Polydata

@Silver-Perfume

#198,53795

0x754b36af5e01e56b15acc45a5b27102a0ab9d06a

65d· 427 markets · 624 tradesVol: $13,2682026-05-22T05:52
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

95
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 79%20/20
Profit Factor 2.67x15/15
Sharpe 0.56411/15
Sortino 0.97310/10
EV $+1.22210/10
HHI 5410/10
Profit Days 78%10/10
DD/Peak 17%10/10

Summary

Silver-Perfume is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, ranking #198,537 globally with a net profit of $115.15 from 624 trades across 345 markets over 64 days. Their total trading volume is $13,268, and they maintain a stable portfolio value of $129.47. The trader holds an elite Smart Score of 95/100, indicating strong performance and consistency, and a Profit Factor of 36.95, reflecting highly efficient trading relative to losses.

The trading style of Silver-Perfume is highly specialized, focusing exclusively on weather markets, which comprise 100% of their activity. Their approach is contrarian and hedging in nature, supported by badges like Contrarian and Hedger, suggesting a risk-aware strategy. With a 95.2% win rate and a moderate Sharpe Ratio of 0.56, Silver-Perfume appears to prioritize consistent, low-volatility gains rather than aggressive risk-taking. The trader sells about one-third of their positions, indicating a balanced approach between holding and profit-taking.

Silver-Perfume’s key strengths include a high win rate, elite Smart Score, and a flat equity trend with zero drawdown duration, all pointing to disciplined risk management and stable returns on Polymarket. However, their narrow market focus on weather and relatively low portfolio value may limit growth opportunities and diversification. The Bot Score of 30 suggests manual trading with fast execution, which could be an advantage in timing but also a potential risk if market conditions shift rapidly.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

8
Sniper
Win Rate 79%
Profitable
PnL $+115
Contrarian
53% entries <$0.50
Weather Pro
100% weather
Hedger
avg 2.3 brackets/event
Win Streak
68 wins in a row
Consistent
49/63 days
Cool Head
DD 17%

Categories

1
🌤️ WEATHER#5,514$115Vol: $13,268

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$115
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$13,268
Total Redeem
$404
Portfolio
$129
Predictions
427
total markets
Trades
420B / 204S
Daily Volume
$41
Account Age
65d
since Mar 18, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$-6
Vol: $559
Week
$-31
Vol: $2,030
Month
$-60
Vol: $6,489
All Time
$115
Vol: $13,268

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
84%
123W / 24L events
Realized PnL
$915
Win Rate
95%
180W / 9L
Profit Factor
36.95x
Avg Win
$4
Avg Loss
$-2

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $70 (10.1% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 11?$28
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 18?$22
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C or higher on April$19
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C or below on April $17
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on April 13?$17
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on May 2?$16
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on May 1?$15
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 15?$14
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on May 8?$11
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on May 3?$11

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 30?$-10
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 6?$-6
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on April 6?$-1
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on April 15?$-1
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on March 28?$-1
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on May 23?$-0
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 16?$-0
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 13?$-0
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on April 29?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.564
Sortino
0.973
HHI
54
Diversified
EV per $1
$1.222
Kelly %
92.7%
Half-Kelly
46.4%
Top-1 market
2.2%
Top-5 markets
7.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
9.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
5.5
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
11:00 UTC
Median Gap
6.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.9h
between trades
Night Trading
15%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.86
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.3

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 363s — typical for humanSize CV 0.86 — diverse, typical for human15% at night — different timezone?22/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 0.86 — human randomness318 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 11:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.2
Single entry
<=1
299 entries
<=2
333 entries
<=5
343 entries
<=10
345 entries
<=20
345 entries
<=50
345 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)21.2%
Mid (20-55c)35.2%
High (>55c)43.6%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 34.8%

London$325
Paris$220
Munich$135
Madrid$4
Milan$4
Amsterdam$2
Helsinki$1
Warsaw$0

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
2.3
Events covered
150

Moderate coverage

<=1
36 brackets
<=2
88 brackets
<=3
134 brackets
<=4
148 brackets
<=5
149 brackets
<=8
150 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
3/20/2026, 3:07:47 AM1 trades$70 min
3/20/2026, 11:32:13 AM1 trades$60 min
3/23/2026, 5:29:45 PM1 trades$50 min
3/23/2026, 9:55:51 PM1 trades$10 min
3/24/2026, 11:03:57 AM1 trades$30 min
3/24/2026, 11:30:13 AM1 trades$30 min
3/24/2026, 3:47:55 PM1 trades$90 min
3/24/2026, 4:05:09 PM2 trades$81 min
3/25/2026, 3:28:49 AM2 trades$222 min
3/25/2026, 10:20:19 AM1 trades$60 min
3/26/2026, 5:43:57 PM1 trades$90 min
3/27/2026, 2:09:13 AM1 trades$40 min
3/28/2026, 10:21:32 PM1 trades$30 min
3/28/2026, 11:34:44 PM1 trades$20 min
3/29/2026, 12:31:56 AM1 trades$10 min
3/29/2026, 10:20:40 PM1 trades$40 min
3/29/2026, 10:41:22 PM1 trades$20 min
3/29/2026, 10:59:00 PM2 trades$93 min
3/30/2026, 8:03:38 AM1 trades$40 min
3/30/2026, 8:19:22 AM1 trades$40 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-21
04-01
04-11
04-21
05-01
05-11
05-22

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
100% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
32.7% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.2/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 2.3 br/event