Polydata

@Shoddy-Gamebird

#2,584,892100

0xf70e836efb3cd0b6d6af0c55d975a9b0053c3204

618d· 487 markets · 1446 tradesVol: $82,1732026-05-20T12:43
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

100
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 95%20/20
Profit Factor 57.02x15/15
Sharpe 0.80515/15
Sortino 139102.17410/10
EV $+46.39110/10
HHI 9410/10
Profit Days 93%10/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

Shoddy-Gamebird is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, with 1,446 trades executed across 379 markets over 130 days. Despite a high win rate of 86.9% and a profit factor of 7.60, this trader currently holds a net loss of $747.23, placing them at rank #2,584,892 on the global PnL leaderboard. Their portfolio value remains low at $12.23, reflecting limited realized gains and a flat equity trend.

The trading style of Shoddy-Gamebird is characterized by a preference for diverse markets, with only 1% exposure to weather markets and a moderate sell percentage of 34%. Their approach appears risk-conscious, supported by a Sharpe ratio of 0.80 and no prolonged drawdown durations. The trader’s Smart Score of 100/100 indicates elite analytical skills, while the low Bot Score confirms manual trading. Timing-wise, Shoddy-Gamebird seems to capitalize on opportunities with a sniper-like precision, consistent with badges like Sniper and Win Streak and a contrarian mindset.

Shoddy-Gamebird’s strengths lie in their consistency, high win rate, and effective risk management, as evidenced by stable equity and a strong profit factor. However, the persistent net loss and low portfolio value suggest challenges in converting winning trades into sustainable profitability. For those analyzing Polymarket participants, Shoddy-Gamebird represents a trader with solid skills but potential liquidity or capital constraints impacting long-term gains.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

6
Sniper
Win Rate 95%
Lottery Player
35% entries <$0.20
Contrarian
77% entries <$0.50
Win Streak
24 wins in a row
Consistent
13/14 days
Cool Head
DD 0%

Categories

9
CRYPTO#1,456,917$-699Vol: $78,777
SPORTS#1,234,559$-11Vol: $1,546
🎭 CULTURE#634,225$-6Vol: $995
🏛️ POLITICS#1,283,985$-17Vol: $443
🌤️ WEATHER#229,054$-16Vol: $227
💰 FINANCE#91,246$2Vol: $134
📈 ECONOMICS#314,670$-0Vol: $20
💻 TECH#90,010$0Vol: $17
📢 MENTIONS#84,373$-1Vol: $15

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-747
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$82,173
Total Redeem
$17
Portfolio
$12
Predictions
487
total markets
Trades
949B / 497S
Daily Volume
$91
Account Age
618d
since Sep 9, 2024

Periods

#2
Today
$-3
Vol: $55
Week
$-54
Vol: $9,807
Month
$-166
Vol: $16,517
All Time
$-747
Vol: $82,173

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
96%
217W / 10L events
Realized PnL
$1,983
Win Rate
87%
193W / 29L
Profit Factor
7.6x
Avg Win
$9
Avg Loss
$-8

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $192 (12.9% of PnL)

Top Winners

Solana Up or Down - March 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET$77
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET$68
Solana Up or Down - March 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET$46
Solana Up or Down - March 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET$43
Solana Up or Down - April 17, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET$43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET$40
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET$39
Solana Up or Down - April 19, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$37
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET$35
Solana Up or Down - March 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$35

Top Losers

Solana Up or Down - March 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET$-39
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET$-24
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET$-21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$-17
Solana Up or Down - March 15, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET$-17
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET$-14
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$-13
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$-10
Solana Up or Down - March 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$-7
Solana Up or Down - February 20, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET$-7

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.805
Sortino
inf
HHI
94
Diversified
EV per $1
$46.391
Kelly %
78.5%
Half-Kelly
39.2%
Top-1 market
5.4%
Top-5 markets
12.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
16.3
Active
Markets / Day
4.3
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
5.1m
between trades
Night Trading
14%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.95
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
17 min
Avg Trades / Session
14.4

Bot Detection

#6
10
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 60s — typical for humanSize CV 1.94 — diverse, typical for human14% at night — normal sleep pattern20/24 hours — extended daySession CV 0.74 — human randomness16 trades/day — very active

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 22:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.5
Moderate DCA
<=1
124 entries
<=2
218 entries
<=5
358 entries
<=10
378 entries
<=20
379 entries
<=50
379 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)34.9%
Mid (20-55c)48.8%
High (>55c)16.3%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 58.3%

Other$1,482
Atlanta$6
Madrid$1

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
375

Single bracket

<=1
371 brackets
<=2
375 brackets
<=3
375 brackets
<=4
375 brackets
<=5
375 brackets
<=8
375 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
2/20/2026, 8:17:20 PM1 trades$20 min
2/20/2026, 8:26:54 PM39 trades$24050 min
2/20/2026, 9:30:26 PM4 trades$2511 min
2/20/2026, 9:59:36 PM24 trades$17840 min
2/20/2026, 10:47:40 PM7 trades$6111 min
2/20/2026, 11:09:26 PM4 trades$94 min
2/20/2026, 11:20:24 PM1 trades$20 min
2/20/2026, 11:26:00 PM20 trades$16829 min
2/21/2026, 12:04:56 AM19 trades$18734 min
2/21/2026, 12:47:50 AM2 trades$561 min
2/21/2026, 1:02:46 AM10 trades$2408 min
2/21/2026, 1:17:46 AM1 trades$40 min
2/21/2026, 1:23:02 AM22 trades$48632 min
2/21/2026, 2:00:26 AM8 trades$2368 min
2/21/2026, 2:15:06 AM24 trades$79835 min
2/21/2026, 3:00:20 AM8 trades$3899 min
2/21/2026, 3:15:36 AM4 trades$633 min
2/21/2026, 3:27:46 AM10 trades$75913 min
2/21/2026, 3:53:24 AM11 trades$56020 min
3/13/2026, 9:25:47 AM5 trades$695 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-20
03-13
04-18
05-15
05-17
05-19
06-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0.8% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
34.4% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.5/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event