Polydata
Data is 5 days old — refreshing in background...

@Splendid-Collection

#3,15190

0x5652090d21c85a9d1ca5b6a41fe07f3099fb00c9

165d· 59 markets · 538 tradesVol: $372,4862026-05-16T09:39
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

90
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 78%20/20
Profit Factor 4.47x15/15
Sharpe 0.3026/15
Sortino 1.23010/10
EV $+0.61010/10
HHI 6039/10
Profit Days 84%10/10
DD/Peak 7%10/10

Summary

Splendid-Collection is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, ranking #3151 globally with a net profit of $44,788.18 from 538 trades across 59 markets. Over 397 days, they have achieved a strong win rate of 75.9% and maintained a profit factor of 4.55, indicating consistent profitability. Their portfolio value stands at $84,352.74, supported by a solid smart score of 90/100, placing them in the elite category.

This trader favors a diverse range of markets but notably avoids weather-related ones, focusing instead on opportunities that align with a sniper and DCA (dollar-cost averaging) style. With only 13% of their positions sold, Splendid-Collection appears to hold trades longer to maximize returns. Their Sharpe ratio of 0.30 suggests moderate risk-adjusted returns, and the zero-day max drawdown duration indicates effective risk management and quick recovery from losses.

Splendid-Collection’s strengths lie in their disciplined, data-driven approach, exemplified by an upward equity trend and a five-badge portfolio highlighting profitability, precision, and consistency. However, the relatively low Sharpe ratio signals exposure to volatility, and the low bot score confirms a human trading style, which may introduce emotional biases. Overall, their track record on Polymarket reflects solid skill with manageable risk factors.

Badges

7
Sniper
Win Rate 78%
Profitable
PnL $+44,788
DCA Master
avg 8.0 entries/market
Win Streak
10 wins in a row
Whale
$205,499
Consistent
27/32 days
Cool Head
DD 7%

Categories

4
CRYPTO#850$40,079Vol: $196,959
🏛️ POLITICS#17,166$978Vol: $115,892
SPORTS#5,870$7,119Vol: $54,728
🎭 CULTURE#771,368$-3,389Vol: $4,907

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$44,788
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$372,486
Total Redeem
$173,252
Portfolio
$84,353
Predictions
59
total markets
Trades
470B / 68S
Daily Volume
$518
Account Age
165d
since Dec 7, 2025

Periods

#2
Today
$3,416
Vol: $0
Week
$9,033
Vol: $80,822
Month
$9,321
Vol: $100,387
All Time
$44,788
Vol: $372,486

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
77%
43W / 13L events
Realized PnL
$33,835
Win Rate
76%
41W / 13L
Profit Factor
4.55x
Avg Win
$1,384
Avg Loss
$-960

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $33,537 (75.7% of PnL)

Top Winners

MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 2-8?$27,022
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase January 13-19?$3,649
Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?$2,866
Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?$2,451
Will Javokhir Sindarov win on 2026-04-08 at FIDE Candidates 2026 $2,376
U.S. Government Funding Lapse on January 31?$2,054
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$1,960
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Car$1,260
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase December 16-22?$1,229
Will Javokhir Sindarov win on 2026-04-07 at FIDE Candidates 2026 $1,187

Top Losers

Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 202$-3,389
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?$-2,900
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$-1,578
US government shutdown Saturday?$-1,578
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$-867
UFC 326: Gregory Rodrigues vs. Brunno Ferreira (Middleweight, Mai$-800
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 2.5$-490
Real Oviedo vs. Girona FC: O/U 2.5$-442
UFC 325: Dan Hooker vs. Benoit Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Car$-230
Maduro leaves Venezuela by March 31?$-150

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.302
Sortino
1.230
HHI
603
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.610
Kelly %
49.4%
Half-Kelly
24.7%
Top-1 market
15.1%
Top-5 markets
45.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
2:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
44%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.51
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.8

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

5 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 195s — typical for humanSize CV 2.51 — diverse, typical for human44% at night — bot never sleeps23/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.05 — human randomness

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 2:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
8
Active DCA
<=1
16 entries
<=2
21 entries
<=5
30 entries
<=10
47 entries
<=20
54 entries
<=50
59 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0.9%
Mid (20-55c)22.1%
High (>55c)77%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 52.8%

Other$44,281

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.1
Events covered
56

Single bracket

<=1
54 brackets
<=2
55 brackets
<=3
56 brackets
<=4
56 brackets
<=5
56 brackets
<=8
56 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
12/7/2025, 10:34:57 AM9 trades$83511 min
12/7/2025, 10:51:13 AM2 trades$4723 min
12/7/2025, 11:32:15 AM1 trades$1490 min
12/7/2025, 3:27:15 PM3 trades$8146 min
12/7/2025, 11:24:39 PM5 trades$5,6885 min
12/7/2025, 11:35:09 PM5 trades$5507 min
12/7/2025, 11:49:01 PM1 trades$2590 min
12/7/2025, 11:58:13 PM1 trades$4400 min
12/8/2025, 12:05:41 AM5 trades$4303 min
12/8/2025, 1:49:59 AM1 trades$8000 min
12/8/2025, 2:21:11 AM3 trades$8403 min
12/8/2025, 2:33:07 AM7 trades$1,75818 min
12/8/2025, 3:11:45 AM1 trades$3,3600 min
12/9/2025, 2:59:47 AM10 trades$18,2055 min
12/10/2025, 1:14:28 AM2 trades$1900 min
12/10/2025, 1:32:06 AM3 trades$2,0294 min
12/10/2025, 2:02:44 AM3 trades$3940 min
12/10/2025, 2:15:48 AM5 trades$1,3602 min
12/10/2025, 3:32:47 AM1 trades$1,9600 min
12/10/2025, 3:43:17 AM1 trades$1,6800 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
12-30
01-25
02-14
04-01
04-17
07-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
12.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 8/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.1 br/event