Polydata
Self-Reliant-Vegetable

@Self-Reliant-Vegetable

#2,860,48481

0xda21617c38558129b674afe679eaa570b84be5e9

658d· 308 markets · 443 tradesVol: $217,151 @kober13372026-06-27T13:22
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

81
Very Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 97%20/20
Profit Factor 2.23x15/15
Sharpe 0.2224/15
Sortino 14.38110/10
EV $+0.46010/10
HHI 21292/10
Profit Days 92%10/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

Self-Reliant-Vegetable is a moderately active Polymarket trader with 443 trades across 275 markets over 835 days. Despite a high win rate of 96%, the trader currently holds a net loss of $2,168.66, placing them at rank #2,860,484 on the global PnL leaderboard. Their portfolio value stands at $6,796.41, supported by a total trading volume of $217,151. The Sharpe ratio of 0.22 indicates modest risk-adjusted returns, and the equity trend is upward, suggesting recent improvement.

The trading style of Self-Reliant-Vegetable is characterized by a very high profit factor (91.50) and low sell percentage (15%), implying a preference for holding winning positions rather than frequent exits. They avoid weather markets entirely, focusing on other event types. The low bot score (15/100) confirms manual trading, emphasizing thoughtful, deliberate moves rather than algorithmic strategies. Their badges hint at a sniper-like precision and emotional discipline, aligning with a conservative, consistent approach that favors timing and patience.

Strengths for Self-Reliant-Vegetable include exceptional win consistency and a cool-headed approach that minimizes prolonged drawdowns, as reflected by a zero-day max drawdown duration. However, the substantial net loss despite many wins and the low Sharpe ratio suggest potential issues with trade sizing or exposure. Their strategy’s risk lies in occasional large losses offsetting frequent small wins, which could undermine long-term profitability on Polymarket.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

4
Sniper
Win Rate 97%
Win Streak
109 wins in a row
Consistent
61/66 days
Cool Head
DD 0%

Categories

8
SPORTS#24,250$1,640Vol: $148,616
🏛️ POLITICS#23,902$621Vol: $30,008
CRYPTO#1,600,741$-4,385Vol: $24,373
🌤️ WEATHER#239,218$-11Vol: $9,965
💰 FINANCE#588,891$-30Vol: $2,736
💻 TECH#219,995$-19Vol: $522
📈 ECONOMICS#167,750$0Vol: $77
🎭 CULTURE#564,458$-2Vol: $40

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-2,169
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$217,151
Total Redeem
$11,242
Portfolio
$6,796
Predictions
308
total markets
Trades
378B / 65S
Daily Volume
$39
Account Age
658d
since Sep 7, 2024

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$2
Vol: $147
Month
$132
Vol: $1,583
All Time
$-2,169
Vol: $217,151

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
97%
148W / 5L events
Realized PnL
$3,181
Win Rate
96%
239W / 8L
Profit Factor
91.5x
Avg Win
$15
Avg Loss
$-5

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,682 (77% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$1,840
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?$559
Will Stable launch a token in 2025?$283
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?$76
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?$73
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?$57
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5$46
Türkiye leading at halftime?$39
Spread: Türkiye (-1.5)$32
Fogo FDV above $700M one day after launch?$31

Top Losers

Linea airdrop in Q3 2025?$-12
Linea airdrop in Q1 2025?$-10
Will OpenSea launch a token by June 30, 2026?$-9
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?$-7
Over $50M committed to the Gensyn public sale?$-1
Will Microsoft be the second most valuable company on October 31?$-0
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?$-0
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meet$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.222
Sortino
14.381
HHI
2129
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.460
Kelly %
95.3%
Half-Kelly
47.6%
Top-1 market
43.8%
Top-5 markets
68.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.6h
between trades
Night Trading
2%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
8.79
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.3

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

5 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 70s — typical for humanSize CV 8.79 — diverse, typical for human2% at night — normal sleep pattern22/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.16 — human randomness

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.4
Single entry
<=1
244 entries
<=2
261 entries
<=5
272 entries
<=10
273 entries
<=20
273 entries
<=50
275 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1.3%
Mid (20-55c)18.3%
High (>55c)80.4%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 82.7%

Other$3,478
Milan$3
New York City$1
Up or Down$0
Munich$0
Madrid$0
Paris$0

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.6
Events covered
175

Single bracket

<=1
131 brackets
<=2
151 brackets
<=3
159 brackets
<=4
171 brackets
<=5
171 brackets
<=8
173 brackets
>8
2 brackets

Sessions

#12
9/7/2024, 8:59:54 PM1 trades$5000 min
9/8/2024, 2:35:02 PM1 trades$5110 min
9/9/2024, 6:54:13 PM1 trades$4710 min
9/9/2024, 7:40:53 PM2 trades$4811 min
9/17/2024, 3:17:34 PM4 trades$4612 min
9/17/2024, 3:31:10 PM1 trades$4100 min
9/17/2024, 6:10:08 PM1 trades$70 min
9/17/2024, 6:17:14 PM1 trades$70 min
9/17/2024, 7:12:56 PM1 trades$70 min
9/28/2024, 6:26:00 PM1 trades$50 min
9/30/2024, 6:57:11 PM2 trades$1503 min
10/1/2024, 1:51:50 PM4 trades$171 min
10/23/2024, 12:18:30 PM1 trades$530 min
11/2/2024, 12:45:09 PM3 trades$551 min
11/4/2024, 4:03:26 PM4 trades$656 min
11/4/2024, 5:03:14 PM1 trades$200 min
11/12/2024, 3:35:29 PM1 trades$10 min
11/19/2024, 12:17:45 PM1 trades$200 min
12/2/2024, 12:36:30 PM2 trades$961 min
12/5/2024, 5:51:23 PM1 trades$710 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
01-17
06-18
10-06
01-01
04-11

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
14.7% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.4/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.6 br/event