Polydata

@Slow-Cupola

#4,59691

0x31a1f163e2168a09d2fda1bcb94ebd4f2c0b46c5

95d· 93 markets · 629 tradesVol: $195,7632026-06-05T23:07
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

91
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 96%20/20
Profit Factor 27.56x15/15
Sharpe 0.3126/15
Sortino 35.35810/10
EV $+0.44910/10
HHI 41910/10
Profit Days 90%10/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

Slow-Cupola is an elite-ranked trader on Polymarket, positioned at #4596 globally with a Smart Score of 91/100. Over 111 days, they executed 629 trades across 92 markets, achieving a net profit of $31,511.92 on a total volume of $195,763. Their win rate is impressively high at 94.6%, supported by a profit factor of 30.86, indicating strong profitability relative to losses.

The trading style of Slow-Cupola is characterized by selective market participation and low sell frequency, with only 10% of positions sold, suggesting a preference for holding winning trades. They avoid weather markets entirely, focusing on markets where they can apply contrarian and sniper tactics, as indicated by their badges. Their Sharpe ratio of 0.31 reflects moderate risk-adjusted returns, while the zero-day max drawdown duration points to effective capital preservation. Their activity pattern indicates a steady, measured approach rather than rapid-fire trading, consistent with a human trader rather than a bot.

Strengths for Slow-Cupola include exceptional consistency and a high win rate, which contribute to their elite status on Polymarket. Their ability to maintain a flat equity trend with minimal drawdowns demonstrates disciplined risk management. However, their relatively low Sharpe ratio and flat portfolio value might suggest limited upside volatility, which could cap potential gains. Additionally, their concentrated focus away from diverse markets like weather could expose them to sector-specific risks.

Badges

8
Sniper
Win Rate 96%
Profitable
PnL $+31,512
Contrarian
73% entries <$0.50
DCA Master
avg 6.1 entries/market
Win Streak
34 wins in a row
Whale
$79,210
Consistent
19/21 days
Cool Head
DD 0%

Categories

1
SPORTS#1,688$31,512Vol: $195,763

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$31,512
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$195,763
Total Redeem
$99,034
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
93
total markets
Trades
563B / 66S
Daily Volume
$714
Account Age
95d
since Mar 3, 2026

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
89%
42W / 5L events
Realized PnL
$31,503
Win Rate
95%
87W / 5L
Profit Factor
30.86x
Avg Win
$423
Avg Loss
$-238

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $19,210 (54% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Clube Náutico Capibaribe vs. Cuiabá EC end in a draw?$15,744
Will Gainare Tottori vs. Fukushima United FC end in a draw?$1,738
Spread: Clube Náutico Capibaribe (-2.5)$1,728
Will Hong Kong SAR win on 2026-03-26?$1,608
Spread: Cuiabá EC (-2.5)$1,518
Will Cuiabá EC vs. Ceará SC end in a draw?$1,404
Spread: Ceará SC (-2.5)$1,224
Will Londrina EC vs. Cuiabá EC end in a draw?$1,046
LoL: Movistar KOI vs FN Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Champions Ro$976
Montedio Yamagata vs. Tochigi SC: O/U 3.5$754

Top Losers

Counter-Strike: Acend vs CarritoSpain (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup $-532
Counter-Strike: CSDIILIT vs 8Sins (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qual$-501
Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs Hashiras (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch S$-99
Will CD Concepción vs. O'Higgins FC end in a draw?$-40
Blast Open Rotterdam 2026: Will a player break something during a$-20

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.313
Sortino
35.358
HHI
419
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.449
Kelly %
84.1%
Half-Kelly
42.0%
Top-1 market
12.6%
Top-5 markets
35%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
8.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
43.0m
between trades
Night Trading
34%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.35
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.7

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

5 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 216s — typical for humanSize CV 2.35 — diverse, typical for human34% at night — bot never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 0.97 — human randomness

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 23:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.1
Active DCA
<=1
21 entries
<=2
35 entries
<=5
62 entries
<=10
76 entries
<=20
86 entries
<=50
92 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)7.1%
Mid (20-55c)66.3%
High (>55c)26.6%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 68%

Other$33,449
Hong Kong$2,055
Shenzhen$88

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
2
Events covered
47

Moderate coverage

<=1
29 brackets
<=2
35 brackets
<=3
41 brackets
<=4
43 brackets
<=5
45 brackets
<=8
46 brackets
>8
1 brackets

Sessions

#12
3/2/2026, 11:56:17 PM1 trades$740 min
3/3/2026, 11:25:57 AM3 trades$2730 min
3/3/2026, 9:17:19 PM1 trades$1380 min
3/3/2026, 9:22:57 PM1 trades$1150 min
3/3/2026, 9:32:47 PM1 trades$380 min
3/3/2026, 9:41:15 PM1 trades$100 min
3/3/2026, 9:49:15 PM1 trades$350 min
3/8/2026, 11:12:15 PM30 trades$2,19419 min
3/8/2026, 11:39:07 PM3 trades$81 min
3/9/2026, 12:27:47 AM1 trades$2,0710 min
3/9/2026, 1:45:51 AM1 trades$310 min
3/9/2026, 2:06:39 AM3 trades$2153 min
3/9/2026, 2:18:47 AM1 trades$240 min
3/9/2026, 2:24:27 AM1 trades$2290 min
3/20/2026, 10:53:03 PM3 trades$671 min
3/20/2026, 11:14:47 PM6 trades$43611 min
3/20/2026, 11:31:55 PM6 trades$1,1569 min
3/20/2026, 11:49:09 PM5 trades$1,19311 min
3/21/2026, 12:05:17 AM2 trades$2900 min
3/21/2026, 12:13:17 AM3 trades$2184 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-01
03-09
03-21
03-26
03-30
04-04
04-19

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
10.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.1/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 2 br/event