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@Second-Decimal

#2,249,11937

0xaf3da660a3c05a5831640a7a98527e59044fe346

129d· 4977 markets · 298 tradesVol: $13,8572026-07-15T13:10
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

37
Below Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 97%20/20
Profit Factor 0.08x0/15
HHI 4110/10
Profit Days 57%7/10

Summary

Second-Decimal is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, having placed 298 trades across 278 markets over 88 days. Despite a total trading volume of $13,857, their net PnL stands at negative $39.06, positioning them at rank #2,249,119 on the global leaderboard. Their portfolio value is currently $2.30, with a below-average smart score of 37 and a Sharpe ratio of -0.50, indicating underperformance relative to risk taken.

This trader appears to favor a contrarian style with a low win rate of 13.9% and a profit factor of 0.08, suggesting that losses outweigh gains significantly. Second-Decimal trades in a wide range of markets but only dedicates 4% of volume to weather-related markets and rarely sells positions (6%). Their bot score of 40 indicates a hybrid approach combining manual and automated strategies. The equity trend is upward, implying recent improvement, though the max drawdown duration is zero days, pointing to quick recovery from losses.

Second-Decimal’s strengths include a sniper badge and a win streak badge, which may reflect timely entries and occasional profitable runs despite overall negative returns. However, the low win rate and profit factor present risks of sustained losses. The combination of semi-automated trading and a contrarian mindset could be advantageous if refined, but the current data from Polymarket suggests that Second-Decimal faces challenges in consistently generating positive returns.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

4
Sniper
Win Rate 97%
Contrarian
53% entries <$0.50
Diamond Hands
6% sell
Win Streak
31 wins in a row

Categories

2
CRYPTO#1,319,493$-35Vol: $13,007
🌤️ WEATHER#221,732$-4Vol: $850

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-39
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$13,857
Total Redeem
$25
Portfolio
$2
Predictions
4977
total markets
Trades
279B / 19S
Daily Volume
$5
Account Age
129d
since Mar 13, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$-2
Vol: $11
Week
$-4
Vol: $891
Month
$-8
Vol: $1,619
All Time
$-39
Vol: $13,857

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
99%
251W / 3L events
Realized PnL
$416
Win Rate
14%
36W / 224L
Profit Factor
0.08x
Avg Win
$1
Avg Loss
$-2

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET$2
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 14?$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET$1

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET$-4
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET$-3
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET$-3
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET$-3
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET$-3
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET$-3
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET$-3
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET$-3
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET$-3
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET$-3

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.501
Sortino
-0.432
HHI
41
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.817
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1%
Top-5 markets
4.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
3.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
35.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.8h
between trades
Night Trading
26%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.39
Moderate
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.2

Bot Detection

#6
40
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

4 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
MEDIUM
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 2110s — typical for humanSize CV 0.39 — uniform orders26% at night — bot never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 23:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1
Single entry
<=1
277 entries
<=2
278 entries
<=5
278 entries
<=10
278 entries
<=20
278 entries
<=50
278 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)3.2%
Mid (20-55c)77.8%
High (>55c)19%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 60.8%

London$2
Austin$0
Other$-310

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
272

Single bracket

<=1
269 brackets
<=2
271 brackets
<=3
271 brackets
<=4
271 brackets
<=5
272 brackets
<=8
272 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
4/19/2026, 12:05:06 PM1 trades$20 min
4/19/2026, 12:15:06 PM1 trades$20 min
4/19/2026, 4:30:08 PM1 trades$10 min
4/19/2026, 5:10:06 PM1 trades$30 min
4/19/2026, 6:05:06 PM1 trades$20 min
4/19/2026, 6:25:06 PM1 trades$20 min
4/19/2026, 7:15:06 PM1 trades$10 min
4/19/2026, 7:25:06 PM3 trades$710 min
4/19/2026, 7:55:06 PM1 trades$20 min
4/19/2026, 8:05:06 PM1 trades$20 min
4/19/2026, 8:20:06 PM2 trades$55 min
4/19/2026, 8:50:06 PM1 trades$20 min
4/19/2026, 9:05:06 PM1 trades$20 min
4/19/2026, 9:20:06 PM1 trades$20 min
4/19/2026, 10:45:06 PM1 trades$10 min
4/19/2026, 11:35:06 PM2 trades$65 min
4/19/2026, 11:45:10 PM1 trades$30 min
4/20/2026, 12:00:06 AM1 trades$40 min
4/20/2026, 12:45:06 AM1 trades$20 min
4/20/2026, 1:00:06 AM2 trades$35 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-19
04-24
04-29
05-04
06-17
06-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
4% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
6.4% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event