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@Slow-Incision

#2,829,66043

0xed8baa66047c278893674938c03e1450d8b6e92c

219d· 325 markets · 1208 tradesVol: $144,793 @0_xMasque2026-06-17T05:23
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

43
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 45%8/20
Profit Factor 1.28x6/15
Sharpe 0.1092/15
Sortino 0.1902/10
EV $+0.52210/10
HHI 18810/10
Profit Days 42%3/10
DD/Peak 59%2/10

Summary

Slow-Incision is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, having completed 1,208 trades across 320 markets over 393 days. Despite this activity level, the trader currently ranks #2,829,660 on the global PnL leaderboard with a net loss of $3,087.80. Their portfolio value stands at $48.45, reflecting a downward equity trend. The overall trading performance is average, supported by a Smart Score of 43/100 and a profit factor of 2.21, indicating some profitable trades but an overall negative outcome.

Slow-Incision’s strategy appears to be balanced but cautious, with a 50% win rate and a low Sharpe ratio of 0.11, suggesting limited risk-adjusted returns. The trader executes manual trades (Bot Score 15/100) and demonstrates a contrarian style, as indicated by their top badge, with a relatively low sell percentage of 27%. The absence of weather market trades and a zero-day max drawdown duration suggest disciplined risk management and selective market engagement. Their trading volume of $144,793 implies moderate exposure across diverse events.

Key strengths for Slow-Incision include a profit factor above 2 and a consistent trading cadence, but the declining equity and net losses present clear risks. The trader’s contrarian approach and win streak badge may indicate opportunistic entries, though the overall downward trend and low portfolio value highlight challenges in sustaining profitability on Polymarket.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

2
Contrarian
93% entries <$0.50
Win Streak
12 wins in a row

Categories

6
CRYPTO#1,517,216$-662Vol: $96,806
SPORTS#1,687,740$-2,294Vol: $36,085
📈 ECONOMICS#642,107$-123Vol: $10,708
🌤️ WEATHER#56,404$1Vol: $500
💰 FINANCE#507,545$-3Vol: $416
🏛️ POLITICS#1,173,066$-7Vol: $279

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-3,088
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$144,793
Total Redeem
$47
Portfolio
$48
Predictions
325
total markets
Trades
879B / 329S
Daily Volume
$26
Account Age
219d
since Nov 24, 2025

Periods

#2
Today
$-2
Vol: $1,847
Week
$-6
Vol: $1,847
Month
$-310
Vol: $59,664
All Time
$-3,088
Vol: $144,793

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
48%
122W / 131L events
Realized PnL
$1,484
Win Rate
50%
117W / 115L
Profit Factor
2.21x
Avg Win
$20
Avg Loss
$-9

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $747 (59.7% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Club Independiente Petrolero win on 2026-05-13?$554
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$97
Will CD Oriente Petrolero win on 2026-05-14?$96
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main $93
Will Girona FC win on 2026-05-14?$92
Will Turkey qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$73
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$64
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET$60
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET$52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET$40

Top Losers

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?$-129
Will FC Metz win on 2026-05-17?$-20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET$-20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET$-20
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?$-19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$-19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$-18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET$-17
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-12-03?$-17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$-17

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.109
Sortino
0.190
HHI
188
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.522
Kelly %
13.3%
Half-Kelly
6.7%
Top-1 market
8.7%
Top-5 markets
22.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
5.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.6
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
11:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
40.1m
between trades
Night Trading
3%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.80
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.4

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

5 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 154s — typical for humanSize CV 2.80 — diverse, typical for human3% at night — normal sleep pattern23/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 0.91 — human randomness

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 11:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.7
Moderate DCA
<=1
172 entries
<=2
222 entries
<=5
288 entries
<=10
311 entries
<=20
318 entries
<=50
319 entries
>50
1 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)29.2%
Mid (20-55c)67%
High (>55c)3.8%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 75.9%

Other$1,393
Madrid$-22
Paris$-118

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.1
Events covered
300

Single bracket

<=1
287 brackets
<=2
297 brackets
<=3
297 brackets
<=4
299 brackets
<=5
300 brackets
<=8
300 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
11/24/2025, 2:49:39 PM1 trades$1000 min
11/25/2025, 9:00:47 PM1 trades$250 min
11/25/2025, 9:17:25 PM1 trades$250 min
11/26/2025, 7:36:17 PM2 trades$5000 min
12/3/2025, 5:06:11 PM1 trades$170 min
12/5/2025, 9:24:57 PM1 trades$500 min
12/5/2025, 9:40:41 PM1 trades$500 min
12/14/2025, 3:09:03 PM2 trades$1000 min
1/8/2026, 7:14:24 PM1 trades$500 min
1/18/2026, 9:06:02 PM1 trades$1000 min
1/20/2026, 9:01:48 PM1 trades$100 min
1/27/2026, 8:01:33 AM1 trades$1000 min
1/29/2026, 2:44:46 PM2 trades$71 min
1/29/2026, 2:52:06 PM1 trades$30 min
2/5/2026, 6:17:19 PM1 trades$750 min
2/12/2026, 8:26:17 PM1 trades$500 min
2/24/2026, 3:48:12 PM1 trades$940 min
2/25/2026, 6:55:04 PM1 trades$1000 min
3/2/2026, 8:57:21 PM1 trades$730 min
3/17/2026, 7:30:11 AM7 trades$703 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-03
03-31
04-12
05-05
05-10
05-16
07-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
27.2% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.7/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.1 br/event