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Sleepy-Equality

@Sleepy-Equality

#1,31197

0x4c2da46b289847e3e8377c6f4ca3d520c620f8ae

985d· 945 markets · 18163 tradesVol: $15,064,6652026-06-26T12:04
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

97
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 92%20/20
Profit Factor 40.06x15/15
Sharpe 0.61612/15
Sortino 4.38910/10
EV $+25.32510/10
HHI 18110/10
Profit Days 91%10/10
DD/Peak 1%10/10

Summary

Sleepy-Equality is an experienced and highly active trader on Polymarket, ranked #1311 globally with a net profit of $136,813.91. Over 1119 days, they have executed 18,163 trades across 232 markets, accumulating a total volume exceeding $15 million. Their elite Smart Score of 97/100 highlights consistent strong performance, supported by an 81.9% win rate and a profit factor of 3.04, indicating efficient risk-adjusted returns.

This trader favors a diverse range of markets but shows no activity in weather markets, suggesting selective specialization. Sleepy-Equality’s trading style balances risk prudently, with a Sharpe ratio of 0.62 and zero days of max drawdown duration, reflecting controlled downside exposure. Their sell percentage at 57% points to a moderate tendency to realize gains rather than hold positions long-term. The combination of badges such as Sniper and Contrarian implies they capitalize on timely, sometimes contrarian entries, while the DCA Master tag suggests disciplined averaging-in strategies.

Key strengths for Sleepy-Equality include consistent profitability, a high win rate, and stable equity over a lengthy timeframe, underscoring resilience and skill in market navigation. Potential concerns involve a relatively modest portfolio value of $1,485.21, which may limit scaling opportunities. Additionally, while the bot score indicates a likely human trader, the fast interface use could pose challenges in managing fatigue or reaction time under volatile conditions.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

10
Sniper
Win Rate 92%
Profitable
PnL $+136,814
Lottery Player
30% entries <$0.20
Contrarian
65% entries <$0.50
DCA Master
avg 34.0 entries/market
Win Streak
20 wins in a row
Whale
$1,856,124
Consistent
84/92 days
High Roller
$1,659/day
Cool Head
DD 1%

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#485$104,109Vol: $11,753,949
🎭 CULTURE#290$26,637Vol: $2,022,888
📈 ECONOMICS#1,811$1,896Vol: $544,443
💰 FINANCE#1,215$4,020Vol: $446,295
CRYPTO#1,507,465$-335Vol: $102,905
📢 MENTIONS#167,212$-826Vol: $11,202
💻 TECH#17,760$9Vol: $3,024
SPORTS#1,608,384$-143Vol: $2,520

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$136,814
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$15,064,665
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$1,485
Predictions
945
total markets
Trades
7887B / 10276S
Daily Volume
$1,659
Account Age
985d
since Oct 22, 2023

Periods

#2
Today
$-58
Vol: $0
Week
$-125
Vol: $69,538
Month
$4,103
Vol: $1,057,160
All Time
$136,814
Vol: $15,064,665

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
95%
173W / 9L events
Realized PnL
$184,922
Win Rate
82%
163W / 36L
Profit Factor
3.04x
Avg Win
$793
Avg Loss
$-1,180

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $25,740 (29.6% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Israel invade Lebanon before September?$12,591
Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?$8,140
Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?$5,009
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?$4,910
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March $3,830
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before June?$3,081
Israel military action against Iran by Friday?$2,929
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?$2,645
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before May?$2,147
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$2,038

Top Losers

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by Friday?$-11,968
Iran military response by Friday?$-5,417
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?$-3,907
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$-1,967
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-1,855
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$-1,725
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?$-1,708
Israel strike on Iran on June 16?$-1,619
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?$-1,388
Hamas leadership out of Qatar before Trump in office?$-1,245

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.616
Sortino
4.389
HHI
181
Diversified
EV per $1
$25.325
Kelly %
66.7%
Half-Kelly
33.3%
Top-1 market
5.3%
Top-5 markets
21.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
20.0
Active
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
39.3m
between trades
Night Trading
16%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.22
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.0

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 146s — typical for humanSize CV 2.22 — diverse, typical for human16% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.00 — human randomness20 trades/day — very active

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
34
Heavy DCA
<=1
13 entries
<=2
27 entries
<=5
61 entries
<=10
96 entries
<=20
142 entries
<=50
187 entries
>50
45 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)30%
Mid (20-55c)40.5%
High (>55c)29.4%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 40.4%

Other$85,733
Netanyahu$918
Up or Down$168

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.5
Events covered
159

Single bracket

<=1
135 brackets
<=2
142 brackets
<=3
148 brackets
<=4
151 brackets
<=5
153 brackets
<=8
158 brackets
>8
1 brackets

Sessions

#12
12/29/2023, 2:09:45 PM1 trades$240 min
12/30/2023, 9:53:07 PM1 trades$250 min
1/2/2024, 4:21:22 PM1 trades$300 min
2/6/2024, 1:38:03 AM1 trades$100 min
2/19/2024, 7:14:08 PM1 trades$590 min
2/19/2024, 9:47:42 PM1 trades$590 min
2/20/2024, 9:57:55 AM1 trades$1990 min
2/28/2024, 8:34:28 PM1 trades$1200 min
3/9/2024, 4:31:22 PM1 trades$230 min
3/24/2024, 5:42:21 AM1 trades$10 min
3/31/2024, 4:36:04 PM1 trades$700 min
4/9/2024, 1:59:23 PM1 trades$30 min
4/9/2024, 3:34:35 PM1 trades$20 min
4/12/2024, 2:37:13 PM1 trades$950 min
4/17/2024, 4:19:10 PM1 trades$10 min
5/6/2024, 9:37:44 PM1 trades$310 min
5/14/2024, 3:44:23 AM1 trades$240 min
5/20/2024, 8:21:27 PM1 trades$440 min
5/21/2024, 9:28:15 AM1 trades$1390 min
5/21/2024, 9:51:05 AM1 trades$10 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
06-30
01-19
07-15
02-11
05-29
12-31

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
56.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 34/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.5 br/event