Polydata
Data is 5 days old — refreshing in background...
SchnackNicht

@SchnackNicht

#16,49496

0x651392a1c43e89669feca9b23baf8478eab88c10

477d· 276 markets · 3481 tradesVol: $388,9722026-06-21T17:04
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

96
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 85%20/20
Profit Factor 17.93x15/15
Sharpe 0.68213/15
Sortino 0.8328/10
EV $+41.51310/10
HHI 16910/10
Profit Days 90%10/10
DD/Peak 5%10/10

Summary

SchnackNicht is a moderately active Polymarket trader ranked #16494 on the global PnL leaderboard. Over 432 days, they have executed 3,481 trades across 246 markets, generating a net profit of $7,858.67 from a total volume of nearly $389,000. Their Smart Score is an elite 96/100, indicating strong overall performance, although their profit factor of 0.87 suggests that losses slightly outweigh gains per trade on average.

This trader demonstrates a preference for diverse markets, with no exposure to weather-related events and a balanced approach to buying and selling, as evidenced by a 36% sell rate. SchnackNicht’s win rate of 69.1% and moderate Sharpe ratio of 0.68 reflect a consistent, risk-conscious style that avoids large drawdowns, supported by a max drawdown duration of zero days. Their badges hint at a mixed strategy, combining sniper-like precision, contrarian bets, and dollar-cost averaging, which points to a flexible timing pattern rather than a purely momentum-driven approach.

SchnackNicht’s key strengths include a stable equity trend and a high Smart Score, suggesting disciplined trading and resilience in various market conditions on Polymarket. However, the profit factor below 1 and relatively low portfolio value may indicate limited capital growth potential or occasional unprofitable trades. Their low Bot Score supports the conclusion that they are likely a human trader, which can be an advantage for adaptability but might also introduce emotional biases.

Badges

9
Sniper
Win Rate 85%
Profitable
PnL $+7,859
Lottery Player
61% entries <$0.20
Contrarian
77% entries <$0.50
DCA Master
avg 9.0 entries/market
Win Streak
15 wins in a row
Whale
$62,278
Consistent
56/62 days
Cool Head
DD 5%

Categories

8
💰 FINANCE#526$9,712Vol: $263,534
🎭 CULTURE#790,554$-650Vol: $96,138
💻 TECH#239,153$-668Vol: $13,262
🏛️ POLITICS#1,564,352$-522Vol: $11,699
📢 MENTIONS#9,688$42Vol: $1,892
📈 ECONOMICS#34,702$12Vol: $1,200
CRYPTO#1,358,892$-67Vol: $947
SPORTS#876,163$-1Vol: $300

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$7,859
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$388,972
Total Redeem
$6,363
Portfolio
$16
Predictions
276
total markets
Trades
2214B / 1267S
Daily Volume
$144
Account Age
477d
since Mar 6, 2025

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-2
Vol: $0
Month
$-717
Vol: $7,071
All Time
$7,859
Vol: $388,972

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
91%
105W / 11L events
Realized PnL
$15,740
Win Rate
69%
150W / 66L
Profit Factor
0.87x
Avg Win
$75
Avg Loss
$-196

Top Winners

Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on Mar$1,201
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November$602
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on Jan$559
Will DualShot Recorder be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store o$506
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December$390
Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on Jan$376
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on Mar$326
Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on Nov$315
Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on Ja$293
Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on Nov$287

Top Losers

Will Shop: All your favorite brands be #1 Free App in the US Appl$-2,757
Will 'Lilo & Stitch' have the second best domestic opening weeken$-2,204
Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on Mar$-1,369
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on Mar$-1,098
Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on Apr$-830
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on May$-687
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on Dec$-541
Will Luigi Mangione rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People o$-486
Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on No$-313
Will Threads be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January $-308

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.682
Sortino
0.832
HHI
169
Diversified
EV per $1
$41.514
Kelly %
8.5%
Half-Kelly
4.2%
Top-1 market
5.4%
Top-5 markets
19.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
15.0
Active
Markets / Day
1.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
13.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.2h
between trades
Night Trading
18%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.25
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.7

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 784s — typical for humanSize CV 3.25 — diverse, typical for human18% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 0.87 — human randomness15 trades/day — very active

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
9
Active DCA
<=1
76 entries
<=2
102 entries
<=5
147 entries
<=10
187 entries
<=20
222 entries
<=50
243 entries
>50
3 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)60.6%
Mid (20-55c)18.2%
High (>55c)21.3%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 46%

Play Store$251
New York City$10
Other$-1,950

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
2
Events covered
124

Moderate coverage

<=1
58 brackets
<=2
96 brackets
<=3
108 brackets
<=4
119 brackets
<=5
121 brackets
<=8
123 brackets
>8
1 brackets

Sessions

#12
10/25/2025, 7:38:35 PM1 trades$470 min
10/25/2025, 7:47:21 PM1 trades$520 min
10/25/2025, 7:54:31 PM1 trades$540 min
10/25/2025, 10:44:21 PM1 trades$70 min
10/29/2025, 3:27:47 PM1 trades$390 min
10/29/2025, 5:47:31 PM3 trades$00 min
10/29/2025, 6:38:01 PM3 trades$00 min
10/29/2025, 7:51:33 PM1 trades$00 min
10/29/2025, 11:15:35 PM1 trades$120 min
10/30/2025, 2:17:47 AM1 trades$00 min
10/30/2025, 11:22:31 AM5 trades$274 min
10/31/2025, 9:14:22 AM3 trades$81 min
10/31/2025, 1:24:46 PM1 trades$460 min
10/31/2025, 2:17:48 PM1 trades$60 min
10/31/2025, 2:32:34 PM3 trades$1093 min
10/31/2025, 3:12:04 PM2 trades$1224 min
10/31/2025, 3:44:22 PM1 trades$100 min
10/31/2025, 4:01:38 PM1 trades$1490 min
11/2/2025, 4:30:33 PM1 trades$80 min
11/2/2025, 6:25:23 PM1 trades$60 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-25
12-10
01-25
03-06
04-07
05-08
12-09

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
36.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 9/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 2 br/event