Polydata

@Soarin22

#7975

0x84dbb7103982e3617704a2ed7d5b39691952aeeb

621d· 1852 markets · 24576 tradesVol: $73,344,048 @Soarin222026-05-25T14:41
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

75
Very Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 98%20/20
Profit Factor 0.07x0/15
Sharpe 1.36615/15
Sortino 9.95610/10
HHI 6010/10
Profit Days 97%10/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

Soarin22 is a highly active trader on Polymarket, ranked #79 on the global PnL leaderboard. Over 211 days, they have executed 24,576 trades across 297 markets, generating a net profit of approximately $1.49 million on a total volume exceeding $73 million. Their portfolio value remains relatively stable at around $249,000, supported by a strong Sharpe ratio of 1.37, indicating consistent risk-adjusted returns. The trader holds a Smart Score of 75/100, reflecting solid performance metrics.

The trading style of Soarin22 is characterized by a contrarian approach, as noted by their badges, and a preference for manual or hybrid bot-assisted trades, given their Bot Score of 60/100. They exhibit a low win rate of 13.1% but maintain a long-term profitable strategy with a profit factor of 0.07, suggesting that their winners yield significant gains relative to losses. Soarin22 rarely sells positions (only 8% sell rate) and shows diamond-hands behavior, indicating a tendency to hold positions rather than frequently exiting. Their activity does not focus on weather markets, implying specialization in other event types.

Strengths of Soarin22 include disciplined risk management, reflected in a zero-day max drawdown duration and a steady equity trend. Their sniper-like precision and win streak badges highlight their ability to capitalize on select opportunities effectively. However, potential risks stem from the relatively low win rate and profit factor, which may indicate high variance and reliance on a few large wins to offset numerous losses. The semi-bot trading style may help balance automation and manual decision-making, but also suggests some vulnerability to market volatility and execution timing.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

9
Sniper
Win Rate 98%
Profitable
PnL $+1,487,891
Contrarian
53% entries <$0.50
Diamond Hands
8% sell
Win Streak
17 wins in a row
Whale
$10,719,479
Consistent
116/120 days
High Roller
$50,803/day
Cool Head
DD 0%

Categories

2
SPORTS#45$1,490,026Vol: $73,339,257
🏛️ POLITICS#1,543,165$-2,135Vol: $4,791

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$1,487,891
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$73,344,048
Total Redeem
$1,294,021
Portfolio
$248,833
Predictions
1852
total markets
Trades
22606B / 1970S
Daily Volume
$50,803
Account Age
621d
since Sep 11, 2024

Periods

#2
Today
$-23,417
Vol: $141,393
Week
$-23,417
Vol: $169,654
Month
$-91,121
Vol: $3,597,596
All Time
$1,487,891
Vol: $73,344,048

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
98%
243W / 4L events
Realized PnL
$9,338,179
Win Rate
13%
36W / 238L
Profit Factor
0.07x
Avg Win
$16,142
Avg Loss
$-36,623

Top Winners

Spurs vs. Thunder$161,221
Thunder vs. Lakers$80,984
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)$73,349
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)$60,047
Knicks vs. 76ers$38,650
Cavaliers vs. Knicks$35,929
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)$14,607
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers$12,800
Houston Astros vs. Cincinnati Reds$12,548
Mavericks vs. Knicks$11,510

Top Losers

Seahawks vs. 49ers$-153,440
Packers vs. Bears$-147,022
Bears vs. 49ers$-144,876
Raptors vs. Cavaliers$-125,698
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?$-121,668
Cavaliers vs. Trail Blazers$-109,350
Spread: Lakers (-16.5)$-104,803
Raptors vs. Magic$-104,571
Mavericks vs. Suns$-103,509
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves$-102,171

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
1.366
Sortino
9.956
HHI
60
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.792
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.7%
Top-5 markets
7.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
152.7
Very active
Markets / Day
1.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
16s
between trades
Avg Gap
7.9m
between trades
Night Trading
31%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.72
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
8 min
Avg Trades / Session
13.1

Bot Detection

#6
60
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 16s — typical for humanSize CV 5.72 — diverse, typical for human31% at night — bot never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.07 — human randomness153 trades/day — automation

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 23:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
76.1
Heavy DCA
<=1
18 entries
<=2
27 entries
<=5
46 entries
<=10
65 entries
<=20
107 entries
<=50
175 entries
>50
122 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)2.9%
Mid (20-55c)64.7%
High (>55c)32.4%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 44.3%

Los Angeles$23,877
Toronto$0
Houston$-7,865
Chicago$-12,300
Miami$-17,395
Other$-8,121,421

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.1
Events covered
268

Single bracket

<=1
248 brackets
<=2
263 brackets
<=3
266 brackets
<=4
267 brackets
<=5
267 brackets
<=8
268 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
12/15/2025, 5:05:45 PM1 trades$2,0000 min
12/15/2025, 6:11:11 PM1 trades$2,0000 min
12/15/2025, 7:43:09 PM11 trades$7828 min
12/15/2025, 8:01:41 PM15 trades$17318 min
12/15/2025, 9:23:55 PM2 trades$2,0000 min
12/15/2025, 9:32:29 PM3 trades$2,0001 min
12/15/2025, 9:51:43 PM1 trades$2,0000 min
12/15/2025, 10:14:59 PM104 trades$9,78278 min
12/15/2025, 11:44:53 PM6 trades$3,2645 min
12/16/2025, 12:02:57 AM1 trades$1,1850 min
12/16/2025, 12:19:21 AM3 trades$3,0571 min
12/16/2025, 12:25:57 AM9 trades$5,1395 min
12/16/2025, 12:44:21 AM3 trades$3,2000 min
12/16/2025, 1:11:17 AM16 trades$9,15412 min
12/16/2025, 1:56:57 AM5 trades$4,6583 min
12/16/2025, 2:10:51 AM10 trades$9,7307 min
12/16/2025, 2:32:17 AM4 trades$7,6500 min
12/16/2025, 4:26:15 PM78 trades$3,06019 min
12/16/2025, 5:02:23 PM27 trades$4,2827 min
12/16/2025, 5:17:29 PM29 trades$2,8008 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-02
01-03
01-29
02-27
03-19
04-15

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 76.1/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.1 br/event