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Second-Hand-Disposition

@Second-Hand-Disposition

#158,45285

0xef87956192307e23c679bd8e7ce2e94867a8e248

652d· 643 markets · 936 tradesVol: $355,951 @zkszks0012026-06-22T17:03
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

85
Very Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 56%13/20
Profit Factor 7.97x15/15
Sharpe 0.4999/15
Sortino 4.29710/10
EV $+9.65710/10
HHI 2510/10
Profit Days 60%7/10
DD/Peak 3%10/10

Summary

Second-Hand-Disposition is a moderately active trader on Polymarket with 936 trades over 210 days, ranking #158,452 globally by net profit and holding a net PnL of $216.23. Their smart score of 85/100 indicates very good trading skills, supported by a high profit factor of 17.86 and a solid win rate of 68.8%. Despite a large total volume of $355,951 across 604 markets, their portfolio value remains at zero, and the Sharpe ratio of 0.50 suggests moderate risk-adjusted returns.

This trader shows a preference for diverse markets, avoiding weather-related events entirely and maintaining a very low sell percentage of 9%, which aligns with their "Diamond Hands" badge indicating a tendency to hold positions rather than exit early. The combination of a low max drawdown duration and a stable equity trend points to consistent, low-volatility trading behavior. Their semi-automated approach (bot score 40/100) suggests a blend of algorithmic and manual decision-making, with a contrarian style that may capitalize on less popular market views.

Second-Hand-Disposition’s strengths include strong profitability metrics and a disciplined approach demonstrated by a sustained win streak and minimal drawdown. However, the flat equity trend and zero portfolio value may indicate limited capital deployment or profit realization challenges. Their contrarian strategy, while effective, could expose them to occasional significant losses if market consensus shifts abruptly. Overall, their profile on Polymarket reflects a steady, cautious trader with a proven ability to generate positive returns over time.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

6
Profitable
PnL $+216
Lottery Player
48% entries <$0.20
Contrarian
91% entries <$0.50
Diamond Hands
9% sell
Win Streak
26 wins in a row
Cool Head
DD 3%

Categories

3
CRYPTO#1,529,122$-657Vol: $313,611
SPORTS#34,801$982Vol: $28,756
📈 ECONOMICS#620,365$-28Vol: $8,114

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$216
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$355,951
Total Redeem
$5,702
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
643
total markets
Trades
850B / 86S
Daily Volume
$47
Account Age
652d
since Sep 18, 2024

Periods

#2
Month
$-8
Vol: $787
All Time
$216
Vol: $355,951

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
61%
143W / 93L events
Realized PnL
$7,299
Win Rate
69%
148W / 67L
Profit Factor
17.86x
Avg Win
$39
Avg Loss
$-5

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,177 (21.5% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on December 15?$490
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on January 20?$416
Hornets vs. Thunder$270
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on January 2?$173
Jazz vs. Spurs$158
Nuggets vs. 76ers$146
Nets vs. Timberwolves$141
Knicks vs. Kings$112
Rockets vs. Pelicans$110
Nuggets vs. Celtics$95

Top Losers

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs GamerLegion (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group St$-11
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on January 30?$-10
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group St$-10
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 26?$-10
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winner$-10
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs MODUS (BO3) - European Pro League Playoff$-10
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Ilbirs eSports - Game 2 Winner$-10
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner$-10
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 16?$-9
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 10?$-9

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.499
Sortino
4.297
HHI
25
Diversified
EV per $1
$9.657
Kelly %
60.1%
Half-Kelly
30.0%
Top-1 market
0.9%
Top-5 markets
3.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
4.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
2.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.2h
between trades
Night Trading
31%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.70
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.1

Bot Detection

#6
40
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 120s — typical for humanSize CV 0.70 — diverse, typical for human31% at night — bot never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.05 — human randomness337 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 12:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.4
Single entry
<=1
428 entries
<=2
556 entries
<=5
602 entries
<=10
604 entries
<=20
604 entries
<=50
604 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)47.6%
Mid (20-55c)48.8%
High (>55c)3.5%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 82.1%

Other$5,485
Up or Down$0

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.5
Events covered
401

Single bracket

<=1
298 brackets
<=2
336 brackets
<=3
382 brackets
<=4
389 brackets
<=5
397 brackets
<=8
401 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
11/23/2025, 3:54:55 PM2 trades$201 min
11/24/2025, 12:11:55 AM1 trades$100 min
11/24/2025, 5:35:19 AM6 trades$602 min
11/24/2025, 12:17:49 PM1 trades$100 min
11/24/2025, 12:42:43 PM1 trades$100 min
11/25/2025, 12:40:53 AM1 trades$30 min
11/25/2025, 5:51:27 AM2 trades$204 min
11/25/2025, 9:06:09 AM1 trades$50 min
11/26/2025, 1:53:49 AM4 trades$402 min
11/26/2025, 9:04:59 AM2 trades$201 min
11/26/2025, 2:34:49 PM2 trades$200 min
11/27/2025, 1:37:21 AM2 trades$200 min
11/27/2025, 6:46:01 AM1 trades$100 min
11/27/2025, 12:21:29 PM5 trades$506 min
11/28/2025, 4:29:21 AM2 trades$231 min
11/29/2025, 5:37:53 AM3 trades$300 min
11/29/2025, 6:07:15 AM1 trades$60 min
11/29/2025, 11:22:55 AM4 trades$311 min
11/29/2025, 2:22:59 PM1 trades$100 min
11/29/2025, 4:00:01 PM2 trades$200 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-25
12-14
01-01
01-20
04-26
05-21

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
9.2% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.4/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.5 br/event