Polydata

@Sociable-Meadow

#2,914,55822

0x63a51cbb37341837b873bc29d05f482bc2988e33

85d· 135 markets · 715 tradesVol: $45,777,7712026-06-24T23:26
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

22
Below Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 43%6/20
Profit Factor 0.97x2/15
HHI 11710/10
Profit Days 43%3/10
DD/Peak 118%0/10

Summary

Sociable-Meadow is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, with 715 trades across 135 markets over 33 days. Despite a high win rate of 87.9% and a strong profit factor of 14.89, their overall net PnL stands at a significant loss of $-363,954.39, placing them at rank #2,914,558 globally. Their portfolio value is currently zero, reflecting a downward equity trend and a below-average Smart Score of 22/100.

This trader appears to favor high-volume, high-risk markets, as indicated by their large total trading volume of $45.7 million and classification as a "Whale" and "High Roller." With only 18% of trades involving selling and no activity in weather markets, Sociable-Meadow seems to adopt a mostly buy-and-hold style with a contrarian approach, as noted by their Contrarian badge. Their trading style combines automated and manual elements, suggested by a semi-bot score of 45/100, and they tend to execute trades in streaks.

Sociable-Meadow’s strengths include a high win rate and profit factor, suggesting effective trade selection despite the losses. However, the negative Sharpe ratio (-0.03) and zero portfolio value highlight significant risk and poor risk-adjusted returns. Their rapid drawdown recovery (0 days) may indicate quick position changes, but the overall downward equity trend presents a substantial concern for long-term sustainability on Polymarket.

Badges

4
Contrarian
55% entries <$0.50
Win Streak
34 wins in a row
Whale
$17,401,799
High Roller
$527,327/day

Categories

1
SPORTS#94$959,997Vol: $31,448,346

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-363,954
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$45,777,771
Total Redeem
$9,548,954
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
135
total markets
Trades
584B / 131S
Daily Volume
$527,327
Account Age
85d
since Apr 2, 2026

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
44%
54W / 70L events
Realized PnL
$7,912,533
Win Rate
88%
58W / 8L
Profit Factor
14.89x
Avg Win
$144,955
Avg Loss
$-70,582

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,158,690 (14.8% of PnL)

Top Winners

Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates$450,456
Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves$419,698
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Pl$288,536
Jazz vs. Lakers: O/U 236.5$281,060
San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5$272,845
San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5$270,915
Los Angeles Angels vs. Cincinnati Reds$265,600
Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Angels$264,727
Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians$232,879
Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)$227,382

Top Losers

Baltimore Orioles vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5$-207,128
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Kansas City Royals$-172,348
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Minnesota Twins$-99,036
Chicago Cubs vs. Cleveland Guardians$-78,985
San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Pirates$-3,088
San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5$-2,506
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group St$-1,488
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves$-77

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.034
Sortino
-0.055
HHI
117
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.035
Kelly %
79.1%
Half-Kelly
39.6%
Top-1 market
2.3%
Top-5 markets
10.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
26.6
Active
Markets / Day
5.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
1:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
44.6m
between trades
Night Trading
27%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.05
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.4

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 102s — typical for humanSize CV 1.05 — diverse, typical for human27% at night — bot never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 0.83 — human randomness27 trades/day — suspiciously high

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 1:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.3
Moderate DCA
<=1
18 entries
<=2
34 entries
<=5
102 entries
<=10
127 entries
<=20
135 entries
<=50
135 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)2.2%
Mid (20-55c)76.7%
High (>55c)21.1%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 32.3%

Other$5,171,837
Atlanta$918,077
San Francisco$541,078
Los Angeles$468,935
Seattle$332,314
Miami$251,508
Chicago$158,968
Madrid$0

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.1
Events covered
124

Single bracket

<=1
113 brackets
<=2
124 brackets
<=3
124 brackets
<=4
124 brackets
<=5
124 brackets
<=8
124 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
4/2/2026, 9:45:09 AM2 trades$14,7900 min
4/2/2026, 12:00:45 PM2 trades$44,2780 min
4/2/2026, 12:59:23 PM1 trades$39,4020 min
4/2/2026, 9:53:13 PM16 trades$68,4330 min
4/2/2026, 10:12:31 PM2 trades$67,2390 min
4/3/2026, 7:29:55 AM1 trades$3,9130 min
4/3/2026, 9:15:05 AM4 trades$53,5463 min
4/3/2026, 9:34:11 AM2 trades$19,5730 min
4/3/2026, 11:48:33 AM1 trades$9,8180 min
4/3/2026, 12:01:39 PM1 trades$29,5790 min
4/3/2026, 12:39:33 PM2 trades$87,8835 min
4/3/2026, 12:53:25 PM1 trades$19,6420 min
4/3/2026, 1:37:01 PM1 trades$19,6400 min
4/3/2026, 2:21:33 PM1 trades$19,6430 min
4/3/2026, 3:07:23 PM1 trades$19,6430 min
4/3/2026, 3:18:49 PM1 trades$19,6440 min
4/3/2026, 4:51:23 PM1 trades$19,0900 min
4/3/2026, 8:07:53 PM1 trades$44,2320 min
4/3/2026, 11:16:07 PM2 trades$83,2864 min
4/3/2026, 11:30:55 PM10 trades$98,3382 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-02
04-07
04-12
04-17
04-22
04-27

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
18.3% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.3/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.1 br/event