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@Silky-Pinworm

#68,06873

0xefae56742a8a63eb48289c3eb6c472f7d52d3ace

157d· 571 markets · 2198 tradesVol: $152,6382026-06-27T08:01
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

73
Very Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 46%8/20
Profit Factor 1.67x11/15
Sharpe 0.51510/15
Sortino 0.4424/10
EV $+0.64510/10
HHI 20810/10
Profit Days 85%10/10
DD/Peak 10%10/10

Summary

Silky-Pinworm is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, ranked #68068 on the global profit and loss leaderboard. Over 323 days, they have executed 2,198 trades across 299 markets, generating a net PnL of $1,242.96 from a total trading volume of $152,638. Their portfolio value remains stable at $200.85, reflecting a consistent but modest equity trend. With a Smart Score of 73/100, Silky-Pinworm is considered a very good trader, maintaining a high win rate of 91.7%.

Silky-Pinworm’s trading style is characterized by a strong preference for weather markets, which constitute 96% of their activity. Their approach combines semi-automated bot strategies with manual intervention, as indicated by their Bot Score of 45/100. They exhibit a risk-averse profile, evidenced by a low sell percentage of 5%, a profit factor of 106.42, and a Sharpe ratio of 0.52, suggesting moderate risk-adjusted returns. Their timing pattern favors frequent trades and dollar-cost averaging, aligning with badges like “DCA Master” and “Diamond Hands,” indicative of a steady and patient approach.

Key strengths for Silky-Pinworm include a high win rate and low drawdown duration, which minimize losses and preserve capital. Their contrarian and lottery player badges suggest an ability to identify undervalued opportunities and capitalize on volatility. However, potential risks involve overconcentration in weather markets and reliance on semi-automated systems, which might limit flexibility in rapidly changing conditions. Overall, Silky-Pinworm’s disciplined and steady trading style positions them well within Polymarket’s competitive environment.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

9
Profitable
PnL $+1,243
Lottery Player
63% entries <$0.20
Contrarian
91% entries <$0.50
Diamond Hands
5% sell
DCA Master
avg 7.0 entries/market
Weather Pro
96% weather
Win Streak
46 wins in a row
Consistent
76/89 days
Cool Head
DD 10%

Categories

4
🌤️ WEATHER#1,174$1,326Vol: $124,722
SPORTS#1,400,267$-21Vol: $19,575
CRYPTO#1,370,017$-67Vol: $6,129
🎭 CULTURE#83,366$6Vol: $2,213

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$1,243
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$152,638
Total Redeem
$4,250
Portfolio
$201
Predictions
571
total markets
Trades
2082B / 116S
Daily Volume
$38
Account Age
157d
since Feb 11, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$-11
Vol: $0
Week
$-56
Vol: $10,175
Month
$-17
Vol: $13,604
All Time
$1,243
Vol: $152,638

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
84%
150W / 29L events
Realized PnL
$6,936
Win Rate
92%
55W / 3L
Profit Factor
106.42x
Avg Win
$16
Avg Loss
$-3

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $284 (31.9% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 72°F or higher on April$105
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on March 20?$102
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on Apr$77
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 58°F or higher on Apri$63
Genius FDV above $200M one day after launch?$58
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 0°C on March 27?$50
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 10°C or higher on Marc$47
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 8°C or higher on March$46
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on Apr$45
Genius FDV above $50M one day after launch?$39

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 2°C on March 27?$-7
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 8°C on April 5?$-1
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.515
Sortino
0.442
HHI
208
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.645
Kelly %
90.2%
Half-Kelly
45.1%
Top-1 market
7.1%
Top-5 markets
24.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
16.4
Active
Markets / Day
2.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
10:00 UTC
Median Gap
6.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
57.2m
between trades
Night Trading
31%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.02
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.5

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 398s — typical for humanSize CV 4.02 — diverse, typical for human31% at night — bot never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.00 — human randomness16 trades/day — very active491 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 10:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7
Active DCA
<=1
64 entries
<=2
103 entries
<=5
167 entries
<=10
230 entries
<=20
283 entries
<=50
297 entries
>50
2 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)63.3%
Mid (20-55c)27.6%
High (>55c)9.1%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 80.3%

Chicago$212
Dallas$163
Toronto$135
Other$114
Seoul$102
Seattle$55
Mexico City$28
New York City$21
Wuhan$17
Lucknow$14
Paris$13
Denver$8
Miami$3
San Francisco$2
Tel Aviv$2
Istanbul$1
Beijing$0
Buenos Aires$0

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
2.3
Events covered
132

Moderate coverage

<=1
56 brackets
<=2
87 brackets
<=3
102 brackets
<=4
122 brackets
<=5
127 brackets
<=8
132 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
2/11/2026, 7:26:33 PM1 trades$130 min
2/11/2026, 10:56:35 PM1 trades$300 min
2/11/2026, 11:52:29 PM1 trades$00 min
2/12/2026, 12:36:29 AM1 trades$00 min
2/12/2026, 2:03:15 AM2 trades$20 min
2/12/2026, 2:18:41 AM3 trades$30 min
2/12/2026, 2:32:09 AM1 trades$10 min
2/12/2026, 3:04:19 AM1 trades$00 min
2/12/2026, 4:01:23 AM1 trades$00 min
2/12/2026, 4:50:43 AM2 trades$110 min
2/12/2026, 5:05:39 AM2 trades$10 min
2/12/2026, 6:32:17 AM3 trades$33 min
2/12/2026, 8:27:55 AM1 trades$10 min
2/12/2026, 9:13:01 AM1 trades$40 min
2/12/2026, 12:03:37 PM2 trades$20 min
2/12/2026, 12:20:29 PM1 trades$10 min
2/12/2026, 1:00:19 PM2 trades$30 min
2/12/2026, 3:00:59 PM2 trades$30 min
2/12/2026, 3:21:39 PM2 trades$50 min
2/12/2026, 9:32:35 PM1 trades$10 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-11
02-25
03-12
03-26
04-11
04-26
06-13

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
96% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
5.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 2.3 br/event