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@Ruddy-Mule

#118,38310

0x1e7779c078d29569126e2b5f3a6ccff6dbd169b4

72d· 2593 markets · 2241 tradesVol: $28,3142026-05-14T14:46
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

10
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 17%0/20
Profit Factor 0.50x0/15
HHI 810/10
Profit Days 17%0/10

Summary

Ruddy-Mule is a relatively new but active trader on Polymarket, ranked #118,383 globally by net profit. Over 42 days, they have executed 2,241 trades across 2,202 markets, generating a net profit of $356.23 on a total volume of $28,314. Despite being classified as a beginner with a Smart Score of 10/100, Ruddy-Mule maintains a consistent upward equity trend and has accumulated several badges for profitability and automated trading.

The trading style of Ruddy-Mule is characterized by a fully automated approach, as indicated by a high Bot Score of 75/100 and zero manual sell transactions. The trader demonstrates a strong preference for high-frequency, low-risk trades given their 100% win rate, although the profit factor is 0.00 and the Sharpe ratio is negative at -0.98, suggesting that profitability may be driven by other factors such as market conditions or trading volume rather than risk-adjusted returns. Ruddy-Mule’s activity does not involve weather markets, and their portfolio value currently sits at zero, possibly implying frequent repositioning or withdrawal of funds.

Ruddy-Mule’s key strengths include consistent winning trades, an upward equity trend, and the effective use of automated strategies on Polymarket. However, potential concerns arise from the low Smart Score, negative Sharpe ratio, and zero profit factor, which may indicate vulnerability to market changes or over-reliance on automation without robust risk management. Additionally, the absence of selling activity could suggest a lack of strategic exits, increasing exposure during volatile periods.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

4
Profitable
PnL $+356
Diamond Hands
0% sell
Bot
Score 75/100
Win Streak
1020 wins in a row

Categories

1
CRYPTO#44,937$356Vol: $28,314

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$356
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$28,314
Total Redeem
$12,168
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
2593
total markets
Trades
2241B / 0S
Daily Volume
$296
Account Age
72d
since Mar 6, 2026

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
17%
250W / 1236L events
Realized PnL
$3,249
Win Rate
100%
1020W / 0L
Profit Factor
0x
Avg Win
$6
Avg Loss
$0

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $147 (2.5% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$55
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET$46
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET$46
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$43
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$43
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$42
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET$41
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET$39
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$31
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$31

Top Losers

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.981
Sortino
-1.540
HHI
8
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.503
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
0.5%
Top-5 markets
2.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
53.8
Very active
Markets / Day
52.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
2:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
25.5m
between trades
Night Trading
26%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.84
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.3

Bot Detection

#6
75
BOT (automated trading)HIGH probability

8 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 310s — typical for humanSize CV 0.84 — diverse, typical for human26% at night — bot never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 0.92 — human randomness54 trades/day — mass trading53 markets/day — mass coverage1486 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 2:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1
Single entry
<=1
2194 entries
<=2
2196 entries
<=5
2199 entries
<=10
2200 entries
<=20
2202 entries
<=50
2202 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0.1%
Mid (20-55c)99.9%
High (>55c)0%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 34.2%

Other$5,964

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
2202

Single bracket

<=1
2202 brackets
<=2
2202 brackets
<=3
2202 brackets
<=4
2202 brackets
<=5
2202 brackets
<=8
2202 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
3/6/2026, 5:35:11 PM1 trades$30 min
3/6/2026, 5:45:09 PM1 trades$30 min
3/6/2026, 6:10:09 PM1 trades$30 min
3/6/2026, 6:15:15 PM1 trades$30 min
3/6/2026, 6:35:09 PM1 trades$30 min
3/6/2026, 7:45:13 PM1 trades$30 min
3/6/2026, 9:55:27 PM1 trades$30 min
3/6/2026, 10:10:09 PM1 trades$30 min
3/6/2026, 11:45:13 PM2 trades$65 min
3/6/2026, 11:55:11 PM1 trades$30 min
3/7/2026, 12:05:09 AM1 trades$30 min
3/7/2026, 12:35:11 AM1 trades$30 min
3/7/2026, 12:55:11 AM1 trades$30 min
3/7/2026, 3:05:11 AM1 trades$30 min
3/7/2026, 3:45:09 AM4 trades$1215 min
3/7/2026, 6:15:09 AM1 trades$30 min
3/7/2026, 6:20:27 AM2 trades$65 min
3/7/2026, 6:40:09 AM1 trades$30 min
3/7/2026, 7:10:09 AM1 trades$30 min
3/7/2026, 7:45:11 AM2 trades$65 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-06
03-13
03-20
03-27
04-03
04-11

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event