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Ripe-Cake

@Ripe-Cake

#2,50595

0xeec50edede5d961efb02e20bfd3275dd1e7fb6fe

460d· 3164 markets · 10822 tradesVol: $6,395,412 @Chims163517032026-06-26T14:00
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

95
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 92%20/20
Profit Factor 52.73x15/15
Sharpe 0.52310/15
Sortino 6.05810/10
EV $+2.83910/10
HHI 11110/10
Profit Days 89%10/10
DD/Peak 1%10/10

Summary

Ripe-Cake is an active Polymarket trader ranked #2505 on the global PnL leaderboard, with a net profit of $66,320.32. Over 549 days, they have completed 10,822 trades across 362 markets, generating a total volume exceeding $6.3 million. Their portfolio value currently stands at $30,131.82, with a solid win rate of 69.3% and a Smart Score of 95/100, placing them in the elite category. Despite a moderate Sharpe Ratio of 0.52, Ripe-Cake has maintained an upward equity trend and managed zero-duration max drawdown periods.

Ripe-Cake prefers a diverse set of markets, avoiding weather-related trades entirely, and employs a semi-automated approach with a bot score of 55/100. Their trading style balances between manual and bot-driven strategies, favoring a 30% sell rate which suggests a moderate risk appetite. The presence of badges like Sniper, Profitable, and DCA Master indicates a focus on precision entries and dollar-cost averaging, likely contributing to consistent profitability and a notable win streak. Their profit factor is low at 0.15, hinting at riskier bets or high variance in returns.

The key strengths of Ripe-Cake lie in their consistency, large trade volume, and disciplined execution combining automation with manual input. However, the relatively low profit factor and moderate Sharpe Ratio highlight potential volatility and risk exposure in their portfolio. While the upward equity trend and zero max drawdown duration are positive signs, these factors suggest that Ripe-Cake’s strategy may involve periods of heightened risk that traders should monitor closely when evaluating their performance on Polymarket.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

8
Sniper
Win Rate 92%
Profitable
PnL $+66,320
DCA Master
avg 20.9 entries/market
Win Streak
24 wins in a row
Whale
$1,240,692
Consistent
76/85 days
High Roller
$2,260/day
Cool Head
DD 1%

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#957$51,768Vol: $4,497,957
🎭 CULTURE#796,184$-1,089Vol: $451,736
SPORTS#4,635$10,016Vol: $436,734
📈 ECONOMICS#1,150$3,783Vol: $333,446
💰 FINANCE#2,434$1,831Vol: $261,644
CRYPTO#1,567,595$-1,428Vol: $159,287
🌤️ WEATHER#25,420$7Vol: $99,324
💻 TECH#1,478$841Vol: $76,102
📢 MENTIONS#2,240$473Vol: $73,439

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$66,320
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$6,395,412
Total Redeem
$42,708
Portfolio
$30,132
Predictions
3164
total markets
Trades
7578B / 3244S
Daily Volume
$2,260
Account Age
460d
since Apr 13, 2025

Periods

#2
Today
$149
Vol: $8,624
Week
$-3,672
Vol: $117,467
Month
$1,939
Vol: $393,331
All Time
$66,320
Vol: $6,395,412

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
93%
205W / 16L events
Realized PnL
$87,005
Win Rate
69%
196W / 87L
Profit Factor
0.15x
Avg Win
$280
Avg Loss
$-4,127

Top Winners

Will Tran Cam Tu be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese C$7,270
Xi Jinping out before 2027?$5,520
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$2,260
Will Trump visit China by May 15?$2,106
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, $1,949
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$1,594
Will SpaceX IPO by March 31, 2026?$1,479
Will Iran strike Turkey in March?$1,339
Will Trump visit China by June 30?$1,126
Will Trump visit China by May 31?$994

Top Losers

Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in February?$-18,116
New "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday? $-18,017
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$-15,408
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?$-13,483
Will GALBOT have robot dancers at the 2026 Spring Festival Gala?$-13,286
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?$-12,765
Will To Lam be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Commun$-12,342
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?$-11,755
Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai $-11,729
US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?$-10,206

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.523
Sortino
6.058
HHI
111
Diversified
EV per $1
$2.839
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5%
Top-5 markets
13.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
42.9
Active
Markets / Day
1.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
26.2m
between trades
Night Trading
26%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.00
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.3

Bot Detection

#6
55
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 172s — typical for humanSize CV 3.00 — diverse, typical for human26% at night — bot never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.03 — human randomness43 trades/day — suspiciously high310 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
20.9
Heavy DCA
<=1
75 entries
<=2
109 entries
<=5
153 entries
<=10
201 entries
<=20
258 entries
<=50
328 entries
>50
34 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)4.6%
Mid (20-55c)13.4%
High (>55c)81.9%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 42.7%

Charnvirakul$303
Seoul$0
Newsom$0
Taipei$-2,294
Other$-302,124

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.5
Events covered
242

Single bracket

<=1
184 brackets
<=2
216 brackets
<=3
230 brackets
<=4
237 brackets
<=5
238 brackets
<=8
240 brackets
>8
2 brackets

Sessions

#12
10/17/2025, 11:41:52 AM1 trades$4050 min
10/17/2025, 4:12:42 PM1 trades$1140 min
10/17/2025, 5:07:32 PM1 trades$440 min
10/18/2025, 6:47:52 AM2 trades$3664 min
10/18/2025, 7:04:18 AM1 trades$2470 min
10/18/2025, 7:10:16 AM1 trades$3200 min
10/19/2025, 1:13:18 AM1 trades$140 min
10/19/2025, 5:43:27 PM1 trades$3750 min
10/20/2025, 5:59:53 AM1 trades$170 min
10/20/2025, 6:06:13 AM1 trades$10 min
10/20/2025, 6:11:53 AM1 trades$3000 min
10/20/2025, 6:53:37 AM1 trades$9530 min
11/12/2025, 12:43:13 PM10 trades$29614 min
11/12/2025, 1:03:55 PM1 trades$800 min
11/12/2025, 1:13:05 PM2 trades$2342 min
11/12/2025, 1:35:45 PM2 trades$915 min
11/12/2025, 1:46:35 PM3 trades$1133 min
11/12/2025, 2:05:31 PM1 trades$170 min
11/12/2025, 2:38:45 PM1 trades$2040 min
11/12/2025, 2:46:15 PM2 trades$692 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
11-27
01-17
03-07
05-17
07-01
07-17
12-31

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
30% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 20.9/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.5 br/event