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@Slow-Incision

#2,681,86352

0xed8baa66047c278893674938c03e1450d8b6e92c

177d· 322 markets · 1177 tradesVol: $82,182 @0_xMasque2026-05-18T09:07
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

52
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 46%8/20
Profit Factor 1.48x9/15
Sharpe 0.1663/15
Sortino 0.2442/10
EV $+0.91110/10
HHI 19410/10
Profit Days 44%3/10
DD/Peak 35%7/10

Summary

Slow-Incision is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, with 1,177 trades executed over 393 days. Despite a high trading volume of $82,182 across 317 markets, this trader holds a net loss of $2,572.20 and ranks relatively low on the global PnL leaderboard at #2,681,863. Their portfolio value is currently $217.30, and their overall performance metrics, including a Sharpe ratio of 0.17 and a profit factor of 2.16, suggest limited risk-adjusted returns.

The trading style of Slow-Incision leans toward a balanced approach with a near 50% win rate and an average Smart Score of 52/100, indicating moderate skill or consistency. They do not engage with weather markets and have a sell percentage of 28%, implying a preference for holding positions rather than frequent exits. The contrarian badge suggests Slow-Incision often takes positions against prevailing trends, while their low bot score confirms manual trading rather than algorithmic strategies.

Slow-Incision’s strengths include a stable equity trend and a profit factor above 2, implying some capacity to generate profits relative to losses. However, the overall net negative PnL and low Sharpe ratio point to potential risk management issues or inconsistent profitability. The absence of drawdown duration might indicate quick recovery from losses, but the large net loss and low rank highlight challenges in sustaining gains on Polymarket.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

2
Contrarian
93% entries <$0.50
Win Streak
12 wins in a row

Categories

6
CRYPTO#1,396,566$-218Vol: $41,955
SPORTS#1,630,703$-2,302Vol: $36,042
📈 ECONOMICS#606,892$-48Vol: $2,990
🌤️ WEATHER#52,648$1Vol: $500
💰 FINANCE#489,795$-3Vol: $416
🏛️ POLITICS#1,145,594$-7Vol: $279

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-2,572
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$82,182
Total Redeem
$47
Portfolio
$217
Predictions
322
total markets
Trades
849B / 328S
Daily Volume
$25
Account Age
177d
since Nov 24, 2025

Periods

#2
Today
$35
Vol: $0
Week
$35
Vol: $2,569
Month
$-606
Vol: $49,926
All Time
$-2,572
Vol: $82,182

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
48%
122W / 134L events
Realized PnL
$1,454
Win Rate
50%
116W / 116L
Profit Factor
2.16x
Avg Win
$20
Avg Loss
$-9

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $747 (61% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Club Independiente Petrolero win on 2026-05-13?$554
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$97
Will CD Oriente Petrolero win on 2026-05-14?$96
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main $93
Will Girona FC win on 2026-05-14?$92
Will Turkey qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$73
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$64
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET$60
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET$52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET$40

Top Losers

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?$-129
Spread: FC Nordsjælland (-2.5)$-20
Spread: FC Fredericia (-2.5)$-20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET$-20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET$-20
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?$-19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$-19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$-18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET$-17
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-12-03?$-17

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.166
Sortino
0.244
HHI
194
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.911
Kelly %
12.0%
Half-Kelly
6.0%
Top-1 market
9%
Top-5 markets
23.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
6.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.8
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
11:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
34.3m
between trades
Night Trading
3%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.85
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.4

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

5 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 154s — typical for humanSize CV 2.85 — diverse, typical for human3% at night — normal sleep pattern23/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 0.91 — human randomness

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 11:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.7
Moderate DCA
<=1
171 entries
<=2
221 entries
<=5
287 entries
<=10
310 entries
<=20
315 entries
<=50
316 entries
>50
1 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)26.9%
Mid (20-55c)69.4%
High (>55c)3.8%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 75.1%

Other$1,365
Madrid$-22
Paris$-118

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.1
Events covered
298

Single bracket

<=1
286 brackets
<=2
295 brackets
<=3
295 brackets
<=4
297 brackets
<=5
298 brackets
<=8
298 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
11/24/2025, 2:49:39 PM1 trades$1000 min
11/25/2025, 9:00:47 PM1 trades$250 min
11/25/2025, 9:17:25 PM1 trades$250 min
11/26/2025, 7:36:17 PM2 trades$5000 min
12/3/2025, 5:06:11 PM1 trades$170 min
12/5/2025, 9:24:57 PM1 trades$500 min
12/5/2025, 9:40:41 PM1 trades$500 min
12/14/2025, 3:09:03 PM2 trades$1000 min
1/8/2026, 7:14:24 PM1 trades$500 min
1/18/2026, 9:06:02 PM1 trades$1000 min
1/20/2026, 9:01:48 PM1 trades$100 min
1/27/2026, 8:01:33 AM1 trades$1000 min
1/29/2026, 2:44:46 PM2 trades$71 min
1/29/2026, 2:52:06 PM1 trades$30 min
2/5/2026, 6:17:19 PM1 trades$750 min
2/12/2026, 8:26:17 PM1 trades$500 min
2/24/2026, 3:48:12 PM1 trades$940 min
2/25/2026, 6:55:04 PM1 trades$1000 min
3/2/2026, 8:57:21 PM1 trades$730 min
3/17/2026, 7:30:11 AM7 trades$703 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-03
03-31
04-12
05-01
05-09
05-15
07-20

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
27.9% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.7/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.1 br/event