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@Small-Schoolhouse

#16,25237

0xeae9e73b5355ed9db2eca3de36b81afccfb89988

607d· 6839 markets · 2829 tradesVol: $1,079,5112026-06-24T08:38
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

37
Below Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 15%0/20
Profit Factor 1.20x5/15
Sharpe 0.0581/15
Sortino 0.0591/10
EV $+0.19710/10
HHI 510/10
Profit Days 84%10/10
DD/Peak 83%0/10

Summary

Small-Schoolhouse is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, ranked #16252 on the global PnL leaderboard with a net profit of $8,052.38 over 598 days. They have completed 2,829 trades across 2,343 markets, generating over one million dollars in total volume. Despite a below-average Smart Score of 37/100, Small-Schoolhouse maintains a high win rate of 99.8% and a profit factor of 656.45, though their Sharpe Ratio is very low at 0.06, indicating low risk-adjusted returns.

The trader’s strategy appears focused on high-frequency, low-risk trades with minimal drawdown periods, as evidenced by zero max drawdown duration. Small-Schoolhouse shows no activity in weather markets and does not engage in selling, suggesting a buy-and-hold approach aligned with their "Diamond Hands" badge. Their semi-automated trading style, reflected in a 65/100 Bot Score, combines bot guidance with manual decisions and favors consistent, contrarian plays, aiming for steady gains rather than large, volatile bets.

Small-Schoolhouse’s key strength lies in their consistency and near-flawless win rate, which contributes to steady profitability over a long period. However, the downward equity trend and low Sharpe Ratio highlight concerns about growth sustainability and risk management. Additionally, the relatively low Smart Score indicates room for improvement in market selection or timing on Polymarket. Overall, Small-Schoolhouse demonstrates disciplined trading but may face challenges scaling returns.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

5
Profitable
PnL $+8,052
Contrarian
100% entries <$0.50
Diamond Hands
0% sell
Win Streak
380 wins in a row
Consistent
123/147 days

Categories

5
CRYPTO#5,786$8,201Vol: $1,074,596
SPORTS#1,588,869$-120Vol: $4,460
🏛️ POLITICS#146,170$15Vol: $83
💰 FINANCE#413,594$-0Vol: $70
📈 ECONOMICS#434,866$-1Vol: $25

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$8,052
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,079,511
Total Redeem
$7,087
Portfolio
$11
Predictions
6839
total markets
Trades
2829B / 0S
Daily Volume
$15
Account Age
607d
since Nov 6, 2024

Periods

#2
Today
$11
Vol: $1,760
Week
$43
Vol: $5,461
Month
$-97
Vol: $20,737
All Time
$8,052
Vol: $1,079,511

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
15%
250W / 1448L events
Realized PnL
$5,860
Win Rate
100%
814W / 2L
Profit Factor
656.45x
Avg Win
$4
Avg Loss
$-3

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $63 (1.8% of PnL)

Top Winners

Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 13.5 Total Corners$24
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 7.5 Total Corners$20
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 2.5$19
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET$15
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET$15
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 0.5$15
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET$5

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$-4
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET$-2

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.058
Sortino
0.059
HHI
6
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.197
Kelly %
99.7%
Half-Kelly
49.8%
Top-1 market
0.6%
Top-5 markets
1.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
90.9
Very active
Markets / Day
75.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
6:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
11.1m
between trades
Night Trading
24%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.54
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.6

Bot Detection

#6
65
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

8 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
MEDIUM
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 354s — typical for humanSize CV 0.54 — diverse, typical for human24% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 0.82 — human randomness91 trades/day — mass trading75 markets/day — mass coverage1700 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 6:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.2
Single entry
<=1
1959 entries
<=2
2256 entries
<=5
2342 entries
<=10
2343 entries
<=20
2343 entries
<=50
2343 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0.1%
Mid (20-55c)99.6%
High (>55c)0.2%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 47.9%

Other$3,426

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
2339

Single bracket

<=1
2335 brackets
<=2
2339 brackets
<=3
2339 brackets
<=4
2339 brackets
<=5
2339 brackets
<=8
2339 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
5/23/2026, 6:26:20 AM1 trades$20 min
5/23/2026, 6:37:50 AM2 trades$20 min
5/23/2026, 6:46:00 AM1 trades$20 min
5/23/2026, 7:05:04 AM2 trades$20 min
5/23/2026, 7:17:49 AM2 trades$22 min
5/23/2026, 7:30:04 AM1 trades$20 min
5/23/2026, 7:50:43 AM2 trades$54 min
5/23/2026, 8:06:56 AM2 trades$54 min
5/23/2026, 8:35:05 AM1 trades$20 min
5/23/2026, 8:40:07 AM1 trades$20 min
5/23/2026, 9:09:44 AM1 trades$20 min
5/23/2026, 9:43:39 AM1 trades$20 min
5/23/2026, 9:57:07 AM2 trades$53 min
5/23/2026, 10:06:38 AM1 trades$20 min
5/23/2026, 10:14:27 AM1 trades$20 min
5/23/2026, 10:23:21 AM1 trades$20 min
5/23/2026, 10:38:31 AM1 trades$20 min
5/23/2026, 10:58:33 AM1 trades$20 min
5/23/2026, 11:09:43 AM2 trades$54 min
5/23/2026, 11:26:05 AM1 trades$20 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-29
10-23
12-30
03-04
04-15
05-17
06-14

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.2/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event