Polydata

@Smart-Compassion

#23963

0xd189664c5308903476f9f079820431e4fd7d06f4

620d· 21047 markets · 13474 tradesVol: $139,870,7832026-07-02T12:20
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

63
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 100%20/20
Profit Factor 0.38x0/15
Sharpe 0.1443/15
Sortino 95047954.95010/10
HHI 19510/10
Profit Days 100%10/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

Smart-Compassion is an experienced and active Polymarket trader, ranked #239 on the global profit and loss leaderboard. With over 13,000 trades across 335 markets and a net PnL exceeding $726,000, this trader demonstrates significant engagement over 632 days. Despite a high trading volume nearing $140 million, Smart-Compassion’s current portfolio value is relatively low at $212.50, indicating frequent position turnover rather than large holding sizes.

The trader’s strategy appears to emphasize diverse market participation with a low sell percentage of 6%, suggesting a preference for holding winning positions. Smart-Compassion has a moderate win rate of 35.9% and a profit factor below 1 at 0.38, which may indicate high-risk trades or reliance on occasional large gains. The flat equity trend and a Sharpe ratio of 0.14 point to low risk-adjusted returns, while the combination of manual and semi-bot trading hints at a mixed approach balancing automation with human judgment.

Smart-Compassion’s key strengths include a strong net PnL and consistent activity, supported by badges like Sniper and Diamond Hands, highlighting precision and patience. However, the low profit factor and modest Sharpe ratio suggest potential challenges in risk management and overall profitability sustainability. Traders following Smart-Compassion on Polymarket should be aware of these dynamics and the semi-automated nature of their approach.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

8
Sniper
Win Rate 100%
Profitable
PnL $+726,713
Lottery Player
36% entries <$0.20
Diamond Hands
6% sell
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
Whale
$4,783,675
Consistent
128/128 days
High Roller
$7,569/day

Categories

9
₿ CRYPTO#25$629,088Vol: $72,113,020
⚽ SPORTS#1,743$31,273Vol: $37,522,044
🏛️ POLITICS#1,247$38,974Vol: $17,354,820
🎭 CULTURE#1,256$6,157Vol: $3,704,187
📈 ECONOMICS#705$7,342Vol: $3,149,438
💻 TECH#584$2,831Vol: $1,840,946
💰 FINANCE#1,457$3,365Vol: $693,906
📢 MENTIONS#2,098$515Vol: $480,872
🌤️ WEATHER#280,547$-218Vol: $39,007

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$726,713
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$139,870,783
Total Redeem
$768,092
Portfolio
$213
Predictions
21047
total markets
Trades
12642B / 832S
Daily Volume
$7,569
Account Age
620d
since Oct 19, 2024

Periods

#2
Today
$1,217
Vol: $31,482
Week
$6,019
Vol: $2,111,312
Month
$3,149
Vol: $670,502
All Time
$726,713
Vol: $139,870,783

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
100%
215W / 1L events
Realized PnL
$12,166,146
Win Rate
36%
108W / 193L
Profit Factor
0.38x
Avg Win
$12,162
Avg Loss
$-17,897

Top Winners

Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?$399,769
Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?$388,480
Will Netherlands vs. Morocco end in a draw?$119,976
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?$77,596
No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?$66,066
Yoon out as president of South Korea before May?$63,946
Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year?$49,830
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $104K and $106K on July 1?$34,571
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $3100 on July 18?$26,277
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 20?$11,065

Top Losers

Nuggets vs. Thunder$-149,918
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?$-135,605
Knicks vs. 76ers$-125,000
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29?$-119,850
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets$-114,975
Suns vs. Trail Blazers$-101,948
Trail Blazers vs. Nets$-89,766
Clippers vs. Kings$-82,848
Mavericks vs. Nuggets$-78,002
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET$-75,116

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.144
Sortino
inf
HHI
195
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.454
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
8%
Top-5 markets
21.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
29.7
Active
Markets / Day
0.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
1:00 UTC
Median Gap
4s
between trades
Avg Gap
10.3m
between trades
Night Trading
50%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
7.15
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.0

Bot Detection

#6
60
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
41% < 3s — suspicious speedSize CV 7.15 — diverse, typical for human50% at night — bot never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.34 — human randomness30 trades/day — suspiciously high

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 1:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
38.8
Heavy DCA
<=1
45 entries
<=2
73 entries
<=5
114 entries
<=10
142 entries
<=20
201 entries
<=50
248 entries
>50
78 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)36.5%
Mid (20-55c)8.4%
High (>55c)55.1%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 35.2%

Up or Down$17,539
New York City$-86,099
Other$-2,072,125

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.1
Events covered
316

Single bracket

<=1
304 brackets
<=2
312 brackets
<=3
315 brackets
<=4
315 brackets
<=5
316 brackets
<=8
316 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
4/4/2025, 5:31:49 AM1 trades$21,2910 min
4/4/2025, 6:35:53 AM1 trades$21,2690 min
4/4/2025, 11:58:35 AM1 trades$90 min
4/4/2025, 3:07:15 PM1 trades$21,2480 min
4/4/2025, 3:16:43 PM2 trades$721 min
4/4/2025, 3:42:15 PM1 trades$50 min
4/4/2025, 6:40:01 PM2 trades$502 min
4/4/2025, 7:02:41 PM2 trades$01 min
4/4/2025, 7:30:24 PM3 trades$66 min
4/4/2025, 7:44:20 PM1 trades$10 min
4/4/2025, 8:03:10 PM1 trades$10 min
4/4/2025, 9:25:33 PM2 trades$35 min
4/4/2025, 9:39:31 PM1 trades$00 min
4/4/2025, 10:49:13 PM1 trades$00 min
4/4/2025, 10:56:31 PM1 trades$00 min
4/4/2025, 11:34:15 PM1 trades$20 min
4/8/2025, 4:01:12 PM4 trades$41,6064 min
5/3/2025, 7:52:12 AM2 trades$4,1934 min
5/3/2025, 8:17:54 AM1 trades$4,1930 min
5/3/2025, 8:49:04 AM1 trades$5180 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
07-23
09-30
11-14
02-06
03-27
07-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
6.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 38.8/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.1 br/event