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Ripe-Cake

@Ripe-Cake

#2,47095

0xeec50edede5d961efb02e20bfd3275dd1e7fb6fe

403d· 2877 markets · 10214 tradesVol: $5,706,778 @Chims163517032026-05-12T22:02
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

95
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 96%20/20
Profit Factor 90.25x15/15
Sharpe 0.53410/15
Sortino 139.27310/10
EV $+2.77310/10
HHI 11710/10
Profit Days 96%10/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

Ripe-Cake is a highly active trader on Polymarket, holding the rank of #2470 on the global PnL leaderboard. With over 10,000 trades across 338 markets and a net profit of $58,789.59, Ripe-Cake demonstrates consistent engagement and profitability. Their smart score of 95/100 places them in the elite category, reflecting strong overall performance. Over 549 days of activity, they have maintained an upward equity trend and a portfolio value exceeding $29,000.

Ripe-Cake’s trading style favors a balanced approach with a moderate risk profile, as indicated by a win rate of 67.9% and a Sharpe ratio of 0.53. The trader executes a mix of manual and semi-bot-assisted trades, with a bot score of 45/100, suggesting some automation aids but significant discretionary input. Their strategy includes Dollar Cost Averaging (DCA) and a relatively low sell percentage of 31%, which aligns with a patient, long-term position-holding style rather than frequent flipping.

The key strengths of Ripe-Cake lie in their disciplined execution, consistent win streaks, and ability to maintain profitability over a large volume of trades. However, the profit factor of 0.13 and the semi-bot usage indicate some vulnerability to market volatility and execution risk. Despite no recorded drawdown duration, the moderate Sharpe ratio suggests potential exposure to periods of increased volatility. Overall, Ripe-Cake’s data-driven approach on Polymarket reflects a robust, well-rounded trading profile.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

8
Sniper
Win Rate 96%
Profitable
PnL $+58,790
DCA Master
avg 20.8 entries/market
Win Streak
64 wins in a row
Whale
$1,166,867
Consistent
69/72 days
High Roller
$2,125/day
Cool Head
DD 0%

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#936$47,852Vol: $3,929,485
🎭 CULTURE#762,124$-1,323Vol: $444,725
SPORTS#5,968$6,886Vol: $370,876
📈 ECONOMICS#1,087$3,663Vol: $312,545
💰 FINANCE#2,036$1,955Vol: $247,560
CRYPTO#1,466,350$-1,551Vol: $149,763
🌤️ WEATHER#22,817$7Vol: $99,324
💻 TECH#1,354$841Vol: $76,102
📢 MENTIONS#2,629$338Vol: $70,717

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$58,790
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$5,706,778
Total Redeem
$55,089
Portfolio
$29,343
Predictions
2877
total markets
Trades
7025B / 3189S
Daily Volume
$2,125
Account Age
403d
since Apr 13, 2025

Periods

#2
Today
$962
Vol: $31,692
Week
$524
Vol: $96,937
Month
$3,447
Vol: $223,341
All Time
$58,790
Vol: $5,706,778

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
96%
215W / 9L events
Realized PnL
$77,774
Win Rate
68%
184W / 87L
Profit Factor
0.13x
Avg Win
$262
Avg Loss
$-4,126

Top Winners

Will Tran Cam Tu be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese C$7,270
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?$2,659
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$2,310
Will Trump talk to Yoon Suk Yeol in April?$2,012
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, $1,949
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets $1,921
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$1,747
Will SpaceX IPO by March 31, 2026?$1,479
Will Iran strike Turkey in March?$1,339
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Brazil"?$1,252

Top Losers

Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in February?$-18,116
New "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday? $-18,017
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$-15,408
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?$-13,483
Will GALBOT have robot dancers at the 2026 Spring Festival Gala?$-13,286
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?$-12,765
Will To Lam be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Commun$-12,342
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?$-11,755
Will Nicolás Maduro be the next leader out before 2027?$-11,190
Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?$-9,733

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.534
Sortino
139.273
HHI
117
Diversified
EV per $1
$2.773
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5.3%
Top-5 markets
14.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
27.9
Active
Markets / Day
0.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
8:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
29.3m
between trades
Night Trading
25%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.06
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.3

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 162s — typical for humanSize CV 3.06 — diverse, typical for human25% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.01 — human randomness28 trades/day — suspiciously high308 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 8:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
20.8
Heavy DCA
<=1
64 entries
<=2
102 entries
<=5
147 entries
<=10
193 entries
<=20
249 entries
<=50
311 entries
>50
27 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)2%
Mid (20-55c)10.2%
High (>55c)87.8%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 42.6%

Charnvirakul$303
Los Angeles$0
Taipei$-2,294
Other$-308,709

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.4
Events covered
244

Single bracket

<=1
189 brackets
<=2
228 brackets
<=3
233 brackets
<=4
239 brackets
<=5
241 brackets
<=8
243 brackets
>8
1 brackets

Sessions

#12
5/12/2025, 8:23:54 AM1 trades$10 min
5/12/2025, 12:02:51 PM1 trades$140 min
6/5/2025, 3:16:06 PM1 trades$80 min
7/18/2025, 3:59:04 PM1 trades$200 min
7/20/2025, 2:45:31 PM1 trades$440 min
7/20/2025, 3:42:19 PM1 trades$580 min
7/20/2025, 4:41:11 PM1 trades$130 min
7/22/2025, 3:48:30 PM1 trades$1000 min
8/5/2025, 12:24:51 PM1 trades$10 min
8/6/2025, 10:12:57 AM1 trades$100 min
8/8/2025, 3:52:09 AM2 trades$762 min
8/14/2025, 2:53:21 PM2 trades$210 min
8/21/2025, 1:42:31 PM1 trades$340 min
8/21/2025, 2:19:53 PM1 trades$410 min
8/21/2025, 4:41:15 PM1 trades$70 min
8/21/2025, 9:03:05 PM1 trades$130 min
8/22/2025, 5:09:01 AM3 trades$336 min
8/22/2025, 8:53:50 AM1 trades$60 min
8/23/2025, 1:49:15 AM1 trades$60 min
8/23/2025, 4:15:35 AM1 trades$60 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
11-15
12-31
02-08
03-31
05-17

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
31.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 20.8/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.4 br/event