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@Spiffy-Revenue

#57771

0x2759769cd371bee44ec5bfc5e72c7f1f092b2b38

168d· 331 markets · 8148 tradesVol: $12,760,0902026-06-13T16:18
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

71
Very Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 37%3/20
Profit Factor 4.64x15/15
Sharpe 0.4278/15
Sortino 1.65810/10
EV $+8.75710/10
HHI 20810/10
Profit Days 49%5/10
DD/Peak 6%10/10

Summary

Spiffy-Revenue is an active trader on Polymarket, ranked #577 on the global PnL leaderboard with a net profit of $295,039.71. Over 156 days, they executed 8,148 trades across 244 markets, accumulating a total volume of over $12.7 million. Their portfolio value stands at $34,588.55, supported by a Smart Score of 71/100, indicating a very good level of trading skill.

The trader’s approach on Polymarket appears to be contrarian and long-term oriented, as suggested by badges like "Contrarian" and "Diamond Hands." Despite a relatively low win rate of 14.1% and a profit factor of 0.08, Spiffy-Revenue maintains a flat equity trend with minimal drawdown duration, pointing to disciplined risk management. Their style includes limited selling (5%), implying a preference for holding positions rather than frequent turnover. The semi-bot score of 50/100 suggests a hybrid strategy combining automated and manual trades.

Spiffy-Revenue’s strengths lie in consistency and resilience, supported by a 0-day max drawdown duration and a positive win streak. However, the low profit factor and modest Sharpe ratio of 0.43 indicate potential concerns around efficiency and risk-adjusted returns. The flat equity trend also suggests limited portfolio growth recently, which could challenge scalability or adaptability in volatile markets.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

7
Profitable
PnL $+295,040
Contrarian
80% entries <$0.50
Diamond Hands
5% sell
Win Streak
22 wins in a row
Whale
$1,999,684
High Roller
$12,818/day
Cool Head
DD 6%

Categories

1
SPORTS#256$293,091Vol: $12,755,624

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$295,040
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$12,760,090
Total Redeem
$213,633
Portfolio
$34,589
Predictions
331
total markets
Trades
7764B / 384S
Daily Volume
$12,818
Account Age
168d
since Jan 8, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$2,166
Vol: $92,253
Week
$-67,176
Vol: $481,780
Month
$-67,512
Vol: $485,534
All Time
$295,040
Vol: $12,760,090

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
39%
80W / 127L events
Realized PnL
$1,943,411
Win Rate
14%
29W / 176L
Profit Factor
0.08x
Avg Win
$4,021
Avg Loss
$-8,240

Top Winners

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?$45,111
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?$20,851
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?$16,638
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-24?$8,869
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?$7,439
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-05-24?$4,536
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?$2,296
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-24?$2,091
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?$1,603
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne $1,254

Top Losers

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11?$-85,443
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-03-16?$-69,125
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?$-69,074
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21?$-67,602
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-17?$-58,792
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?$-48,827
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?$-47,275
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?$-46,518
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-11?$-44,106
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-12?$-42,520

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.427
Sortino
1.658
HHI
208
Diversified
EV per $1
$8.757
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5.2%
Top-5 markets
22.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
57.9
Very active
Markets / Day
1.7
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
8s
between trades
Avg Gap
11.7m
between trades
Night Trading
3%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
6.39
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
7 min
Avg Trades / Session
17.2

Bot Detection

#6
50
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
52% < 10s — regular intervalSize CV 6.39 — diverse, typical for human3% at night — normal sleep pattern23/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.20 — human randomness58 trades/day — mass trading

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
31.8
Heavy DCA
<=1
64 entries
<=2
86 entries
<=5
115 entries
<=10
139 entries
<=20
170 entries
<=50
210 entries
>50
34 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)25.5%
Mid (20-55c)56%
High (>55c)18.5%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 13.2%

Milan$-32,081
Paris$-94,328
Madrid$-113,035
Other$-1,094,179

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.4
Events covered
180

Single bracket

<=1
130 brackets
<=2
166 brackets
<=3
180 brackets
<=4
180 brackets
<=5
180 brackets
<=8
180 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
1/23/2026, 7:49:22 PM60 trades$2,08012 min
1/24/2026, 1:45:22 PM28 trades$1,36219 min
1/24/2026, 2:10:04 PM6 trades$1595 min
1/24/2026, 2:29:26 PM2 trades$940 min
1/25/2026, 12:54:12 PM21 trades$2,9991 min
1/25/2026, 3:03:12 PM53 trades$4,4709 min
1/25/2026, 3:18:44 PM3 trades$1540 min
1/25/2026, 6:45:02 PM1 trades$100 min
1/25/2026, 7:02:58 PM1 trades$100 min
1/28/2026, 10:46:15 AM8 trades$4435 min
1/28/2026, 10:56:19 AM13 trades$65112 min
1/28/2026, 11:15:25 AM1 trades$10 min
1/28/2026, 11:22:13 AM13 trades$8517 min
1/28/2026, 11:47:05 AM2 trades$20 min
1/28/2026, 11:52:49 AM1 trades$30 min
1/28/2026, 11:59:07 AM17 trades$43019 min
1/28/2026, 12:42:29 PM2 trades$62 min
1/28/2026, 1:49:45 PM60 trades$2,09070 min
1/28/2026, 3:09:17 PM8 trades$1399 min
1/28/2026, 3:24:25 PM69 trades$4,12265 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-09
02-01
02-25
03-21
04-22
05-20
06-14

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
4.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 31.8/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.4 br/event