Polydata

@S-Works

#3775

0xee00ba338c59557141789b127927a55f5cc5cea1

656d· 7492 markets · 9248 tradesVol: $186,545,7622026-05-31T22:49
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

75
Very Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 95%20/20
Profit Factor 0.06x0/15
Sharpe 1.17015/15
Sortino 7.43310/10
HHI 9010/10
Profit Days 98%10/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

S-Works is a highly active trader on Polymarket, ranked 37th globally by net PnL with earnings exceeding $2.7 million. Over 578 days, they executed 9,248 trades across 343 markets, generating total volume of over $186 million. Despite a low portfolio value of around $10,700, S-Works maintains a strong presence in the Polymarket ecosystem with a Smart Score of 75/100, indicating very good trading acumen.

The trader favors a diverse range of markets but avoids weather-related ones entirely. S-Works exhibits a low win rate of 27.1% but compensates with a high profit factor of 0.06 and a Sharpe ratio of 1.17, suggesting moderate risk-taking with disciplined timing. Their trading style appears to combine manual and semi-automated strategies, as reflected in a Bot Score of 45/100. The low sell percentage of 11% and badges like “Sniper” and “Consistent” indicate a selective and precise entry approach rather than frequent position flipping.

S-Works’ strengths lie in consistency and risk management, evidenced by a zero-day max drawdown duration and a stable equity trend. However, the low win rate and relatively modest profit factor could signal reliance on occasional large wins to offset frequent losses. This mixed profile suggests that while S-Works is a skilled and disciplined trader on Polymarket, there may be periods of volatility and drawdown risk inherent in their strategy.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

7
Sniper
Win Rate 95%
Profitable
PnL $+2,724,106
Win Streak
67 wins in a row
Whale
$23,146,724
Consistent
163/166 days
High Roller
$40,046/day
Cool Head
DD 0%

Categories

7
SPORTS#23$2,622,584Vol: $182,821,951
CRYPTO#222$123,240Vol: $3,008,879
🏛️ POLITICS#1,565,404$-13,282Vol: $398,635
🎭 CULTURE#789,718$-8,487Vol: $153,004
📈 ECONOMICS#1,876$1,677Vol: $60,681
📢 MENTIONS#166,157$-2,011Vol: $38,219
💻 TECH#234,438$-847Vol: $15,695

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$2,724,106
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$186,545,762
Total Redeem
$3,287,987
Portfolio
$10,690
Predictions
7492
total markets
Trades
8232B / 1016S
Daily Volume
$40,046
Account Age
656d
since Aug 13, 2024

Periods

#2
Today
$-58,165
Vol: $129,813
Week
$-30,690
Vol: $129,813
Month
$182,694
Vol: $4,664,143
All Time
$2,724,106
Vol: $186,545,762

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
98%
230W / 4L events
Realized PnL
$10,863,786
Win Rate
27%
83W / 223L
Profit Factor
0.06x
Avg Win
$14,049
Avg Loss
$-84,839

Top Winners

São Paulo FC vs. Millonarios FC: O/U 2.5$98,170
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$91,943
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$85,681
UFC Fight Night: Daniel Barez vs. Luis Gurule (Flyweight, Prelims$84,000
San Francisco Giants vs. Athletics: O/U 8.5$82,000
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$80,975
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?$79,439
Counter-Strike: Monte vs NIP (BO3) - CCT Global Finals Playoffs$75,065
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoff$40,006
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-05-17?$40,000

Top Losers

LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner$-708,914
Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Mariners$-704,182
Busan: Yi Zhou vs Pavel Kotov$-652,834
Clippers vs. Nuggets$-558,635
Nuggets vs. Thunder$-488,596
Knicks vs. Pistons$-469,628
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)$-392,085
Senators vs. Ducks$-366,064
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 5PM ET$-327,104
LoL: T1 vs Movistar KOI (BO3)$-311,432

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
1.170
Sortino
7.433
HHI
90
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.783
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.1%
Top-5 markets
13.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
20.9
Active
Markets / Day
0.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
2:00 UTC
Median Gap
24s
between trades
Avg Gap
23.2m
between trades
Night Trading
36%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.99
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.0

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 24s — typical for humanSize CV 5.99 — diverse, typical for human36% at night — bot never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.07 — human randomness21 trades/day — suspiciously high

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 2:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
24
Heavy DCA
<=1
83 entries
<=2
111 entries
<=5
162 entries
<=10
201 entries
<=20
252 entries
<=50
303 entries
>50
40 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)5.8%
Mid (20-55c)31.8%
High (>55c)62.3%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 39.4%

São Paulo$117,956
San Francisco$82,000
Atlanta$71,003
Munich$38,861
Denver$0
Hong Kong$-41,912
Up or Down$-45,502
Chicago$-50,700
Houston$-80,186
Los Angeles$-175,252
Paris$-217,917
Madrid$-295,506
Seattle$-704,182
Other$-16,451,751

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.2
Events covered
292

Single bracket

<=1
264 brackets
<=2
285 brackets
<=3
288 brackets
<=4
288 brackets
<=5
289 brackets
<=8
291 brackets
>8
1 brackets

Sessions

#12
3/15/2025, 2:24:10 AM14 trades$45,77814 min
3/15/2025, 2:50:52 AM5 trades$8,1889 min
3/15/2025, 3:06:48 AM2 trades$7,9035 min
3/15/2025, 3:17:44 AM3 trades$1,8688 min
3/15/2025, 3:47:52 AM1 trades$4560 min
3/15/2025, 4:17:46 AM1 trades$9810 min
3/16/2025, 5:05:45 AM1 trades$3,2000 min
3/16/2025, 5:12:53 AM1 trades$3,2000 min
3/16/2025, 5:24:45 AM1 trades$3100 min
3/16/2025, 5:38:49 AM1 trades$00 min
3/16/2025, 5:57:25 AM1 trades$2,8890 min
3/16/2025, 6:11:35 AM2 trades$3,2002 min
3/16/2025, 5:20:02 PM1 trades$1280 min
3/16/2025, 6:14:50 PM6 trades$9,1997 min
3/16/2025, 7:00:06 PM3 trades$8,0405 min
3/16/2025, 7:22:22 PM10 trades$6762 min
3/20/2025, 2:21:29 AM3 trades$23,8401 min
3/20/2025, 3:51:21 AM2 trades$3293 min
3/20/2025, 4:33:53 AM1 trades$640 min
3/20/2025, 4:49:09 AM2 trades$271 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
05-08
07-15
09-28
11-15
03-29
05-31
06-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
11% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 24/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.2 br/event