Polydata
Sparkling8899

@Sparkling8899

#3,063,54711

0x2e25b222e2080c377fc1fb2b9f926315f0f4d49e

~15d· 21 markets · 14975 tradesVol: $38,746,0272026-07-31 15:25:51
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

11
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

38% (8/21)4/20
0.53x (win $3,935,557 / loss $7,443,688)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.5310/15
Sortino -5.2450/10
$-0.3242 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1174 (21 markets)6.6/10
4/14 profitable days (29%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($5,028,731 / $0)0/10

Badges

5
Contrarian
85% entries < $0.55
Diamond Hands
4% sells
Whale
$10,820,031 invested
High Roller
$37,440/day
🏗️Market Maker
95% maker orders

Categories

1
SPORTS#1,879,284$-29,554Vol: $38,746,027

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-29,554
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$38,746,027
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
21
total markets
Trades
14347B / 628S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~15d

Periods

#2
Today
$-3,924
Vol: $13,952
Week
$-6,509
Vol: $27,307
Month
$3,631,960
Vol: $20,470,813
All Time
$-29,554
Vol: $38,746,027

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
38%
8W / 13L events
Realized PnL
$-29,649
Win Rate
38%
8W / 13L
Profit Factor
0.53x
Avg Win
$491,945
Avg Loss
$-572,591

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,104,229 (104.6986913967575% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?$2,122,877
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?$532,077
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?$449,275
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?$398,173
Brewers vs. Dodgers$238,344
Norway vs. England: Team to Advance$109,530
Will England win on 2026-07-11?$55,709
Paraguay vs. Australia: O/U 1.5$29,571

Top Losers

Will United States win on 2026-06-12?$-2,987,845
Chiefs vs. Bills$-1,002,377
Blue Jays vs. Mariners$-1,000,182
Blue Jays vs. Mariners$-673,655
Will France win on 2026-07-09?$-500,074
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?$-484,283
Spread: France (-2.5)$-456,805
Norway vs. England: 1st Half O/U 1.5$-139,121
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?$-74,764
Buccaneers vs. Saints$-52,292

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.229
Sortino
-0.278
HHI
1220
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.324
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
26.7%
Top-5 markets
64.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
51.8
Very active
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
14/24
Extended
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
3s
between trades
Avg Gap
30s
between trades
Night Trading
12%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
17.06
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
39
Avg Duration
22 min
Avg Trades / Session
384.0

Bot Detection

#6
55
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
44% gaps < 3s — suspicious speedCV 17.06 — diverse sizes (human-like)11% night trades — normal pattern14/24 hours — normal schedule52 trades/day — mass trading0.1 markets/day — normal95% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
713.1
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)84.7%
High (>55c)15.3%

Sessions

#12
6/15/2026, 1:47:15 AM48 trades$2,179,0742 min
6/27/2026, 5:28:28 PM2744 trades$1,042,340274 min
6/12/2026, 9:05:01 PM1464 trades$1,004,01811 min
6/12/2026, 11:51:39 PM1776 trades$998,22555 min
6/12/2026, 4:09:57 PM4621 trades$696,959176 min
6/14/2026, 7:14:09 PM74 trades$600,0022 min
6/22/2026, 8:26:55 PM63 trades$581,0320 min
7/9/2026, 5:27:43 PM1253 trades$500,00554 min
11/2/2025, 8:26:43 PM38 trades$490,24228 min
10/22/2025, 3:52:41 PM1 trades$431,1420 min
10/15/2025, 9:12:01 PM21 trades$395,49434 min
10/16/2025, 8:59:45 PM1 trades$372,7940 min
10/22/2025, 3:42:07 PM1 trades$317,5850 min
6/12/2026, 8:16:34 PM107 trades$300,46111 min
10/16/2025, 4:19:31 PM1 trades$291,5080 min
11/2/2025, 7:32:33 PM37 trades$281,70218 min
10/16/2025, 3:46:29 PM11 trades$262,08014 min
10/15/2025, 6:06:37 PM1 trades$253,3940 min
10/22/2025, 3:58:41 PM1 trades$251,2730 min
7/11/2026, 5:45:25 PM2037 trades$245,01563 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-15
10-22
11-02
06-14
06-22
06-27
07-11

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
4.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 713.1/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L0 / M84.7 / H15.3