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@Shoddy-Harmonise

#21053

0xf28e42d20e4826f2b10a24bc952001697947cab2

201d· 1138 markets · 2916 tradesVol: $15,238,2892026-06-05T19:16
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

53
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 32%1/20
Profit Factor 1.50x9/15
Sharpe 0.1863/15
Sortino 0.3423/10
EV $+0.50210/10
HHI 5710/10
Profit Days 54%6/10
DD/Peak 17%10/10

Summary

Shoddy-Harmonise is a highly active trader on Polymarket, ranked #210 on the global PnL leaderboard with a net profit of $699,143.26 from 2,916 trades across 917 markets over 186 days. Their total trading volume exceeds $15 million, reflecting significant engagement, while maintaining a stable portfolio value around $5. The trader holds an average Smart Score of 53 and a Sharpe ratio of 0.19, indicating moderate risk-adjusted returns.

This trader favors a high-frequency, low-risk style focused on frequent winning trades, as evidenced by a 93.2% win rate and an outstanding profit factor of 17.98. Shoddy-Harmonise does not participate in weather markets or use sell orders, suggesting a preference for straightforward, long-position betting. The absence of drawdown duration indicates disciplined risk management and quick recovery. Their activity pattern suggests consistent engagement rather than long-term position holding, supported by badges such as Diamond Hands and High Roller.

Key strengths for Shoddy-Harmonise include remarkable profitability, a strong win streak, and high trade volume, which together signal expert market timing and effective risk control on Polymarket. However, the relatively low Sharpe ratio and flat equity trend imply limited upside volatility capture, and the low Bot Score suggests human-driven trading that may be vulnerable to emotional decision-making under stress.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

6
Profitable
PnL $+699,143
Diamond Hands
0% sell
Win Streak
56 wins in a row
Whale
$4,274,829
High Roller
$22,983/day
Cool Head
DD 17%

Categories

1
SPORTS#120$699,143Vol: $15,238,289

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$699,143
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$15,238,289
Total Redeem
$4,521,521
Portfolio
$5
Predictions
1138
total markets
Trades
2916B / 0S
Daily Volume
$22,983
Account Age
201d
since Dec 7, 2025

Periods

#2
Today
$-2,881
Vol: $8,010
Week
$68,875
Vol: $526,185
Month
$68,875
Vol: $435,551
All Time
$699,143
Vol: $15,238,289

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
34%
185W / 365L events
Realized PnL
$2,440,589
Win Rate
93%
357W / 26L
Profit Factor
17.98x
Avg Win
$5,536
Avg Loss
$-4,229

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $308,008 (16.5% of PnL)

Top Winners

Thunder vs. Spurs$154,321
76ers vs. Celtics$78,531
Rockets vs. Lakers$75,157
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets$48,735
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)$45,777
Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H Moneyline$38,505
Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 211.5$38,184
Hawks vs. Knicks$35,676
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)$31,474
Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 237.5$29,175

Top Losers

Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)$-39,037
Knicks vs. Spurs$-18,828
Lakers vs. Rockets$-11,834
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5$-7,904
Pelicans vs. Rockets$-6,915
Spread: Heat (-2.5)$-4,270
Bulls vs. Spurs: O/U 242.5$-3,492
Nuggets vs. Grizzlies$-3,486
UFC 328: Djorden Santos vs. Baisangur Susurkaev (Middleweight, Ea$-3,040
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)$-2,905

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.186
Sortino
0.342
HHI
57
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.502
Kelly %
89.4%
Half-Kelly
44.7%
Top-1 market
2.9%
Top-5 markets
9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
16.3
Active
Markets / Day
5.1
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
0:00 UTC
Median Gap
48s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
47%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.15
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.2

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 48s — typical for humanSize CV 3.15 — diverse, typical for human47% at night — bot never sleeps19/24 hours — extended daySession CV 1.16 — human randomness16 trades/day — very active784 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 0:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.2
Moderate DCA
<=1
582 entries
<=2
716 entries
<=5
836 entries
<=10
877 entries
<=20
904 entries
<=50
915 entries
>50
2 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)14.5%
Mid (20-55c)47.8%
High (>55c)37.7%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 44.4%

Other$1,806,712
Houston$26,281
Miami$21,966
Atlanta$9,184
Chicago$1,584
Toronto$380
Los Angeles$351
San Francisco$98
Seattle$0
Denver$0
Austin$0

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.6
Events covered
567

Single bracket

<=1
386 brackets
<=2
489 brackets
<=3
533 brackets
<=4
549 brackets
<=5
555 brackets
<=8
564 brackets
>8
3 brackets

Sessions

#12
12/7/2025, 6:44:25 PM2 trades$2,7000 min
12/7/2025, 8:08:19 PM1 trades$2,2090 min
12/7/2025, 8:55:45 PM1 trades$6110 min
12/7/2025, 9:32:25 PM1 trades$1120 min
12/7/2025, 9:44:41 PM1 trades$8000 min
12/8/2025, 2:30:49 AM1 trades$1,5000 min
12/10/2025, 2:15:54 AM1 trades$60 min
12/11/2025, 3:30:51 AM2 trades$224 min
12/12/2025, 3:51:16 AM1 trades$1910 min
12/12/2025, 4:22:40 AM1 trades$800 min
12/14/2025, 10:34:45 PM1 trades$800 min
12/17/2025, 2:33:07 AM2 trades$8630 min
12/19/2025, 3:06:37 AM1 trades$4810 min
12/20/2025, 10:38:05 PM1 trades$4480 min
12/20/2025, 11:33:45 PM2 trades$6002 min
12/21/2025, 1:16:53 AM1 trades$5470 min
12/21/2025, 1:29:57 AM3 trades$4254 min
12/21/2025, 1:54:55 AM1 trades$1980 min
12/21/2025, 3:35:09 AM1 trades$2210 min
12/21/2025, 4:01:07 AM1 trades$5940 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-07
01-13
02-21
03-19
04-15
05-09
06-10

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.2/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.6 br/event