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Second-Hand-Disposition

@Second-Hand-Disposition

#133,46983

0xef87956192307e23c679bd8e7ce2e94867a8e248

609d· 555 markets · 851 tradesVol: $353,935 @zkszks0012026-05-18T05:23
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

83
Very Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 53%12/20
Profit Factor 7.01x15/15
Sharpe 0.50910/15
Sortino 4.81210/10
EV $+15.09810/10
HHI 2710/10
Profit Days 56%6/10
DD/Peak 2%10/10

Summary

Second-Hand-Disposition is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, with 851 trades across 532 markets over 175 days. Holding a global PnL rank of #133,469, the trader has achieved a net profit of $279.32 with a total volume of $353,935. Their Smart Score of 83/100 reflects very good trading performance, supported by a profit factor of 9.24 and a win rate of 56.3%. Despite a relatively low portfolio value of $39.38 and a Sharpe ratio of 0.51, the trader maintains stable equity with no drawdown duration, indicating consistent risk management.

Second-Hand-Disposition appears to favor a diversified approach, participating in a wide range of markets without focusing on weather-related ones. Their trading style suggests a contrarian and lottery player profile, supported by badges indicating diamond hands and win streaks. With only 9% of trades sold, they tend to hold positions rather than exit early, reflecting a moderate risk appetite and patience. The bot score of 30/100 suggests human-driven activity with relatively fast interface interaction, possibly timing trades to capitalize on short-term opportunities.

The key strengths of Second-Hand-Disposition include a strong profit factor and consistent win streaks, which demonstrate effective market selection and timing on Polymarket. However, their relatively low Sharpe ratio and flat equity trend point to limited volatility-adjusted returns, while the small portfolio value may constrain future scaling. Additionally, the low sell percentage and contrarian style could expose them to prolonged market downturns if trends reverse unexpectedly.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

6
Profitable
PnL $+279
Lottery Player
52% entries <$0.20
Contrarian
94% entries <$0.50
Diamond Hands
9% sell
Win Streak
26 wins in a row
Cool Head
DD 2%

Categories

3
CRYPTO#1,448,247$-657Vol: $313,611
SPORTS#34,620$964Vol: $32,210
📈 ECONOMICS#596,912$-28Vol: $8,114

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$279
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$353,935
Total Redeem
$5,482
Portfolio
$39
Predictions
555
total markets
Trades
772B / 79S
Daily Volume
$56
Account Age
609d
since Sep 18, 2024

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $234
Month
$-65
Vol: $2,169
All Time
$279
Vol: $353,935

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
60%
127W / 84L events
Realized PnL
$6,643
Win Rate
56%
130W / 101L
Profit Factor
9.24x
Avg Win
$52
Avg Loss
$-7

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,321 (21.9% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on December 15?$490
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on January 20?$416
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on December 9?$414
Hornets vs. Thunder$270
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on January 2?$173
Jazz vs. Spurs$158
Nuggets vs. 76ers$146
Nets vs. Timberwolves$141
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on December 17?$138
Knicks vs. Kings$112

Top Losers

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs GamerLegion (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group St$-11
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on December 15?$-10
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on December 20?$-10
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on January 1?$-10
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 1?$-10
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on January 2?$-10
Will the price of Solana be above $150 on January 3?$-10
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,500 on January 6?$-10
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 18?$-10
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 18?$-10

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.509
Sortino
4.812
HHI
27
Diversified
EV per $1
$15.098
Kelly %
41.3%
Half-Kelly
20.7%
Top-1 market
1%
Top-5 markets
4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
4.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
3.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
3:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.1h
between trades
Night Trading
34%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.66
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.1

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

5 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 124s — typical for humanSize CV 0.65 — diverse, typical for human34% at night — bot never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.09 — human randomness

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 3:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.5
Single entry
<=1
366 entries
<=2
482 entries
<=5
530 entries
<=10
532 entries
<=20
532 entries
<=50
532 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)51.9%
Mid (20-55c)45.5%
High (>55c)2.6%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 82.2%

Other$6,023
Up or Down$0

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.5
Events covered
363

Single bracket

<=1
280 brackets
<=2
316 brackets
<=3
344 brackets
<=4
351 brackets
<=5
358 brackets
<=8
363 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
11/23/2025, 3:54:55 PM2 trades$201 min
11/23/2025, 4:01:49 PM1 trades$200 min
11/24/2025, 12:11:55 AM1 trades$100 min
11/24/2025, 5:35:19 AM6 trades$602 min
11/24/2025, 12:17:49 PM1 trades$100 min
11/24/2025, 12:42:43 PM1 trades$100 min
11/25/2025, 12:40:53 AM1 trades$30 min
11/25/2025, 5:51:27 AM2 trades$204 min
11/25/2025, 9:06:09 AM1 trades$50 min
11/26/2025, 1:53:49 AM4 trades$402 min
11/26/2025, 9:04:59 AM2 trades$201 min
11/26/2025, 2:34:49 PM2 trades$200 min
11/27/2025, 1:37:21 AM2 trades$200 min
11/27/2025, 6:46:01 AM1 trades$100 min
11/27/2025, 12:21:29 PM5 trades$506 min
11/28/2025, 4:29:21 AM2 trades$231 min
11/29/2025, 5:37:53 AM3 trades$300 min
11/29/2025, 6:07:15 AM1 trades$60 min
11/29/2025, 11:22:55 AM4 trades$311 min
11/29/2025, 2:22:59 PM1 trades$100 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-25
12-12
12-28
01-13
02-12
04-19
05-16

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
9.3% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.5/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.5 br/event