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Silent-Obsidian

@Silent-Obsidian

#2,13495

0x57b00c3ccef1b6bd6962fb9ca463c4e0b38e76f4

749d· 2281 markets · 10343 tradesVol: $7,838,725 @ChaoticAna92026-06-26T17:44
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

95
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 98%20/20
Profit Factor 349.00x15/15
Sharpe 0.51210/15
Sortino 1715492.25610/10
EV $+2.45710/10
HHI 12310/10
Profit Days 99%10/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

Silent-Obsidian is a highly active trader on Polymarket, with over 10,000 trades executed across 300 different markets over 509 days. Ranking #2134 on the global PnL leaderboard, they have generated a net profit of $78,913.59 on a total volume exceeding $7.8 million. Their Smart Score of 95/100 places them in the elite category, highlighting consistent performance and skill. The trader maintains a portfolio value of $53,746.40 with an upward equity trend, indicating steady growth.

This trader’s strategy reflects a moderate risk profile with a win rate of 64.2% and a profit factor of 1.02, suggesting profitable but relatively tight margins. Silent-Obsidian appears to employ a mix of manual and semi-automated trading, as evidenced by a bot score of 55/100. Their activity is diversified across many markets, but they do not engage in weather-related markets. The sell percentage of 46% and badges like DCA Master indicate they use dollar-cost averaging and selective exit timing to optimize returns.

Silent-Obsidian’s key strengths include a consistent upward equity trend, a short maximum drawdown duration, and elite-level smart scoring, demonstrating disciplined risk management and effective trade execution. However, the modest profit factor near 1.0 and a Sharpe ratio of 0.51 suggest limited risk-adjusted returns, which could pose challenges in highly volatile conditions or extended market downturns. Overall, Silent-Obsidian shows reliable performance on Polymarket with cautious but steady growth.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

8
Sniper
Win Rate 98%
Profitable
PnL $+78,914
DCA Master
avg 18.7 entries/market
Win Streak
32 wins in a row
Whale
$1,114,352
Consistent
70/71 days
High Roller
$2,189/day
Cool Head
DD 0%

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#930$53,608Vol: $4,876,118
🎭 CULTURE#1,022$7,635Vol: $929,197
📈 ECONOMICS#1,418$2,734Vol: $647,166
CRYPTO#6,394$7,312Vol: $475,495
💰 FINANCE#2,309$1,945Vol: $256,010
📢 MENTIONS#538$3,004Vol: $205,029
💻 TECH#1,369$938Vol: $166,869
SPORTS#27,432$1,413Vol: $131,326
🌤️ WEATHER#3,778$267Vol: $41,856

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$78,914
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$7,838,725
Total Redeem
$114,327
Portfolio
$53,746
Predictions
2281
total markets
Trades
5613B / 4730S
Daily Volume
$2,189
Account Age
749d
since Jun 28, 2024

Periods

#2
Today
$1,024
Vol: $55,816
Week
$-2,416
Vol: $291,262
Month
$3,479
Vol: $970,842
All Time
$78,914
Vol: $7,838,725

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
97%
220W / 6L events
Realized PnL
$117,635
Win Rate
64%
147W / 82L
Profit Factor
1.02x
Avg Win
$1,116
Avg Loss
$-1,962

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $35,232 (1121% of PnL)

Top Winners

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$12,655
Will Phan Van Giang be elected General Secretary of the Vietnames$11,729
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$10,848
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?$9,709
Will Tran Cam Tu be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese C$9,108
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$6,116
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$5,304
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential $4,527
Will Luong Cuong be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese C$4,485
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?$4,191

Top Losers

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?$-12,797
New "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday? $-11,816
Will Putin visit China by May 31?$-9,853
Will Trump Insult Xi this week?$-9,188
Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?$-8,445
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?$-7,810
Will Trump visit China by May 31?$-5,939
Fact Check: Maduro capture staged?$-4,554
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?$-4,402
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101?$-4,012

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.512
Sortino
inf
HHI
123
Diversified
EV per $1
$2.457
Kelly %
17.2%
Half-Kelly
8.6%
Top-1 market
3.5%
Top-5 markets
15.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
32.8
Active
Markets / Day
1.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
11:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
37.0m
between trades
Night Trading
26%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.82
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.2

Bot Detection

#6
55
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 236s — typical for humanSize CV 1.82 — diverse, typical for human26% at night — bot never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.02 — human randomness33 trades/day — suspiciously high316 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 11:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
18.7
Heavy DCA
<=1
38 entries
<=2
62 entries
<=5
114 entries
<=10
170 entries
<=20
223 entries
<=50
270 entries
>50
30 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)16.6%
Mid (20-55c)16.1%
High (>55c)67.4%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 35.6%

Other$7,458
Los Angeles$-303
Taipei$-4,012

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.5
Events covered
201

Single bracket

<=1
148 brackets
<=2
176 brackets
<=3
193 brackets
<=4
196 brackets
<=5
197 brackets
<=8
201 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
8/15/2025, 1:16:30 PM1 trades$610 min
8/15/2025, 1:30:02 PM1 trades$620 min
8/22/2025, 12:21:10 PM1 trades$360 min
8/22/2025, 3:59:54 PM1 trades$380 min
8/22/2025, 8:47:10 PM1 trades$760 min
8/24/2025, 6:33:23 AM1 trades$790 min
8/27/2025, 9:02:47 PM1 trades$90 min
8/28/2025, 1:48:05 AM1 trades$50 min
8/28/2025, 8:16:37 AM1 trades$60 min
9/4/2025, 5:01:52 AM1 trades$160 min
9/6/2025, 12:40:10 PM1 trades$160 min
9/24/2025, 9:16:45 AM1 trades$1780 min
9/24/2025, 9:23:41 AM1 trades$70 min
9/25/2025, 3:20:56 AM1 trades$20 min
9/25/2025, 3:45:56 AM2 trades$30 min
9/25/2025, 6:30:04 AM1 trades$470 min
9/25/2025, 7:40:38 AM3 trades$36 min
9/25/2025, 10:28:55 AM1 trades$10 min
9/25/2025, 12:50:07 PM1 trades$300 min
9/26/2025, 5:01:47 AM1 trades$940 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
10-15
11-30
01-09
03-07
05-31
12-09

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
45.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 18.7/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.5 br/event