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@Silky-Pinworm

#62,65673

0xefae56742a8a63eb48289c3eb6c472f7d52d3ace

99d· 567 markets · 2194 tradesVol: $138,9342026-05-16T02:46
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

73
Very Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 46%8/20
Profit Factor 1.69x11/15
Sharpe 0.53310/15
Sortino 0.4384/10
EV $+0.68810/10
HHI 22010/10
Profit Days 86%10/10
DD/Peak 10%10/10

Summary

Silky-Pinworm is a moderately active trader on Polymarket with 2,194 trades across 299 markets over 323 days. Ranked #62,656 globally by net PnL, Silky-Pinworm has generated $1,274.26 in profit from a total trading volume of $138,934. Their win rate is notably high at 92.1%, supported by a strong profit factor of 118.33, indicating consistent gains relative to losses. The trader maintains a stable portfolio value around $100 and a Sharpe ratio of 0.53, showing moderate risk-adjusted returns.

The trader’s strategy heavily favors weather markets, comprising 97% of their activity, suggesting specialized knowledge or focus in this niche. Silky-Pinworm appears to follow a low-risk, high-frequency approach with a sell percentage of just 5%, indicating a preference for holding positions rather than frequent exits. The semi-automated trading style, as reflected by a bot score of 55/100, combines manual decisions with algorithmic support. Their timing seems steady with no prolonged drawdown periods, showing disciplined entry and exit points.

Silky-Pinworm’s strengths lie in their high win rate and disciplined risk management, which minimize drawdown and maintain portfolio stability. Their focus on niche weather markets may offer an informational edge but also concentrates risk exposure. The relatively low Sharpe ratio and flat equity trend suggest limited upside volatility, which might cap profits during bullish market phases. Overall, Silky-Pinworm demonstrates consistent, cautious trading on Polymarket with a strategy that favors steady gains over aggressive growth.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

9
Profitable
PnL $+1,274
Lottery Player
63% entries <$0.20
Contrarian
91% entries <$0.50
Diamond Hands
5% sell
DCA Master
avg 7.0 entries/market
Weather Pro
97% weather
Win Streak
46 wins in a row
Consistent
75/87 days
Cool Head
DD 10%

Categories

4
🌤️ WEATHER#1,000$1,326Vol: $124,722
CRYPTO#1,289,729$-68Vol: $6,100
SPORTS#236,694$11Vol: $5,900
🎭 CULTURE#79,387$6Vol: $2,213

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$1,274
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$138,934
Total Redeem
$4,373
Portfolio
$100
Predictions
567
total markets
Trades
2083B / 111S
Daily Volume
$39
Account Age
99d
since Feb 11, 2026

Periods

#2
Week
$-2
Vol: $1,606
Month
$128
Vol: $13,484
All Time
$1,274
Vol: $138,934

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
85%
148W / 27L events
Realized PnL
$6,839
Win Rate
92%
58W / 3L
Profit Factor
118.33x
Avg Win
$17
Avg Loss
$-3

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $288 (29.1% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 72°F or higher on April$105
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on March 20?$102
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on March 19?$81
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on Apr$77
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 58°F or higher on Apri$63
Genius FDV above $200M one day after launch?$58
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 0°C on March 27?$50
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 10°C or higher on Marc$47
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 8°C or higher on March$46
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on Apr$45

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 2°C on March 27?$-7
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 8°C on April 5?$-1
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.533
Sortino
0.438
HHI
220
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.688
Kelly %
90.7%
Half-Kelly
45.4%
Top-1 market
6.8%
Top-5 markets
26%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
24.5
Active
Markets / Day
3.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
10:00 UTC
Median Gap
6.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
55.4m
between trades
Night Trading
31%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.24
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.5

Bot Detection

#6
55
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 404s — typical for humanSize CV 4.24 — diverse, typical for human31% at night — bot never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.00 — human randomness24 trades/day — suspiciously high488 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 10:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7
Active DCA
<=1
62 entries
<=2
102 entries
<=5
166 entries
<=10
229 entries
<=20
283 entries
<=50
298 entries
>50
1 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)62.9%
Mid (20-55c)27.9%
High (>55c)9.2%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 75.8%

Chicago$225
Seoul$183
Dallas$163
Toronto$135
Other$120
Seattle$55
Mexico City$28
New York City$21
Wuhan$17
Lucknow$14
Paris$13
Denver$8
Miami$3
San Francisco$2
Tel Aviv$2
Istanbul$1
Beijing$0
Buenos Aires$0

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
2.3
Events covered
130

Moderate coverage

<=1
53 brackets
<=2
85 brackets
<=3
100 brackets
<=4
119 brackets
<=5
125 brackets
<=8
130 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
2/11/2026, 7:26:33 PM1 trades$130 min
2/11/2026, 10:56:35 PM1 trades$300 min
2/11/2026, 11:52:29 PM1 trades$00 min
2/12/2026, 12:36:29 AM1 trades$00 min
2/12/2026, 2:03:15 AM2 trades$20 min
2/12/2026, 2:18:41 AM3 trades$30 min
2/12/2026, 2:32:09 AM1 trades$10 min
2/12/2026, 3:04:19 AM1 trades$00 min
2/12/2026, 4:01:23 AM1 trades$00 min
2/12/2026, 4:50:43 AM2 trades$110 min
2/12/2026, 5:05:39 AM2 trades$10 min
2/12/2026, 6:32:17 AM3 trades$33 min
2/12/2026, 8:27:55 AM1 trades$10 min
2/12/2026, 9:13:01 AM1 trades$40 min
2/12/2026, 12:03:37 PM2 trades$20 min
2/12/2026, 12:20:29 PM1 trades$10 min
2/12/2026, 1:00:19 PM2 trades$30 min
2/12/2026, 3:00:59 PM2 trades$30 min
2/12/2026, 3:21:39 PM2 trades$50 min
2/12/2026, 9:32:35 PM1 trades$10 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-11
02-25
03-12
03-26
04-11
04-26
07-20

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
96.7% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
5.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 2.3 br/event