Polydata

@Snarling-Yarn-Compromise

#2,534,96949

0x4101cab6fb710baf33a1834102aa31cb9a5dd968

22d· 1281 markets · 2000 tradesVol: $21,2592026-06-08T10:53
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

49
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 57%13/20
Profit Factor 3.99x15/15
EV $+0.1306/10
HHI 1410/10
Profit Days 45%4/10

Summary

Snarling-Yarn-Compromise is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, with 2,000 trades executed across 1,055 markets over 25 days. Despite a high win rate of 80.8% and a profit factor of 3.99, their overall net PnL stands at -$268.49, placing them at rank #2,534,969 on the global leaderboard. Their portfolio value has nearly depleted to $0.03, and their Sharpe ratio is slightly negative at -0.14, indicating limited risk-adjusted returns.

This trader employs an automated strategy, as reflected in their high bot score of 80/100 and very low sell percentage (2%), suggesting a buy-and-hold or long-term position approach. Snarling-Yarn-Compromise appears to focus on a broad range of markets without specialization (1,055 markets traded) but avoids weather markets entirely. The combination of a high win rate with a declining equity trend implies that timing or position sizing may be suboptimal, leading to gradual losses despite frequent successes.

The primary strength of Snarling-Yarn-Compromise lies in their consistent winning trades and effective use of automation, as highlighted by badges like Diamond Hands and Win Streak. However, their declining portfolio and negative net PnL signal potential risks related to drawdown management or overexposure. The lack of diversification in market strategy and limited active risk control mechanisms could hinder sustained profitability on Polymarket.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

3
Diamond Hands
2% sell
Bot
Score 80/100
Win Streak
111 wins in a row

Categories

6
CRYPTO#1,431,247$-194Vol: $17,300
🌤️ WEATHER#254,471$-41Vol: $2,717
📈 ECONOMICS#606,319$-24Vol: $528
💻 TECH#198,138$-5Vol: $265
SPORTS#1,036,562$-3Vol: $217
💰 FINANCE#475,242$-2Vol: $124

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-268
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$21,259
Total Redeem
$7,320
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1281
total markets
Trades
1964B / 36S
Daily Volume
$324
Account Age
22d
since May 17, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$-20
Vol: $83
Week
$-20
Vol: $1,373
Month
$-160
Vol: $10,214
All Time
$-268
Vol: $21,259

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
57%
251W / 191L events
Realized PnL
$1,345
Win Rate
81%
697W / 149L
Profit Factor
3.99x
Avg Win
$2
Avg Loss
$-2

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $53 (6.2% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET$19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET$18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET$16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET$12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET$10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET$9
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET$9
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET$9
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET$8
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET$8

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET$-13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$-12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET$-12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET$-12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET$-10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET$-9
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET$-9
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET$-9
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET$-8
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET$-8

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.135
Sortino
-0.174
HHI
14
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.130
Kelly %
63.5%
Half-Kelly
31.7%
Top-1 market
0.9%
Top-5 markets
2.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
109.8
Very active
Markets / Day
57.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
10.8m
between trades
Night Trading
26%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.91
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.6

Bot Detection

#6
80
BOT (automated trading)HIGH probability

8 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 270s — typical for humanSize CV 0.91 — diverse, typical for human26% at night — bot never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.01 — human randomness110 trades/day — automation58 markets/day — mass coverage442 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 23:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.9
Single entry
<=1
454 entries
<=2
831 entries
<=5
1048 entries
<=10
1055 entries
<=20
1055 entries
<=50
1055 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1.1%
Mid (20-55c)47.6%
High (>55c)51.3%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 46.9%

Other$851
Chongqing$2
Shanghai$0
Wuhan$0
Los Angeles$0
Houston$0
Seoul$0

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
1055

Single bracket

<=1
1055 brackets
<=2
1055 brackets
<=3
1055 brackets
<=4
1055 brackets
<=5
1055 brackets
<=8
1055 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
5/20/2026, 7:50:58 PM1 trades$200 min
5/20/2026, 7:59:11 PM1 trades$200 min
5/21/2026, 1:06:17 AM1 trades$160 min
5/21/2026, 4:18:07 AM1 trades$190 min
5/21/2026, 10:30:20 AM1 trades$120 min
5/21/2026, 11:31:09 AM1 trades$170 min
5/21/2026, 1:25:22 PM1 trades$160 min
5/21/2026, 1:41:40 PM1 trades$150 min
5/21/2026, 2:20:14 PM1 trades$130 min
5/21/2026, 2:51:11 PM1 trades$150 min
5/21/2026, 5:31:48 PM1 trades$140 min
5/21/2026, 5:46:02 PM1 trades$130 min
5/21/2026, 5:55:36 PM1 trades$160 min
5/21/2026, 6:05:19 PM1 trades$140 min
5/21/2026, 6:16:43 PM1 trades$170 min
5/21/2026, 6:51:53 PM2 trades$283 min
5/21/2026, 7:56:40 PM2 trades$265 min
5/21/2026, 10:01:09 PM1 trades$170 min
5/22/2026, 1:18:31 AM1 trades$200 min
5/22/2026, 1:35:28 AM1 trades$160 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-20
05-23
05-26
05-29
06-02
06-05
06-08

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0.5% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
1.8% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.9/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event