Polydata

@Silver-Perfume

#163,34793

0x754b36af5e01e56b15acc45a5b27102a0ab9d06a

109d· 1042 markets · 880 tradesVol: $36,9382026-07-06T03:54
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

93
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 67%18/20
Profit Factor 2.65x15/15
Sharpe 0.58711/15
Sortino 0.8478/10
EV $+1.48810/10
HHI 4010/10
Profit Days 77%10/10
DD/Peak 10%10/10

Summary

Silver-Perfume is a highly active trader on Polymarket, with 880 trades across 450 markets over 108 days. Despite a moderate portfolio value of $76.11, they have achieved a net profit of $218.51, placing them at #163347 on the global PnL leaderboard. Their elite Smart Score of 93/100 reflects consistent and effective trading performance, supported by a remarkable win rate of 99.4%.

The trader exclusively focuses on weather markets, showing a specialized and concentrated approach. Silver-Perfume demonstrates a contrarian trading style, as indicated by their badges, and typically holds positions with a relatively low sell percentage of 30%, suggesting strategic timing and selective exits. Their profit factor of 1357.93 and zero days of max drawdown duration indicate disciplined risk management, although the Sharpe ratio of 0.59 suggests moderate risk-adjusted returns.

Silver-Perfume’s key strength lies in their exceptional accuracy and consistency, which is evident from their win streaks and sniper badge. Their stable equity trend and minimal drawdowns highlight prudent risk control. However, their concentrated focus on a single market type—weather—may expose them to sector-specific volatility, and the relatively low portfolio value could limit scalability within Polymarket’s diverse market landscape.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

7
Sniper
Win Rate 67%
Profitable
PnL $+219
Contrarian
58% entries <$0.50
Weather Pro
100% weather
Win Streak
158 wins in a row
Consistent
75/97 days
Cool Head
DD 10%

Categories

1
🌤️ WEATHER#4,349$219Vol: $36,938

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$219
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$36,938
Total Redeem
$444
Portfolio
$76
Predictions
1042
total markets
Trades
614B / 266S
Daily Volume
$31
Account Age
109d
since Mar 18, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $25
Week
$1
Vol: $375
Month
$46
Vol: $1,116
All Time
$219
Vol: $36,938

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
69%
168W / 77L events
Realized PnL
$1,358
Win Rate
99%
161W / 1L
Profit Factor
1357.93x
Avg Win
$4
Avg Loss
$-1

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $43 (6.1% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C or below on April $18
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C or higher on May 2$13
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on June 4?$13
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on June 20?$12
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on May 28?$12
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 4?$11
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on May 14?$11
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 5?$11
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 22?$10
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 3?$10

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on March 28?$-1

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.587
Sortino
0.847
HHI
40
Diversified
EV per $1
$1.488
Kelly %
99.3%
Half-Kelly
49.7%
Top-1 market
1.7%
Top-5 markets
5.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
8.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
4.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
11:00 UTC
Median Gap
44.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.3h
between trades
Night Trading
18%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.90
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.4

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 2654s — typical for humanSize CV 0.90 — diverse, typical for human18% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.02 — human randomness380 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 11:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.4
Single entry
<=1
348 entries
<=2
417 entries
<=5
447 entries
<=10
449 entries
<=20
450 entries
<=50
450 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)29.5%
Mid (20-55c)32.4%
High (>55c)38.1%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 32.4%

London$230
Munich$182
Paris$165
Madrid$65
Milan$52
Amsterdam$13
Warsaw$0
Helsinki$0

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.6
Events covered
274

Single bracket

<=1
145 brackets
<=2
233 brackets
<=3
270 brackets
<=4
273 brackets
<=5
273 brackets
<=8
274 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
3/20/2026, 3:07:47 AM1 trades$70 min
3/20/2026, 11:32:13 AM1 trades$60 min
3/23/2026, 5:29:45 PM1 trades$50 min
3/23/2026, 9:55:51 PM1 trades$10 min
3/24/2026, 11:03:57 AM1 trades$30 min
3/24/2026, 11:30:13 AM1 trades$30 min
3/24/2026, 3:47:55 PM1 trades$90 min
3/24/2026, 4:05:09 PM2 trades$81 min
3/25/2026, 3:28:49 AM2 trades$222 min
3/25/2026, 10:20:19 AM1 trades$60 min
3/26/2026, 5:43:57 PM1 trades$90 min
3/27/2026, 2:09:13 AM1 trades$40 min
3/28/2026, 10:21:32 PM1 trades$30 min
3/28/2026, 11:34:44 PM1 trades$20 min
3/29/2026, 12:31:56 AM1 trades$10 min
3/29/2026, 10:20:40 PM1 trades$40 min
3/29/2026, 10:41:22 PM1 trades$20 min
3/29/2026, 10:59:00 PM2 trades$93 min
3/30/2026, 8:03:38 AM1 trades$40 min
3/30/2026, 8:19:22 AM1 trades$40 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-21
04-11
04-28
05-16
06-04
06-20
07-06
07-07

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
100% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
30.2% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.4/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.6 br/event