Polydata

@Slippery-Spine

#2,912,65897

0xb2ddc07c76d5c6802b398931adfb56a7711d7ec0

75d· 877 markets · 2333 tradesVol: $1,064,0642026-06-24T23:39
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

97
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 66%18/20
Profit Factor 6.20x15/15
Sharpe 0.71413/15
Sortino 9.89610/10
EV $+5.19710/10
HHI 3410/10
Profit Days 86%10/10
DD/Peak 1%10/10

Summary

Slippery-Spine is a highly active trader on Polymarket, engaging in 2,333 trades across 776 markets over 72 days. Despite a substantial total volume exceeding one million dollars, their net PnL stands at negative $60,201.32, placing them at rank #2,912,658 globally. The trader holds an elite Smart Score of 97/100, indicating strong skill, though their portfolio value is currently zero.

The trader’s style shows a preference for high-frequency trading with a contrarian approach, supported by a 97% win rate and a very high profit factor of 93.61. Slippery-Spine’s risk profile appears aggressive, maintaining a low sell percentage of 3% and showing diamond hands behavior. Their Sharpe ratio of 0.71 and zero-day max drawdown duration suggest they manage drawdowns effectively but take on significant volatility. The semi-bot score of 50/100 indicates a mixed manual and automated strategy.

Strengths of Slippery-Spine include their consistency in winning trades and ability to maintain stable equity despite large volumes. However, the substantial negative PnL and zero portfolio value raise concerns about realized losses or withdrawals. Their contrarian tactics may yield long-term gains but also expose them to considerable risk, which traders should monitor when analyzing their performance on Polymarket.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

8
Sniper
Win Rate 66%
Contrarian
69% entries <$0.50
Diamond Hands
3% sell
Win Streak
73 wins in a row
Whale
$325,622
Consistent
25/29 days
High Roller
$4,511/day
Cool Head
DD 1%

Categories

1
₿ CRYPTO#1,605,973$-60,201Vol: $1,064,064

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-60,201
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,064,064
Total Redeem
$191,413
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
877
total markets
Trades
2267B / 66S
Daily Volume
$4,511
Account Age
75d
since Apr 12, 2026

Periods

#2
Week
$-9
Vol: $73
Month
$-3,649
Vol: $99,702
All Time
$-60,201
Vol: $1,064,064

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
67%
250W / 125L events
Realized PnL
$154,796
Win Rate
97%
263W / 8L
Profit Factor
93.61x
Avg Win
$429
Avg Loss
$-151

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $6,013 (5.4% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$2,077
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET$2,025
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET$1,911
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET$1,869
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$1,846
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET$1,683
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$1,606
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET$1,570
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET$1,546
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET$1,539

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET$-810
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET$-279
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET$-40
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET$-28
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$-22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET$-19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$-8
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET$-1

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.714
Sortino
9.896
HHI
34
Diversified
EV per $1
$5.197
Kelly %
95.0%
Half-Kelly
47.5%
Top-1 market
1.3%
Top-5 markets
5.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
32.3
Active
Markets / Day
10.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
11:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
10.5m
between trades
Night Trading
3%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.24
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.9

Bot Detection

#6
50
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

8 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 74s — typical for humanSize CV 1.24 — diverse, typical for human3% at night — normal sleep pattern24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 0.99 — human randomness32 trades/day — suspiciously high11 markets/day — mass coverage376 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 11:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.9
Moderate DCA
<=1
188 entries
<=2
417 entries
<=5
721 entries
<=10
759 entries
<=20
773 entries
<=50
776 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)12.8%
Mid (20-55c)70.5%
High (>55c)16.6%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 65.9%

Other$111,710

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
776

Single bracket

<=1
776 brackets
<=2
776 brackets
<=3
776 brackets
<=4
776 brackets
<=5
776 brackets
<=8
776 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
4/12/2026, 1:25:33 AM2 trades$1860 min
4/12/2026, 1:47:19 AM4 trades$230 min
4/12/2026, 5:53:07 PM5 trades$8738 min
4/12/2026, 6:57:09 PM1 trades$980 min
4/12/2026, 7:55:19 PM1 trades$9150 min
4/12/2026, 8:45:53 PM2 trades$7860 min
4/12/2026, 8:55:25 PM3 trades$7990 min
4/13/2026, 5:51:01 AM7 trades$3,3400 min
4/13/2026, 6:10:57 AM6 trades$4,2970 min
4/13/2026, 6:41:05 AM4 trades$1,5800 min
4/13/2026, 7:00:51 AM4 trades$1,7450 min
4/13/2026, 7:06:05 AM4 trades$9120 min
4/13/2026, 7:35:19 AM3 trades$1,4130 min
4/13/2026, 7:46:07 AM2 trades$7840 min
4/13/2026, 8:21:21 AM4 trades$1,0360 min
4/13/2026, 8:55:33 AM5 trades$2,2480 min
4/13/2026, 9:25:47 AM2 trades$5800 min
4/13/2026, 10:25:29 AM3 trades$7670 min
4/13/2026, 10:36:53 AM2 trades$8720 min
4/13/2026, 10:59:01 AM1 trades$90 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-12
04-20
04-29
05-11
05-19
05-25
06-03
06-23

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
2.8% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.9/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event