Polydata

@Rewarding-Softball

#21944

0x5ae14dc9e0cf9df72de8d873dcea05aacb799fad

85d· 133 markets · 5539 tradesVol: $20,337,2432026-06-26T23:30
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

44
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 51%10/20
Profit Factor 1.18x5/15
Sharpe 0.1212/15
Sortino 0.2833/10
EV $+6.10610/10
HHI 15610/10
Profit Days 43%3/10
DD/Peak 106%0/10

Summary

Rewarding-Softball is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, ranked #219 on the global profit and loss leaderboard. Over 26 days, they have executed 5,539 trades across 133 markets, generating a net profit of $776,555.82 on a total volume exceeding $20 million. Their smart score is average at 44/100, reflecting a balanced but not exceptional performance, with a Sharpe ratio of 0.12 indicating modest risk-adjusted returns.

This trader exhibits a high-frequency trading style with a relatively low win rate of 29.2% and a profit factor below 1 (0.63), suggesting that losses outweigh gains per trade. Rewarding-Softball tends to hold positions with minimal selling (only 1% sell rate) and shows a contrarian approach, as indicated by their badges, which may involve betting against popular sentiment. Their strategy appears to focus on maintaining exposure rather than quick exits, with no activity in weather markets and a semi-automated trading approach blending bot and manual inputs.

Rewarding-Softball’s key strengths include a substantial upward equity trend and the ability to generate significant profits despite a low win rate, leveraging a contrarian style that can capitalize on market inefficiencies. However, the low profit factor and Sharpe ratio, alongside a zero portfolio value and minimal sell activity, could signal potential risks such as overexposure or difficulty in realizing gains. Traders monitoring Rewarding-Softball on Polymarket should note both their resilience and the inherent volatility in their approach.

Badges

6
Profitable
PnL $+776,556
Contrarian
67% entries <$0.50
Diamond Hands
1% sell
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
Whale
$9,338,088
High Roller
$359,157/day

Categories

1
SPORTS#130$776,556Vol: $20,337,243

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$776,556
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$20,337,243
Total Redeem
$7,031,538
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
133
total markets
Trades
5483B / 56S
Daily Volume
$359,157
Account Age
85d
since Apr 3, 2026

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
48%
50W / 54L events
Realized PnL
$906,265
Win Rate
29%
38W / 92L
Profit Factor
0.63x
Avg Win
$94,609
Avg Loss
$-62,296

Top Winners

Spread: Thunder (-16.5)$381,990
Warriors vs. Suns: O/U 219.5$313,074
Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5$231,712
Nuggets vs. Spurs$218,745
Ducks vs. Oilers$199,449
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Los Angeles Angels$192,985
San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5$173,375
UFC Fight Night: Tanner Boser vs. Gokhan Saricam (Heavyweight, Ma$164,338
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Pittsburgh Pirates$159,873
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs$154,301

Top Losers

Spread: Thunder (-13.5)$-295,315
UFC 327: Tatiana Suarez vs. Loopy Godínez (Women's Strawweight, E$-263,047
UFC Fight Night: Thiago Moises vs. Gauge Young (Lightweight, Prel$-251,298
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 12.5$-227,995
Baltimore Orioles vs. Chicago White Sox$-199,618
UFC Fight Night: Renato Moicano vs. Chris Duncan (Lightweight, Ma$-189,219
Hawks vs. Heat$-181,688
Spread: Celtics (-16.5)$-180,806
Los Angeles Angels vs. New York Yankees: O/U 9.5$-158,621
Pistons vs. Magic$-155,888

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.121
Sortino
0.283
HHI
156
Diversified
EV per $1
$6.106
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.9%
Top-5 markets
15.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
289.0
Very active
Markets / Day
6.9
Active Hours
14/24
Extended
Peak Hour
0:00 UTC
Median Gap
10s
between trades
Avg Gap
5.9m
between trades
Night Trading
37%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.93
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
9 min
Avg Trades / Session
33.8

Bot Detection

#6
50
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 10s — suspiciously fastSize CV 4.93 — diverse, typical for human37% at night — bot never sleeps14/24 hours — normal hoursSession CV 1.30 — human randomness289 trades/day — automation

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 0:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
41.2
Heavy DCA
<=1
12 entries
<=2
23 entries
<=5
41 entries
<=10
57 entries
<=20
76 entries
<=50
99 entries
>50
34 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)5.8%
Mid (20-55c)77.7%
High (>55c)16.5%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 30%

Seattle$38,407
Toronto$3,438
San Francisco$-99,648
Atlanta$-121,755
Miami$-132,072
Houston$-150,789
Los Angeles$-162,596
Other$-718,464
Chicago$-792,636

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.3
Events covered
104

Single bracket

<=1
82 brackets
<=2
99 brackets
<=3
103 brackets
<=4
103 brackets
<=5
104 brackets
<=8
104 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
4/3/2026, 11:09:41 PM2 trades$19,7180 min
4/3/2026, 11:38:05 PM1 trades$2,0460 min
4/3/2026, 11:53:25 PM219 trades$315,36316 min
4/4/2026, 12:17:43 AM4 trades$50,1495 min
4/4/2026, 12:28:11 AM10 trades$10,3930 min
4/4/2026, 12:33:39 AM52 trades$10,5013 min
4/4/2026, 11:50:31 PM1 trades$1,5550 min
4/5/2026, 12:08:03 AM1 trades$4,8930 min
4/5/2026, 12:14:15 AM1 trades$1,1000 min
4/5/2026, 12:58:33 AM87 trades$104,33817 min
4/5/2026, 2:03:27 AM3 trades$2,6021 min
4/5/2026, 2:12:39 AM94 trades$186,61718 min
4/5/2026, 5:45:07 PM4 trades$29,1101 min
4/5/2026, 5:56:11 PM178 trades$355,39061 min
4/5/2026, 7:02:15 PM105 trades$65,32863 min
4/5/2026, 8:14:41 PM2 trades$1,2751 min
4/5/2026, 8:49:29 PM2 trades$831 min
4/5/2026, 8:58:17 PM1 trades$1240 min
4/5/2026, 9:06:45 PM2 trades$4170 min
4/5/2026, 9:23:07 PM1 trades$20 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-03
04-06
04-09
04-12
04-16
04-19
04-22
04-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 41.2/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.3 br/event