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@Ruddy-Mule

#127,79410

0x1e7779c078d29569126e2b5f3a6ccff6dbd169b4

133d· 2593 markets · 2299 tradesVol: $28,3142026-06-27T01:35
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

10
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 17%0/20
Profit Factor 0.50x0/15
HHI 810/10
Profit Days 17%0/10

Summary

Ruddy-Mule is a relatively new but active trader on Polymarket, ranked #127794 on the global PnL leaderboard. With 42 days of activity, Ruddy-Mule has executed 2,299 trades across 2,260 markets, generating a net PnL of $356.23 on a total volume of $28,314. Despite the modest profit, their Smart Score indicates a beginner level, and their portfolio value currently stands at zero.

This trader demonstrates a highly automated trading style, as suggested by a strong bot score of 75/100. Ruddy-Mule’s approach involves frequent, low-risk trades with a perfect win rate of 100%, though the profit factor of 0.00 and a negative Sharpe ratio of -0.98 point to issues in profitability relative to risk. The absence of selling activity and zero exposure to weather markets further suggests a specialized, possibly algorithm-driven strategy focusing on capturing consistent small gains over time.

The main strength of Ruddy-Mule lies in their disciplined, bot-driven trading and an upward equity trend, which highlights steady growth. However, the negative Sharpe ratio and zero profit factor raise concerns about the quality of returns versus volatility and risk. Additionally, their beginner Smart Score indicates limited experience, which might affect adaptability in more volatile or complex markets on Polymarket.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

4
Profitable
PnL $+356
Diamond Hands
0% sell
Bot
Score 75/100
Win Streak
1022 wins in a row

Categories

1
CRYPTO#48,126$356Vol: $28,314

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$356
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$28,314
Total Redeem
$12,168
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
2593
total markets
Trades
2299B / 0S
Daily Volume
$304
Account Age
133d
since Mar 6, 2026

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
17%
250W / 1236L events
Realized PnL
$3,249
Win Rate
100%
1022W / 0L
Profit Factor
0x
Avg Win
$6
Avg Loss
$0

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $147 (2.5% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$55
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET$46
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET$46
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$43
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$43
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$42
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET$41
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET$39
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$31
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$31

Top Losers

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.981
Sortino
-1.540
HHI
8
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.503
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
0.5%
Top-5 markets
2.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
55.2
Very active
Markets / Day
54.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
2:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
24.9m
between trades
Night Trading
26%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.84
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.3

Bot Detection

#6
75
BOT (automated trading)HIGH probability

8 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 308s — typical for humanSize CV 0.84 — diverse, typical for human26% at night — bot never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 0.86 — human randomness55 trades/day — mass trading54 markets/day — mass coverage1486 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 2:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1
Single entry
<=1
2252 entries
<=2
2254 entries
<=5
2257 entries
<=10
2258 entries
<=20
2260 entries
<=50
2260 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0.1%
Mid (20-55c)99.9%
High (>55c)0%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 34.2%

Other$5,977

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
2260

Single bracket

<=1
2260 brackets
<=2
2260 brackets
<=3
2260 brackets
<=4
2260 brackets
<=5
2260 brackets
<=8
2260 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
3/6/2026, 5:35:11 PM1 trades$30 min
3/6/2026, 5:45:09 PM1 trades$30 min
3/6/2026, 6:10:09 PM1 trades$30 min
3/6/2026, 6:15:15 PM1 trades$30 min
3/6/2026, 6:35:09 PM1 trades$30 min
3/6/2026, 7:45:13 PM1 trades$30 min
3/6/2026, 9:55:27 PM1 trades$30 min
3/6/2026, 10:10:09 PM1 trades$30 min
3/6/2026, 11:45:13 PM2 trades$65 min
3/6/2026, 11:55:11 PM1 trades$30 min
3/7/2026, 12:05:09 AM1 trades$30 min
3/7/2026, 12:25:17 AM1 trades$30 min
3/7/2026, 12:35:11 AM1 trades$30 min
3/7/2026, 12:55:11 AM1 trades$30 min
3/7/2026, 3:05:11 AM1 trades$30 min
3/7/2026, 3:45:09 AM4 trades$1215 min
3/7/2026, 6:15:09 AM1 trades$30 min
3/7/2026, 6:20:27 AM2 trades$65 min
3/7/2026, 6:40:09 AM1 trades$30 min
3/7/2026, 7:10:09 AM1 trades$30 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-06
03-13
03-20
03-27
04-03
04-11

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event