gap
48.6m
between trades
Night Trading
7%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.99
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
24
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
13.0

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
57% < 5s — fast clicker/botSize CV 0.99 — diverse, typical for human7% at night — normal sleep pattern15/24 hours — normal hoursSession CV 0.43 — semi-mechanical30 trades/day — suspiciously high30 markets/day — mass coverage

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1
Single entry
<=1
312 entries
<=2
312 entries
<=5
312 entries
<=10
312 entries
<=20
312 entries
<=50
312 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)100%
High (>55c)0%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 53.7%

Other$213

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
312

Single bracket

<=1
312 brackets
<=2
312 brackets
<=3
312 brackets
<=4
312 brackets
<=5
312 brackets
<=8
312 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
4/17/2026, 9:28:10 PM1 trades$960 min
4/18/2026, 11:36:50 AM19 trades$934 min
4/18/2026, 5:24:36 PM18 trades$893 min
4/19/2026, 4:58:40 PM18 trades$882 min
4/19/2026, 7:59:48 PM17 trades$831 min
4/20/2026, 2:12:48 PM15 trades$741 min
4/20/2026, 5:56:56 PM15 trades$741 min
4/21/2026, 3:39:40 PM14 trades$691 min
4/21/2026, 9:50:38 PM14 trades$691 min
4/22/2026, 5:52:56 PM13 trades$642 min
4/22/2026, 8:23:20 PM12 trades$591 min
4/22/2026, 11:00:46 PM5 trades$250 min
4/23/2026, 5:45:56 AM12 trades$591 min
4/23/2026, 6:36:44 PM11 trades$541 min
4/23/2026, 8:34:40 PM7 trades$341 min
4/24/2026, 5:45:04 AM10 trades$491 min
4/24/2026, 9:15:42 PM10 trades$491 min
4/25/2026, 8:22:58 PM20 trades$982 min
4/25/2026, 10:44:50 PM10 trades$491 min
4/26/2026, 12:07:28 PM15 trades$742 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-18
04-19
04-20
04-21
04-22
04-23
04-24
04-25
04-26
04-27
04-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event