Polydata

@Rowdy-Handrail-Patrolling

#2,918,40610

0xf0c24e62ccb8c67fcb36535db14ecd940c05b793

1d· 148 markets · 652 tradesVol: $363,6642026-06-30T09:38
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

10
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 5%0/20
Profit Factor 0.01x0/15
HHI 9610/10
Profit Days 0%0/10

Summary

Rowdy-Handrail-Patrolling is a relatively new and active trader on Polymarket, with 21 days of activity, 652 trades across 152 markets, and a total volume of $363,664. Despite a high win rate of 84.4% and a profit factor of 10.58, their overall net PnL stands at negative $5,268.58, placing them at rank #2,918,406 on the global leaderboard. Their portfolio value is currently $5,492.29, and their Smart Score indicates a beginner level of experience.

The trader shows a preference for high-frequency trading across diverse markets, with minimal exposure to weather markets and almost no selling activity. Rowdy-Handrail-Patrolling’s style combines both automated and manual elements, as reflected by a semi-bot score of 45/100. The high win rate and profit factor suggest a focus on short-term gains, but the negative Sharpe ratio of -0.84 and short max drawdown duration imply potential volatility and risk in their timing and position sizing.

Strengths of Rowdy-Handrail-Patrolling include consistent winning trades and high trading volume, supported by badges like Diamond Hands and High Roller that indicate strong conviction and risk tolerance. However, the significant net loss despite many wins and a beginner smart score highlight potential issues with risk management or trade sizing. Continued monitoring on Polymarket is needed to assess if the trader can improve stability and profitability.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

4
Diamond Hands
1% sell
Win Streak
21 wins in a row
Whale
$162,981
High Roller
$7,761/day

Categories

3
CRYPTO#1,607,617$-5,066Vol: $355,195
SPORTS#115,046$97Vol: $7,770
🌤️ WEATHER#281,216$-300Vol: $699

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-5,269
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$363,664
Total Redeem
$152,142
Portfolio
$5,492
Predictions
148
total markets
Trades
644B / 8S
Daily Volume
$7,761
Account Age
1d
since Jun 29, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$-8,959
Vol: $103,348
Week
$-5,269
Vol: $363,664
Month
$-5,269
Vol: $363,664
All Time
$-5,269
Vol: $363,664

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
3%
3W / 83L events
Realized PnL
$-1,640
Win Rate
84%
65W / 12L
Profit Factor
10.58x
Avg Win
$1,170
Avg Loss
$-599

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $10,903 (15.8% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET$4,273
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET$4,067
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET$2,563
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET$2,391
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET$2,264
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$2,222
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET$2,158
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$2,019
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$1,957
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET$1,734

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET$-2,962
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET$-1,013
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$-1,000
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET$-682
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET$-501
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET$-277
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET$-200
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET$-125
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET$-125
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET$-106

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.841
Sortino
-0.841
HHI
96
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.963
Kelly %
71.3%
Half-Kelly
35.6%
Top-1 market
2.1%
Top-5 markets
8.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
526.7
Very active
Markets / Day
122.8
Active Hours
15/24
Extended
Peak Hour
8:00 UTC
Median Gap
24s
between trades
Avg Gap
3.7m
between trades
Night Trading
20%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.69
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
49
Avg Duration
9 min
Avg Trades / Session
13.3

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 24s — typical for humanSize CV 0.69 — diverse, typical for human20% at night — different timezone?15/24 hours — normal hoursSession CV 1.32 — human randomness527 trades/day — automation123 markets/day — mass coverage

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 8:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.2
Moderate DCA
<=1
29 entries
<=2
44 entries
<=5
110 entries
<=10
148 entries
<=20
152 entries
<=50
152 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)9.3%
Mid (20-55c)84.8%
High (>55c)5.9%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 59.5%

Other$68,866
Chengdu$0

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
149

Single bracket

<=1
146 brackets
<=2
149 brackets
<=3
149 brackets
<=4
149 brackets
<=5
149 brackets
<=8
149 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
6/29/2026, 3:54:50 AM8 trades$70212 min
6/29/2026, 4:13:25 AM3 trades$2255 min
6/29/2026, 4:29:17 AM2 trades$1800 min
6/29/2026, 4:34:46 AM3 trades$1503 min
6/29/2026, 4:43:40 AM18 trades$1,79613 min
6/29/2026, 5:06:22 AM7 trades$8149 min
6/29/2026, 5:21:32 AM2 trades$4001 min
6/29/2026, 5:28:13 AM4 trades$1,0037 min
6/29/2026, 6:39:20 AM33 trades$7,10643 min
6/29/2026, 7:33:32 AM6 trades$7555 min
6/29/2026, 7:52:29 AM8 trades$1,1004 min
6/29/2026, 8:11:22 AM5 trades$1,3004 min
6/29/2026, 8:21:07 AM9 trades$1,6003 min
6/29/2026, 8:29:41 AM9 trades$2,8007 min
6/29/2026, 8:41:50 AM21 trades$5,70815 min
6/29/2026, 9:09:22 AM30 trades$7,18216 min
6/29/2026, 9:31:55 AM18 trades$4,9007 min
6/29/2026, 9:53:10 AM12 trades$3,5645 min
6/29/2026, 10:04:14 AM28 trades$7,50015 min
6/29/2026, 10:24:26 AM9 trades$2,6605 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-29
06-30
07-01
07-20

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
1.3% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
1.2% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.2/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event