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@Secret-Tennis

#2,790,68118

0x4ac2a5d78068cd0c46677b3f582c9fd60835a7f8

88d· 100 markets · 334 tradesVol: $35,4892026-06-24T23:33
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

18
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 44%7/20
Profit Factor 0.79x0/15
HHI 20010/10
Profit Days 33%1/10
DD/Peak 750%0/10

Summary

Secret-Tennis is a relatively new and active trader on Polymarket with 334 trades across 100 markets over 11 days. Despite their high activity, they currently rank low at #2,790,681 on the global PnL leaderboard and have a net loss of $1,134.19. Their Smart Score of 18/100 and a negative Sharpe Ratio of -0.76 indicate a beginner-level skill set and unfavorable risk-adjusted returns so far.

The trading style of Secret-Tennis suggests a preference for diverse markets, as evidenced by their participation in 100 different markets. Their win rate of 63.0% and profit factor of 1.36 point to a moderately effective strategy with some risk control. However, the low sell percentage of 14% shows a tendency to hold positions rather than quickly taking profits or cutting losses. The short max drawdown duration of zero days implies they avoid prolonged losing streaks, although their portfolio value now stands at zero, indicating full exit or loss.

Secret-Tennis’s strengths include a decent win rate and a high number of trades signaling strong engagement with Polymarket. Their badges for win streak and high roller status suggest some episodes of success and risk-taking. On the downside, their persistent net loss, low Smart Score, and negative Sharpe Ratio highlight risks related to inexperience and suboptimal risk management. Continued monitoring is needed to see if they can improve their strategy and portfolio stability.

Badges

2
Win Streak
16 wins in a row
High Roller
$1,094/day

Categories

1
CRYPTO#1,555,124$-1,134Vol: $35,489

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,134
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$35,489
Total Redeem
$6,413
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
100
total markets
Trades
287B / 47S
Daily Volume
$1,094
Account Age
88d
since Apr 20, 2026

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
46%
46W / 54L events
Realized PnL
$1,331
Win Rate
63%
46W / 27L
Profit Factor
1.36x
Avg Win
$86
Avg Loss
$-107

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,008 (96.4% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$441
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET$314
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET$252
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET$241
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET$176
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET$159
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$141
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET$135
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET$135
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET$110

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$-504
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET$-241
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET$-238
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET$-209
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$-180
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET$-146
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET$-143
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET$-121
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET$-113
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$-112

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.765
Sortino
-2.140
HHI
200
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.442
Kelly %
34.5%
Half-Kelly
17.3%
Top-1 market
5.4%
Top-5 markets
21.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
29.6
Active
Markets / Day
8.9
Active Hours
12/24
Extended
Peak Hour
2:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.7m
between trades
Night Trading
42%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.50
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
21
Avg Duration
19 min
Avg Trades / Session
15.9

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 60s — typical for humanSize CV 1.50 — diverse, typical for human42% at night — bot never sleeps12/24 hours — normal hoursSession CV 0.89 — human randomness30 trades/day — suspiciously high

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 2:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.9
Moderate DCA
<=1
31 entries
<=2
53 entries
<=5
91 entries
<=10
98 entries
<=20
100 entries
<=50
100 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)58.5%
High (>55c)41.5%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 47.9%

Other$1,046

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
100

Single bracket

<=1
100 brackets
<=2
100 brackets
<=3
100 brackets
<=4
100 brackets
<=5
100 brackets
<=8
100 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
4/20/2026, 10:05:22 AM25 trades$48321 min
4/20/2026, 10:36:22 AM19 trades$38315 min
4/20/2026, 11:17:48 AM57 trades$1,10487 min
4/20/2026, 12:55:38 PM5 trades$1356 min
4/20/2026, 1:20:22 PM8 trades$16215 min
4/20/2026, 1:41:06 PM3 trades$931 min
4/20/2026, 1:49:26 PM42 trades$1,54767 min
4/21/2026, 12:13:04 AM9 trades$12211 min
4/21/2026, 12:30:40 AM31 trades$49529 min
4/21/2026, 1:05:26 AM2 trades$230 min
4/21/2026, 1:10:56 AM38 trades$4,62759 min
4/21/2026, 2:17:54 AM10 trades$64511 min
4/21/2026, 2:35:26 AM24 trades$72812 min
4/21/2026, 2:53:28 AM7 trades$9777 min
4/21/2026, 3:23:38 AM1 trades$2910 min
4/21/2026, 3:29:46 AM17 trades$2,64721 min
4/21/2026, 4:13:38 AM1 trades$490 min
5/1/2026, 3:33:36 PM11 trades$39011 min
5/1/2026, 3:54:14 PM12 trades$1,15120 min
5/1/2026, 4:19:44 PM11 trades$1,0977 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-20
04-21
05-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
14.1% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.9/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event