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@Soft-Independence

#2,661,16729

0x80c12889a79de5717208285edbf046ec8ea05f8d

237d· 113 markets · 795 tradesVol: $25,5212026-07-21T16:57
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

29
Below Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 69%19/20
Profit Factor 0.63x0/15
HHI 18510/10
Profit Days 27%0/10

Summary

Soft-Independence is a moderately active Polymarket trader, having executed 795 trades across 113 markets over 210 days. Despite a high win rate of 74.1%, their net profit and loss stands at -$174.18, placing them at rank #2,661,167 on the global PnL leaderboard. Their overall Smart Score is below average at 29/100, and the portfolio value is currently zero, indicating limited capital growth.

The trading style of Soft-Independence suggests a cautious approach with a relatively low risk tolerance, reflected in a profit factor of 0.78 and a slightly negative Sharpe ratio of -0.21. They do not participate in weather markets and maintain a 40% sell rate, which could imply a balanced exit strategy. Their equity trend shows upward growth, suggesting some improvement over time. The trader’s manual trading style is confirmed by a low bot score of 5/100, and their win streak and sniper badges indicate precision in timing entries.

Soft-Independence’s strengths include a high win rate and consistent activity, supported by an upward equity trend. However, the negative net PnL and profit factor below 1 highlight challenges in turning wins into profits on Polymarket. The below-average Smart Score and declining risk-adjusted returns point to potential inefficiencies or overexposure in certain trades, which could limit overall performance if not addressed.

Badges

2
Sniper
Win Rate 69%
Win Streak
18 wins in a row

Categories

4
CRYPTO#1,505,418$-165Vol: $17,418
🏛️ POLITICS#217,159$5Vol: $5,081
SPORTS#1,365,039$-11Vol: $2,442
📈 ECONOMICS#455,486$-1Vol: $500

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-174
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$25,521
Total Redeem
$1,519
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
113
total markets
Trades
475B / 320S
Daily Volume
$47
Account Age
237d
since Dec 2, 2025

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-1
Vol: $0
Month
$-1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-174
Vol: $25,521

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
74%
81W / 29L events
Realized PnL
$-109
Win Rate
74%
83W / 29L
Profit Factor
0.78x
Avg Win
$4
Avg Loss
$-15

Top Winners

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 18?$37
Will England win on 2026-06-17?$25
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$17
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on Janua$14
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$13
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$11
Ethereum Up or Down - January 29, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET$10
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$9
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET$9
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on Janua$9

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$-156
Ethereum Up or Down - February 3, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$-56
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET$-55
Ethereum Up or Down - January 19, 7AM ET$-36
Ethereum Up or Down - January 18, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$-33
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET$-33
Ethereum Up or Down - February 3, 1AM ET$-18
Solana Up or Down - February 4, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$-11
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June $-9
Ethereum Up or Down - January 29, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$-9

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.210
Sortino
-0.218
HHI
185
Diversified
EV per $1
$-2.707
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.2%
Top-5 markets
19.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
4.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
8:00 UTC
Median Gap
56s
between trades
Avg Gap
22.8m
between trades
Night Trading
12%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.53
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.2

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

5 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 56s — typical for humanSize CV 1.53 — diverse, typical for human12% at night — normal sleep pattern19/24 hours — extended daySession CV 1.12 — human randomness

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 8:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.2
Moderate DCA
<=1
44 entries
<=2
61 entries
<=5
96 entries
<=10
109 entries
<=20
111 entries
<=50
112 entries
>50
1 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)5.5%
Mid (20-55c)31.4%
High (>55c)63.2%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 43.5%

Other$-97

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
110

Single bracket

<=1
108 brackets
<=2
109 brackets
<=3
110 brackets
<=4
110 brackets
<=5
110 brackets
<=8
110 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
12/2/2025, 12:08:20 PM1 trades$110 min
12/2/2025, 6:15:08 PM1 trades$110 min
12/3/2025, 7:03:17 AM1 trades$110 min
12/3/2025, 7:20:43 AM1 trades$110 min
1/14/2026, 7:29:34 AM5 trades$5681 min
1/14/2026, 8:13:52 AM2 trades$1941 min
1/14/2026, 8:29:56 AM6 trades$990 min
1/14/2026, 9:27:30 AM5 trades$2321 min
1/18/2026, 4:12:04 PM3 trades$535 min
1/18/2026, 4:45:14 PM2 trades$190 min
1/19/2026, 12:42:16 PM1 trades$1090 min
1/19/2026, 12:53:00 PM1 trades$730 min
1/27/2026, 4:20:55 AM3 trades$285 min
1/27/2026, 5:29:31 AM3 trades$730 min
1/27/2026, 5:44:57 AM2 trades$1501 min
1/27/2026, 5:55:25 AM2 trades$541 min
1/27/2026, 8:24:51 AM5 trades$1406 min
1/27/2026, 9:43:01 AM2 trades$832 min
1/27/2026, 10:53:35 AM2 trades$543 min
1/27/2026, 11:12:57 AM2 trades$781 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-31
01-19
01-29
02-04
06-14
06-18
07-01
11-07

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
40.3% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.2/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event