Polydata
Ringed-Gnu

@Ringed-Gnu

#2,944,92988

0xb091b45fde0a5ce7fe1277e5c58c73f1fe152017

506d· 1769 markets · 2707 tradesVol: $938,251 @SapusadaX2026-07-02T22:10
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

88
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 100%20/20
Profit Factor 2.86x15/15
Sharpe 0.3226/15
Sortino 0.6727/10
EV $+0.26910/10
HHI 5810/10
Profit Days 82%10/10
DD/Peak 18%10/10

Summary

Ringed-Gnu is a moderately active trader on Polymarket with 2,707 trades spanning 743 markets over 503 days. Despite a high Smart Score of 88/100 placing them in the elite category, their net PnL is negative at -$9,150.80, and their global rank is #2,944,929. This suggests that while Ringed-Gnu trades frequently with significant volume ($938,251), overall profitability has been elusive, and their portfolio value currently stands at zero.

The trader favors a diverse range of markets, avoiding weather-related bets entirely, and demonstrates a conservative risk profile with a 24% sell rate and a win rate of 79.3%. Their profit factor of 2.86 indicates strong returns on winning trades relative to losses, though the Sharpe ratio of 0.32 points to modest risk-adjusted performance. Ringed-Gnu tends to maintain positions steadily, as evidenced by a zero-day max drawdown duration and a flat equity trend, implying a patient, measured timing style focused on consistency rather than rapid gains.

Strengths for Ringed-Gnu include a notable win streak and sniper-like precision, supported by badges such as Whale and Cool Head, highlighting their ability to maintain composure under pressure. However, the substantial net loss and low portfolio value pose risks, possibly due to infrequent large losses or capital constraints. The relatively low Bot Score suggests trading is conducted manually, which may limit scalability but also indicates adaptability. Overall, Ringed-Gnu’s disciplined approach on Polymarket offers resilience, though sustained profitability remains a challenge.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

5
Sniper
Win Rate 100%
Win Streak
91 wins in a row
Whale
$120,468
Consistent
138/169 days
Cool Head
DD 18%

Categories

6
SPORTS#1,780,557$-5,745Vol: $614,513
CRYPTO#1,607,165$-3,394Vol: $279,850
🎭 CULTURE#17,484$131Vol: $26,346
📢 MENTIONS#9,656$43Vol: $1,711
🏛️ POLITICS#38,914$255Vol: $991
💰 FINANCE#89,157$3Vol: $8

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-9,151
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$938,251
Total Redeem
$39,265
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1769
total markets
Trades
2048B / 659S
Daily Volume
$239
Account Age
506d
since Feb 11, 2025

Periods

#2
Week
$-9
Vol: $7,566
All Time
$-9,151
Vol: $938,251

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
100%
250W / 0L events
Realized PnL
$52,814
Win Rate
79%
380W / 99L
Profit Factor
2.86x
Avg Win
$112
Avg Loss
$-150

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $5,684 (20.6% of PnL)

Top Winners

Giants vs. Dodgers$2,846
Yankees vs. Orioles$1,728
Marlins vs. Rockies$1,110
Angels vs. Brewers$999
Dodgers vs. Brewers$979
Braves vs. Nationals$958
Marlins vs. Rockies$939
Sweden vs. USA$936
Nets vs. 76ers$888
Warriors vs. Mavericks$847

Top Losers

Braves vs. Phillies$-1,001
North Carolina A&T vs. Elon$-836
Lakers vs. Nuggets$-616
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$-334
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$-272
Phillies vs. Dodgers$-270
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET$-267
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 15, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET$-260
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET$-256
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 23, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET$-235

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.322
Sortino
0.672
HHI
58
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.269
Kelly %
53.5%
Half-Kelly
26.7%
Top-1 market
3.6%
Top-5 markets
11.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
5.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
2:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.8h
between trades
Night Trading
48%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.75
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.0

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

5 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 300s — typical for humanSize CV 2.75 — diverse, typical for human48% at night — bot never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.15 — human randomness

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 2:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.8
Moderate DCA
<=1
390 entries
<=2
522 entries
<=5
653 entries
<=10
716 entries
<=20
739 entries
<=50
743 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)2.6%
Mid (20-55c)25.9%
High (>55c)71.5%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 51.9%

Other$27,450
Paris$63
San Francisco$44
Los Angeles$22
Atlanta$21
Houston$15
Chicago$9
Milan$2
Austin$0
Seattle$0
Miami$0
Hong Kong$0
Toronto$0
Shanghai$0

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
724

Single bracket

<=1
708 brackets
<=2
721 brackets
<=3
724 brackets
<=4
724 brackets
<=5
724 brackets
<=8
724 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
2/12/2025, 12:01:15 AM1 trades$50 min
2/12/2025, 12:08:34 AM1 trades$100 min
2/12/2025, 12:22:45 AM2 trades$203 min
2/12/2025, 2:18:28 AM1 trades$1330 min
2/13/2025, 2:24:13 AM1 trades$2050 min
2/13/2025, 3:02:50 AM1 trades$460 min
2/13/2025, 3:16:54 AM1 trades$1500 min
2/13/2025, 5:12:35 AM4 trades$1,2471 min
2/13/2025, 9:55:08 PM1 trades$1110 min
2/13/2025, 10:13:50 PM1 trades$8360 min
2/14/2025, 5:17:48 AM1 trades$6880 min
2/18/2025, 1:38:44 AM4 trades$2526 min
2/18/2025, 3:43:12 AM1 trades$1,1880 min
2/18/2025, 11:15:28 PM1 trades$5000 min
2/19/2025, 11:48:41 PM1 trades$5040 min
2/20/2025, 4:44:58 AM1 trades$1,8490 min
2/23/2025, 12:28:04 AM1 trades$1970 min
2/23/2025, 2:56:11 AM1 trades$1,0860 min
2/23/2025, 3:42:21 AM5 trades$6162 min
2/23/2025, 10:49:00 PM1 trades$1,2350 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-19
09-03
10-16
12-14
01-17
03-29
06-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
24.3% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.8/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event