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@Shoddy-Harmonise

#43949

0xf28e42d20e4826f2b10a24bc952001697947cab2

164d· 998 markets · 2734 tradesVol: $13,075,0122026-05-14T14:48
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

49
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 34%2/20
Profit Factor 1.33x7/15
Sharpe 0.1403/15
Sortino 0.2352/10
EV $+0.32710/10
HHI 5410/10
Profit Days 53%6/10
DD/Peak 23%9/10

Summary

Shoddy-Harmonise is a highly active trader on Polymarket, holding the global PnL leaderboard rank of #439. Over 167 days of trading, they executed 2,734 trades across 894 markets with a total volume exceeding $13 million. Their net profit and loss (PnL) stands at $345,443.84, supported by a strong win rate of 94.7% and an impressive profit factor of 20.54. Despite these numbers, their Sharpe ratio is relatively low at 0.14, and their portfolio value is currently at zero, indicating recent liquidation or withdrawal of funds.

The trader prefers a broad range of markets, with no exposure to weather-related events and a consistent approach of holding positions without selling (0% sell rate). Shoddy-Harmonise demonstrates a risk profile characterized by frequent yet controlled trades, maintaining a zero max drawdown duration, suggesting disciplined risk management. Their trading style appears to be steady and human-driven, as indicated by the bot score of 30/100, with an emphasis on long-term holding ("Diamond Hands") and high-volume wagers, reflecting a high roller strategy.

Shoddy-Harmonise’s key strengths include a high win rate and profit factor, signaling effective market selection and timing on Polymarket. Their badges highlight reliability and strong performance streaks. However, the downward equity trend raises concerns about sustainability and potential overexposure. Additionally, the low Sharpe ratio suggests limited risk-adjusted returns, which may expose the trader to volatility despite consistent profits.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

6
Profitable
PnL $+345,444
Diamond Hands
0% sell
Win Streak
61 wins in a row
Whale
$3,669,342
High Roller
$21,972/day
Cool Head
DD 23%

Categories

1
SPORTS#212$345,444Vol: $13,075,012

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$345,444
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$13,075,012
Total Redeem
$3,894,034
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
998
total markets
Trades
2734B / 0S
Daily Volume
$21,972
Account Age
164d
since Dec 7, 2025

Periods

#2
Today
$-55,111
Vol: $88,888
Week
$-49,573
Vol: $479,344
Month
$-155,068
Vol: $1,206,579
All Time
$345,444
Vol: $13,075,012

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
35%
191W / 349L events
Realized PnL
$1,903,274
Win Rate
95%
391W / 22L
Profit Factor
20.54x
Avg Win
$4,441
Avg Loss
$-3,843

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $202,423 (12.3% of PnL)

Top Winners

76ers vs. Celtics$78,531
Rockets vs. Lakers$75,157
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets$48,735
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)$45,777
Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 211.5$38,184
Hawks vs. Knicks$35,676
Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 237.5$29,175
Spread: Nuggets (-8.5)$28,889
Kansas Jayhawks vs. Arizona State Sun Devils$28,827
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Iowa State Cyclones$28,763

Top Losers

Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)$-39,037
Lakers vs. Rockets$-11,834
Pelicans vs. Rockets$-6,915
Spread: Heat (-2.5)$-4,270
Bulls vs. Spurs: O/U 242.5$-3,492
Nuggets vs. Grizzlies$-3,486
Rams vs. Seahawks: O/U 45.5$-3,395
UFC 328: Djorden Santos vs. Baisangur Susurkaev (Middleweight, Ea$-3,040
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)$-2,905
LIU Sharks vs. Wagner Seahawks: O/U 139.5$-1,089

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.140
Sortino
0.235
HHI
54
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.327
Kelly %
90.8%
Half-Kelly
45.4%
Top-1 market
2.2%
Top-5 markets
8.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
17.4
Active
Markets / Day
5.7
Active Hours
17/24
Extended
Peak Hour
0:00 UTC
Median Gap
46s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.0h
between trades
Night Trading
46%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.19
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.2

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 46s — typical for humanSize CV 3.20 — diverse, typical for human46% at night — bot never sleeps17/24 hours — normal hoursSession CV 1.14 — human randomness17 trades/day — very active731 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 0:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.1
Moderate DCA
<=1
586 entries
<=2
707 entries
<=5
822 entries
<=10
859 entries
<=20
883 entries
<=50
892 entries
>50
2 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)14.7%
Mid (20-55c)46.9%
High (>55c)38.4%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 45.5%

Other$1,593,578
Houston$26,281
Miami$23,118
Chicago$8,517
Los Angeles$351
San Francisco$98
Atlanta$36
Seattle$0
Denver$0
Austin$0

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.5
Events covered
600

Single bracket

<=1
418 brackets
<=2
530 brackets
<=3
575 brackets
<=4
588 brackets
<=5
597 brackets
<=8
600 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
12/7/2025, 6:44:25 PM2 trades$2,7000 min
12/7/2025, 8:08:19 PM1 trades$2,2090 min
12/7/2025, 8:55:45 PM1 trades$6110 min
12/7/2025, 9:32:25 PM1 trades$1120 min
12/7/2025, 9:44:41 PM1 trades$8000 min
12/8/2025, 2:30:49 AM1 trades$1,5000 min
12/10/2025, 2:15:54 AM1 trades$60 min
12/11/2025, 3:30:51 AM2 trades$224 min
12/12/2025, 3:51:16 AM1 trades$1910 min
12/12/2025, 4:22:40 AM1 trades$800 min
12/14/2025, 10:34:45 PM1 trades$800 min
12/17/2025, 2:33:07 AM2 trades$8630 min
12/19/2025, 3:06:37 AM1 trades$4810 min
12/20/2025, 10:38:05 PM1 trades$4480 min
12/20/2025, 11:33:45 PM2 trades$6002 min
12/21/2025, 1:16:53 AM1 trades$5470 min
12/21/2025, 1:29:57 AM3 trades$4254 min
12/21/2025, 1:54:55 AM1 trades$1980 min
12/21/2025, 3:35:09 AM1 trades$2210 min
12/21/2025, 4:01:07 AM1 trades$5940 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-07
01-09
02-06
03-07
03-27
04-19
05-09

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.1/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.5 br/event