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@SP888

#14,52294

0x5d05b1f588780423488a09d9aefeb64df54d6320

177d· 438 markets · 28401 tradesVol: $91,872,4392026-06-06T09:41
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

94
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 93%20/20
Profit Factor 8.37x15/15
Sharpe 0.4689/15
Sortino 17.69610/10
EV $+4.58510/10
HHI 24010/10
Profit Days 94%10/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

SP888 is an experienced Polymarket trader with 458 days of activity and a substantial trading history of 28,401 trades across 235 markets. Despite a high volume of $91.87 million traded, their net profit and loss (PnL) stands at $8,863.11, placing them at rank #14522 globally. Their smart score is an elite 94/100, reflecting strong analytical capabilities, though the portfolio value remains modest at $56.20 with a Sharpe ratio of 0.47 indicating moderate risk-adjusted returns.

The trader’s style appears diversified but balanced, engaging in a variety of markets without significant concentration in weather-related sectors. SP888 exhibits a near 50% win rate and a profit factor below 1 (0.48), suggesting that losses slightly outweigh gains on average. Their sell percentage is 43%, indicating a moderate exit frequency, while the max drawdown duration of zero days points to effective risk control. The mixed bot score of 50/100 suggests a hybrid approach combining both automated and manual trading strategies, with timing that likely focuses on steady, incremental gains rather than high volatility plays.

SP888’s strengths lie in consistency and discipline, as evidenced by stable equity trends and recognition as a “Sniper” and “DCA Master.” However, the relatively low profit factor and portfolio value highlight potential challenges in scaling profitability. The trader’s contrarian and lottery player badges suggest occasional high-risk, high-reward positioning, which could increase exposure during volatile periods. Overall, SP888 demonstrates solid fundamentals on Polymarket but faces risks related to marginal profitability and maintaining growth over time.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

9
Sniper
Win Rate 93%
Profitable
PnL $+8,863
Lottery Player
74% entries <$0.20
Contrarian
82% entries <$0.50
DCA Master
avg 69.3 entries/market
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
Whale
$243,437
Consistent
44/47 days
Cool Head
DD 0%

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#4,241$8,267Vol: $87,488,278
📈 ECONOMICS#1,600$2,180Vol: $3,994,566
📢 MENTIONS#4,008$190Vol: $332,628
🎭 CULTURE#645,998$-7Vol: $23,127
💰 FINANCE#618,637$-1,381Vol: $19,436
CRYPTO#1,378,750$-105Vol: $2,441
SPORTS#242,697$11Vol: $2,049
🌤️ WEATHER#26,981$5Vol: $1,200
💻 TECH#10,074$29Vol: $427

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$8,863
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$91,872,439
Total Redeem
$15,570
Portfolio
$56
Predictions
438
total markets
Trades
16279B / 12122S
Daily Volume
$532
Account Age
177d
since Dec 31, 2025

Periods

#2
Today
$-3
Vol: $0
Week
$-4
Vol: $0
Month
$-4
Vol: $0
All Time
$8,863
Vol: $91,872,439

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
92%
130W / 11L events
Realized PnL
$42,400
Win Rate
51%
102W / 100L
Profit Factor
0.48x
Avg Win
$213
Avg Loss
$-449

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?$3,172
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?$2,634
US government shutdown Saturday?$2,486
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 3$1,619
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?$1,473
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?$1,435
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$1,276
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?$790
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$789
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$716

Top Losers

US forces enter Iran by March 31?$-3,520
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 12, 2026?$-3,118
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the$-2,861
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April $-2,013
US forces enter Iran by April 30?$-1,991
US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026?$-1,640
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?$-1,578
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?$-1,509
Will the DHS shutdown last 5 days or more?$-1,383
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the$-1,269

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.468
Sortino
17.696
HHI
240
Diversified
EV per $1
$4.585
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
9.4%
Top-5 markets
25.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
191.5
Very active
Markets / Day
1.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
7.2m
between trades
Night Trading
23%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.33
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.1

Bot Detection

#6
50
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 68s — typical for humanSize CV 4.33 — diverse, typical for human23% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 0.93 — human randomness192 trades/day — automation

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
69.3
Heavy DCA
<=1
37 entries
<=2
60 entries
<=5
90 entries
<=10
112 entries
<=20
143 entries
<=50
179 entries
>50
56 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)73.6%
Mid (20-55c)9.9%
High (>55c)16.4%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 54.5%

Lebanon$72
Gaza$0
Madrid$-27
Other$-23,200

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.9
Events covered
124

Single bracket

<=1
92 brackets
<=2
102 brackets
<=3
110 brackets
<=4
112 brackets
<=5
116 brackets
<=8
120 brackets
>8
4 brackets

Sessions

#12
12/31/2025, 8:21:27 PM1 trades$10 min
1/1/2026, 3:07:41 PM1 trades$10 min
1/1/2026, 5:14:05 PM1 trades$10 min
1/2/2026, 4:17:19 AM1 trades$40 min
1/2/2026, 5:28:25 AM1 trades$140 min
1/2/2026, 5:34:41 AM1 trades$450 min
1/2/2026, 7:36:01 AM1 trades$50 min
1/2/2026, 12:25:45 PM1 trades$90 min
1/2/2026, 1:14:27 PM2 trades$43 min
1/2/2026, 1:27:59 PM1 trades$50 min
1/2/2026, 1:35:39 PM1 trades$90 min
1/2/2026, 2:19:03 PM1 trades$50 min
1/2/2026, 2:35:17 PM1 trades$90 min
1/2/2026, 2:44:05 PM1 trades$60 min
1/2/2026, 4:30:09 PM1 trades$260 min
1/2/2026, 5:00:21 PM1 trades$40 min
1/2/2026, 5:23:47 PM1 trades$100 min
1/2/2026, 6:01:43 PM2 trades$334 min
1/2/2026, 6:17:27 PM2 trades$262 min
1/2/2026, 7:12:07 PM1 trades$60 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
01-23
03-14
04-11
04-26
05-11
08-31

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
42.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 69.3/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.9 br/event