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@Serpentine-Bandana

#70782

0x913c76e1edf609b3d6dd7d597d1f9afc6c6039b3

148d· 994 markets · 9574 tradesVol: $13,107,0302026-06-27T04:24
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

82
Very Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 49%9/20
Profit Factor 2.08x15/15
Sharpe 0.4739/15
Sortino 1.06510/10
EV $+1.13410/10
HHI 10110/10
Profit Days 65%9/10
DD/Peak 7%10/10

Summary

Serpentine-Bandana is an active trader on Polymarket, ranked #707 globally with a net profit of $260,475.86. Over 125 days, they executed 9,574 trades across 368 markets, generating a total volume exceeding $13 million. Their consistent performance is reflected in a very good Smart Score of 82/100 and a profit factor of 5.30, indicating strong profitability relative to risk.

The trader favors a diverse range of markets, avoiding weather-related bets entirely, and shows a contrarian and dollar-cost averaging (DCA) approach. With a win rate of 68.6%, Serpentine-Bandana balances risk moderately, maintaining a Sharpe ratio of 0.47 and a sell percentage of 41%. Their trading style blends manual and automated elements, as suggested by a semi-bot score of 45/100, which may contribute to timely entries and exits.

Key strengths for Serpentine-Bandana include a solid equity growth trend and minimal drawdown duration, highlighting effective risk management. However, the moderate Sharpe ratio and reliance on a semi-bot strategy could expose them to market volatility or automated system limitations. Overall, Serpentine-Bandana demonstrates a disciplined, profitable approach on Polymarket but should monitor execution consistency to sustain gains.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

8
Profitable
PnL $+260,476
Contrarian
62% entries <$0.50
DCA Master
avg 15.3 entries/market
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
Whale
$949,686
Consistent
60/93 days
High Roller
$7,580/day
Cool Head
DD 7%

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$260,476
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$13,107,030
Total Redeem
$48,903
Portfolio
$4,321
Predictions
994
total markets
Trades
5619B / 3955S
Daily Volume
$7,580
Account Age
148d
since Feb 19, 2026

Periods

#2
Week
$26,652
Vol: $1,421,874
Month
$36,661
Vol: $1,955,857
All Time
$260,476
Vol: $13,107,030

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
49%
216W / 221L events
Realized PnL
$587,757
Win Rate
69%
24W / 11L
Profit Factor
5.3x
Avg Win
$2,629
Avg Loss
$-1,083

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $38,198 (74.6% of PnL)

Top Winners

Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winner$27,963
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 Winner$6,219
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs 4ikibamboni - Game 1 Winner$4,016
Dota 2: REKONIX vs Grind Back - Game 2 Winner$2,998
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs 4ikibamboni - Game 2 Winner$2,836
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - The International $2,130
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winner$2,061
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid (BO5) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs$1,730
Dota 2: OG vs Grind Back - Game 1 Winner$1,580
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winner$1,262

Top Losers

Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner$-3,133
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group $-2,026
Dota 2: OG vs Grind Back - Game 4 Winner$-1,965
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B$-1,256
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage$-800
Dota 2: OG vs Grind Back - Game 3 Winner$-767
Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs Team Bald - Game 2 Winner$-727
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoff$-470
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner$-431
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group $-185

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.473
Sortino
1.065
HHI
101
Diversified
EV per $1
$1.134
Kelly %
51.7%
Half-Kelly
25.9%
Top-1 market
3.4%
Top-5 markets
12.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
76.4
Very active
Markets / Day
2.9
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
13s
between trades
Avg Gap
12.1m
between trades
Night Trading
1%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.46
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.6

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 13s — suspiciously fastSize CV 2.46 — diverse, typical for human1% at night — normal sleep pattern21/24 hours — extended daySession CV 1.29 — human randomness76 trades/day — mass trading599 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
15.3
Heavy DCA
<=1
36 entries
<=2
67 entries
<=5
120 entries
<=10
194 entries
<=20
275 entries
<=50
354 entries
>50
14 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)19.6%
Mid (20-55c)49.9%
High (>55c)30.5%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 0%

Other$51,177

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.2
Events covered
296

Single bracket

<=1
232 brackets
<=2
289 brackets
<=3
295 brackets
<=4
296 brackets
<=5
296 brackets
<=8
296 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
2/21/2026, 12:14:56 PM2 trades$51 min
2/21/2026, 12:33:58 PM9 trades$2410 min
2/21/2026, 12:55:12 PM8 trades$277 min
2/21/2026, 1:08:18 PM7 trades$243 min
2/21/2026, 1:26:26 PM1 trades$20 min
2/21/2026, 1:33:04 PM4 trades$102 min
2/21/2026, 1:49:46 PM7 trades$1216 min
2/21/2026, 2:11:38 PM1 trades$50 min
2/21/2026, 2:21:38 PM3 trades$113 min
2/21/2026, 2:35:04 PM2 trades$62 min
2/21/2026, 2:49:16 PM3 trades$113 min
2/21/2026, 3:22:32 PM3 trades$75 min
2/22/2026, 11:36:24 AM9 trades$4978 min
2/22/2026, 11:57:26 AM2 trades$1560 min
2/22/2026, 12:04:08 PM1 trades$820 min
2/22/2026, 12:12:18 PM3 trades$4260 min
2/22/2026, 2:58:16 PM12 trades$1,02610 min
2/22/2026, 3:24:14 PM4 trades$954 min
2/22/2026, 4:41:16 PM14 trades$1,16016 min
2/22/2026, 5:04:10 PM2 trades$220 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-21
03-13
04-07
04-28
05-16
05-31
06-24

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
41.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 15.3/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.2 br/event