Polydata

@Ripe-Webmail

#2,250,325100

0x07a7be5b76ed04c19c7bde8a12be2c0c5597f120

217d· 915 markets · 1159 tradesVol: $15,826 @sagorkhan092026-05-31T06:31
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

100
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 100%20/20
Profit Factor 5871.55x15/15
Sharpe 0.82915/15
Sortino 4886.85310/10
EV $+1.79110/10
HHI 1510/10
Profit Days 100%10/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

Ripe-Webmail is a highly active trader on Polymarket, with 1,159 trades across 886 markets over 217 days. Despite ranking relatively low at #2,250,325 on the global PnL leaderboard, Ripe-Webmail maintains an elite Smart Score of 100/100. Their net profit and loss stands at -$75.04 on a total trading volume of $15,826, indicating a stable but slightly negative overall result. The trader’s portfolio value is currently zero, reflecting either withdrawal or closed positions.

Ripe-Webmail favors a high-frequency trading approach with a very high win rate of 99.7%, suggesting precise entry timing and disciplined risk management. Their low sell percentage of 8% combined with badges like Diamond Hands and Sniper imply a preference for holding winning positions and selective exits. The Sharpe ratio of 0.83 and a profit factor exceeding 5,800 indicate consistent returns relative to risk, while the bot score of 5/100 confirms manual, human-driven trading rather than automation.

The strengths of Ripe-Webmail lie in their exceptional accuracy and disciplined trade execution, as evidenced by a zero-day max drawdown duration and an impressive profit factor. However, the negative net PnL and flat equity trend highlight potential issues, such as limited scalability or occasional losses that offset gains. Additionally, the low sell percentage may expose them to risks if market conditions shift abruptly. Overall, Ripe-Webmail demonstrates skillful but cautious trading behavior on Polymarket.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

6
Sniper
Win Rate 100%
Lottery Player
35% entries <$0.20
Contrarian
79% entries <$0.50
Diamond Hands
8% sell
Win Streak
238 wins in a row
Consistent
134/134 days

Categories

6
🎭 CULTURE#238,679$0Vol: $8,336
SPORTS#1,329,155$-20Vol: $5,144
🏛️ POLITICS#1,228,727$-10Vol: $946
📈 ECONOMICS#519,621$-3Vol: $793
CRYPTO#1,265,978$-42Vol: $592
🌤️ WEATHER#180,960$-1Vol: $15

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-75
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$15,826
Total Redeem
$683
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
915
total markets
Trades
1068B / 91S
Daily Volume
$5
Account Age
217d
since Oct 25, 2025

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$-15
Vol: $0
Month
$-38
Vol: $2,340
All Time
$-75
Vol: $15,826

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
100%
246W / 0L events
Realized PnL
$622
Win Rate
100%
305W / 1L
Profit Factor
5871.55x
Avg Win
$2
Avg Loss
$-0

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $43 (6.6% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Newcastle United FC vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?$19
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05 end in a draw?$13
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-19?$11
Will SC Braga vs. FC Famalicão end in a draw?$11
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-02-24?$10
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?$10
Will Eintracht Frankfurt vs. VfB Stuttgart end in a draw?$10
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-03-19?$10
Will FC Arouca win on 2026-05-02?$10
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-25?$9

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.829
Sortino
inf
HHI
15
Diversified
EV per $1
$1.791
Kelly %
99.7%
Half-Kelly
49.8%
Top-1 market
1.5%
Top-5 markets
3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
5.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
4.1
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
14.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.0h
between trades
Night Trading
3%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.53
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.4

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

5 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
MEDIUM
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 862s — typical for humanSize CV 0.53 — diverse, typical for human3% at night — normal sleep pattern20/24 hours — extended daySession CV 0.78 — human randomness

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.2
Single entry
<=1
750 entries
<=2
858 entries
<=5
884 entries
<=10
886 entries
<=20
886 entries
<=50
886 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)34.7%
Mid (20-55c)52.1%
High (>55c)13.2%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 96%

Other$575
Madrid$47
Milan$26
Paris$6
New York City$0
Lucknow$0

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.1
Events covered
802

Single bracket

<=1
732 brackets
<=2
795 brackets
<=3
798 brackets
<=4
800 brackets
<=5
801 brackets
<=8
802 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
10/25/2025, 2:07:09 PM1 trades$10 min
10/25/2025, 2:13:09 PM1 trades$20 min
10/25/2025, 4:00:11 PM1 trades$10 min
10/25/2025, 4:07:09 PM1 trades$10 min
10/25/2025, 4:35:25 PM1 trades$10 min
10/26/2025, 5:59:35 PM1 trades$10 min
10/28/2025, 3:41:05 PM1 trades$10 min
10/29/2025, 6:09:23 AM3 trades$34 min
10/30/2025, 1:08:47 PM1 trades$10 min
10/31/2025, 12:45:24 PM1 trades$10 min
11/1/2025, 4:28:59 PM1 trades$10 min
11/2/2025, 6:30:41 PM1 trades$20 min
11/21/2025, 12:52:49 PM1 trades$10 min
11/21/2025, 2:09:49 PM1 trades$10 min
11/22/2025, 5:58:31 PM1 trades$10 min
11/22/2025, 6:14:21 PM1 trades$20 min
11/23/2025, 6:04:35 AM2 trades$21 min
11/24/2025, 1:19:27 PM2 trades$21 min
11/25/2025, 5:45:03 AM2 trades$21 min
11/25/2025, 6:00:57 AM1 trades$10 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-25
12-11
01-13
02-23
03-18
04-14
05-17

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0.1% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
7.9% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.2/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.1 br/event