Polydata

@Ripe-Webmail

#2,486,399100

0x07a7be5b76ed04c19c7bde8a12be2c0c5597f120

263d· 976 markets · 1290 tradesVol: $16,986 @sagorkhan092026-07-15T20:38
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

100
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 100%20/20
Profit Factor 41566.92x15/15
Sharpe 0.83915/15
Sortino 4936.92310/10
EV $+1.83010/10
HHI 10310/10
Profit Days 100%10/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

Ripe-Webmail is an experienced and highly active trader on Polymarket, having executed 1,290 trades across 961 markets over 263 days. Despite their high activity and an elite Smart Score of 100/100, Ripe-Webmail currently holds a net PnL of -$93.48 and ranks #2,486,399 on the global leaderboard. Their portfolio value is minimal at $2.90, reflecting limited realized profits or capital growth.

Ripe-Webmail’s trading style is characterized by a very high win rate of 99.7% and an exceptionally high profit factor of over 41,000, indicating a focus on low-risk, high-probability trades. The trader shows a strong preference for manual trading, as evidenced by a low bot score of 15/100, and tends to hold positions with a 10% sell rate, signaling a contrarian and diamond hands approach. They avoid weather markets entirely and maintain a flat equity trend, suggesting consistent but conservative engagement with Polymarket markets.

The main strengths of Ripe-Webmail include their elite Smart Score, remarkable win rate, and stable equity trend, which suggest disciplined risk management and precise market timing. However, their negative net PnL and very low portfolio value could indicate challenges in capitalizing on market opportunities or scaling profitable trades. Additionally, the disparity between high win rate and negative returns warrants careful monitoring of trade sizing and payout structures.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

6
Sniper
Win Rate 100%
Lottery Player
37% entries <$0.20
Contrarian
80% entries <$0.50
Diamond Hands
10% sell
Win Streak
238 wins in a row
Consistent
139/139 days

Categories

6
🎭 CULTURE#245,239$0Vol: $8,336
SPORTS#1,496,179$-28Vol: $5,513
🏛️ POLITICS#1,328,691$-16Vol: $1,386
CRYPTO#1,354,321$-46Vol: $943
📈 ECONOMICS#534,763$-3Vol: $793
🌤️ WEATHER#190,499$-1Vol: $15

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-93
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$16,986
Total Redeem
$718
Portfolio
$3
Predictions
976
total markets
Trades
1165B / 125S
Daily Volume
$5
Account Age
263d
since Oct 25, 2025

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$-4
Vol: $56
All Time
$-93
Vol: $16,986

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
100%
246W / 0L events
Realized PnL
$630
Win Rate
100%
313W / 1L
Profit Factor
41566.92x
Avg Win
$2
Avg Loss
$-0

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $43 (6.3% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Newcastle United FC vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?$19
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05 end in a draw?$13
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-19?$11
Will SC Braga vs. FC Famalicão end in a draw?$11
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-02-24?$10
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?$10
Will Eintracht Frankfurt vs. VfB Stuttgart end in a draw?$10
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-03-19?$10
Will FC Arouca win on 2026-05-02?$10
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-25?$9

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.839
Sortino
inf
HHI
103
Diversified
EV per $1
$1.830
Kelly %
99.7%
Half-Kelly
49.8%
Top-1 market
9.6%
Top-5 markets
12%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
4.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
3.7
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
14.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.0h
between trades
Night Trading
3%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.56
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.4

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

5 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 854s — typical for humanSize CV 1.56 — diverse, typical for human3% at night — normal sleep pattern22/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 0.77 — human randomness

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.2
Single entry
<=1
813 entries
<=2
927 entries
<=5
957 entries
<=10
960 entries
<=20
960 entries
<=50
960 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)36.9%
Mid (20-55c)50.6%
High (>55c)12.5%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 96%

Other$607
Madrid$47
Milan$26
Paris$6
New York City$0
Lucknow$0

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.1
Events covered
841

Single bracket

<=1
769 brackets
<=2
833 brackets
<=3
837 brackets
<=4
839 brackets
<=5
840 brackets
<=8
841 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
10/25/2025, 2:07:09 PM1 trades$10 min
10/25/2025, 2:13:09 PM1 trades$20 min
10/25/2025, 4:00:11 PM1 trades$10 min
10/25/2025, 4:07:09 PM1 trades$10 min
10/25/2025, 4:35:25 PM1 trades$10 min
10/26/2025, 5:59:35 PM1 trades$10 min
10/28/2025, 3:41:05 PM1 trades$10 min
10/29/2025, 6:09:23 AM3 trades$34 min
10/30/2025, 1:08:47 PM1 trades$10 min
10/31/2025, 12:45:24 PM1 trades$10 min
11/1/2025, 4:28:59 PM1 trades$10 min
11/2/2025, 6:30:41 PM1 trades$20 min
11/21/2025, 12:52:49 PM1 trades$10 min
11/21/2025, 2:09:49 PM1 trades$10 min
11/22/2025, 5:58:31 PM1 trades$10 min
11/22/2025, 6:14:21 PM1 trades$20 min
11/23/2025, 6:04:35 AM2 trades$21 min
11/24/2025, 1:19:27 PM2 trades$21 min
11/25/2025, 5:45:03 AM2 trades$21 min
11/25/2025, 6:00:57 AM1 trades$10 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-25
12-12
01-15
02-26
03-22
04-20
07-09

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0.1% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
9.7% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.2/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.1 br/event