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@Secret-Generation-Lender

#1,417,6424

0x69f324507fb853110690d836e00836fad46c47ac

12d· 7 markets · 11 tradesVol: $4982026-06-15T17:34
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

4
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 29%0/20
Profit Factor 0.31x0/15
HHI 16054/10
Profit Days 25%0/10
DD/Peak 353%0/10

Summary

Secret-Generation-Lender is a relatively new and low-activity trader on Polymarket, currently ranked #1,417,642 on the global PnL leaderboard. With only 11 trades across 7 markets and 17 days of activity, their net PnL stands at a modest negative $3.04. The trader’s overall portfolio value is $2.83, and their Smart Score of 4/100 indicates a beginner level of proficiency.

This trader shows a preference for weather-related markets, which make up 14% of their trading volume. Their trading style appears to be manual and contrarian, as suggested by a low bot score and the “Contrarian” badge. The 50% win rate combined with a high profit factor of 20.27 suggests selective but risky trades. With a sell percentage of 18%, Secret-Generation-Lender tends to hold positions rather than frequently exiting. Their Sharpe Ratio of -0.49 and no significant drawdowns point to inconsistent risk management and limited data for a clear equity trend.

Strengths for Secret-Generation-Lender include a focused niche in weather markets and the ability to generate some profit despite a beginner status. However, the low activity, negative net PnL, and poor risk-adjusted returns indicate potential concerns. Without more consistent trading volume or improved strategy execution, this trader may face challenges scaling their performance on Polymarket.

Badges

2
Lottery Player
89% entries <$0.20
Contrarian
100% entries <$0.50

Categories

2
SPORTS#919,874$-1Vol: $325
🌤️ WEATHER#196,359$-2Vol: $174

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-3
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$498
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$3
Predictions
7
total markets
Trades
9B / 2S
Daily Volume
$1
Account Age
12d
since Jun 12, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$-3
Vol: $220
Week
$-3
Vol: $454
Month
$-3
Vol: $498
All Time
$-3
Vol: $498

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
40%
2W / 3L events
Realized PnL
$1
Win Rate
50%
1W / 1L
Profit Factor
20.27x
Avg Win
$1
Avg Loss
$-0

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1 (105.2% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?$1

Top Losers

Will Egypt win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.485
Sortino
-0.720
HHI
1605
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.433
Kelly %
47.5%
Half-Kelly
23.8%
Top-1 market
22.2%
Top-5 markets
77.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
2.4
Active Hours
7/24
Normal
Peak Hour
8:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.9h
between trades
Avg Gap
7.1h
between trades
Night Trading
0%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.00
Very consistent
Session Statistics
Sessions
8
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.4

Bot Detection

#6
10
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

4 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
HIGH
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 17484s — typical for humanSize CV 0.00 — uniform orders0% at night — normal sleep pattern7/24 hours — normal hours

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 8:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.3
Single entry
<=1
5 entries
<=2
7 entries
<=5
7 entries
<=10
7 entries
<=20
7 entries
<=50
7 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)88.9%
Mid (20-55c)11.1%
High (>55c)0%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 100%

Other$1
Lucknow$0

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.4
Events covered
5

Single bracket

<=1
3 brackets
<=2
5 brackets
<=3
5 brackets
<=4
5 brackets
<=5
5 brackets
<=8
5 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
6/12/2026, 1:51:19 PM1 trades$10 min
6/12/2026, 7:48:33 PM1 trades$20 min
6/13/2026, 8:13:42 AM3 trades$35 min
6/13/2026, 8:50:55 AM1 trades$10 min
6/14/2026, 7:05:04 AM1 trades$10 min
6/14/2026, 10:54:04 AM1 trades$10 min
6/14/2026, 3:45:28 PM1 trades$10 min
6/15/2026, 12:30:06 PM2 trades$21 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-12
06-15
06-27
06-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
14.3% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
18.2% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.3/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.4 br/event