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@Soarin22

#6830

0x84dbb7103982e3617704a2ed7d5b39691952aeeb

672d· 1899 markets · 24424 tradesVol: $76,726,615 @Soarin222026-07-07T10:12
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

30
Below Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 100%20/20
Profit Factor 0.16x0/15
HHI 5810/10
Profit Days 19%0/10

Summary

Soarin22 is a highly active trader on Polymarket, ranked #68 on the global PnL leaderboard with a net profit of over $2 million. Over 217 days, they have completed more than 24,000 trades across 292 different markets, accumulating a total volume exceeding $76 million. Despite this impressive scale, Soarin22’s smart score sits below average at 30/100, reflecting some challenges in consistent profitability. Their portfolio value is currently $7,250, and the equity trend shows upward growth.

The trading style of Soarin22 appears to be high-frequency with a contrarian approach, as indicated by their badges and low win rate of 15.7%. They maintain a low sell percentage of 7%, suggesting a tendency toward holding positions longer, supported by the “Diamond Hands” badge. Their profit factor is quite low at 0.16, and the negative Sharpe ratio (-0.68) points to risk-taking that may not be well compensated by returns. Soarin22 does not engage in weather markets and seems to blend semi-automated bot strategies with manual input, as reflected in the bot score of 65/100.

Soarin22’s key strength lies in their ability to generate significant volume and maintain an upward equity trend despite a challenging risk-return profile. Their contrarian and sniper trading badges suggest skill in timing and market entry, which can be valuable in volatile environments. However, the low win rate and negative Sharpe ratio highlight potential risks related to inconsistent trade outcomes and risk management. Traders observing Soarin22 on Polymarket should note the combination of high activity with a relatively aggressive and selective strategy that may not suit all risk preferences.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

7
Sniper
Win Rate 100%
Profitable
PnL $+2,044,129
Contrarian
51% entries <$0.50
Diamond Hands
7% sell
Win Streak
33 wins in a row
Whale
$11,750,793
High Roller
$54,151/day

Categories

2
SPORTS#45$2,046,515Vol: $76,771,824
🏛️ POLITICS#1,602,406$-2,135Vol: $4,791

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$2,044,129
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$76,726,615
Total Redeem
$3,034,772
Portfolio
$7,250
Predictions
1899
total markets
Trades
22618B / 1806S
Daily Volume
$54,151
Account Age
672d
since Sep 11, 2024

Periods

#2
Today
$27,000
Vol: $50,000
Week
$-12,050
Vol: $180,000
Month
$31,132
Vol: $330,284
All Time
$2,044,129
Vol: $76,726,615

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
100%
242W / 0L events
Realized PnL
$9,961,266
Win Rate
16%
42W / 226L
Profit Factor
0.16x
Avg Win
$32,796
Avg Loss
$-38,621

Top Winners

Spurs vs. Knicks$188,332
Spurs vs. Thunder$161,221
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$100,957
Spurs vs. Knicks$83,400
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes$76,539
Spurs vs. Thunder$73,039
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?$69,040
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22?$52,700
Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?$44,000
Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw?$43,582

Top Losers

Seahawks vs. 49ers$-150,884
Packers vs. Bears$-147,022
Bears vs. 49ers$-144,876
Thunder vs. Lakers$-133,708
Raptors vs. Cavaliers$-125,698
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?$-121,668
Cavaliers vs. Trail Blazers$-109,350
Spread: Lakers (-16.5)$-104,595
Raptors vs. Magic$-104,571
Mavericks vs. Suns$-103,509

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.680
Sortino
-0.873
HHI
59
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.655
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.6%
Top-5 markets
6.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
113.3
Very active
Markets / Day
1.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
14s
between trades
Avg Gap
8.5m
between trades
Night Trading
30%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.82
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.3

Bot Detection

#6
65
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 14s — suspiciously fastSize CV 5.82 — diverse, typical for human30% at night — bot never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.05 — human randomness113 trades/day — automation

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 23:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
77.5
Heavy DCA
<=1
19 entries
<=2
30 entries
<=5
54 entries
<=10
69 entries
<=20
108 entries
<=50
166 entries
>50
126 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)3%
Mid (20-55c)62.7%
High (>55c)34.3%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 25.1%

Los Angeles$66,301
Toronto$0
Chicago$0
Miami$-4,495
Houston$-20,326
Other$-7,392,377

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.1
Events covered
271

Single bracket

<=1
254 brackets
<=2
267 brackets
<=3
271 brackets
<=4
271 brackets
<=5
271 brackets
<=8
271 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
12/3/2025, 9:51:37 PM1 trades$5,0000 min
12/3/2025, 10:37:21 PM1 trades$2,4000 min
12/3/2025, 11:25:53 PM3 trades$15,0751 min
12/3/2025, 11:34:13 PM3 trades$4,3000 min
12/3/2025, 11:40:49 PM5 trades$1081 min
12/4/2025, 12:13:05 AM1 trades$5,3000 min
12/4/2025, 6:26:31 PM2 trades$16,1505 min
12/4/2025, 6:59:09 PM2 trades$9,1502 min
12/4/2025, 8:15:39 PM1 trades$2,2800 min
12/4/2025, 10:20:11 PM27 trades$4,00018 min
12/5/2025, 12:44:11 AM4 trades$27,0901 min
12/8/2025, 7:41:49 PM4 trades$6,9751 min
12/8/2025, 7:48:33 PM1 trades$250 min
12/8/2025, 9:14:53 PM1 trades$770 min
12/8/2025, 9:23:05 PM3 trades$2,2513 min
12/8/2025, 9:32:37 PM6 trades$3,9535 min
12/8/2025, 9:45:43 PM7 trades$1,26411 min
12/8/2025, 10:02:15 PM2 trades$1,5111 min
12/8/2025, 10:20:29 PM4 trades$8,4383 min
12/8/2025, 10:29:23 PM8 trades$85211 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-04
01-09
02-06
03-08
04-02
05-21
07-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
7.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 77.5/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.1 br/event