Polydata
Data is 19 days old — refreshing in background...

@Splendid-Collection

#3,11983

0x5652090d21c85a9d1ca5b6a41fe07f3099fb00c9

221d· 107 markets · 1881 tradesVol: $1,188,6062026-06-27T15:19
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

83
Very Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 71%20/20
Profit Factor 1.80x13/15
Sharpe 0.2134/15
Sortino 0.6256/10
EV $+0.82910/10
HHI 51810/10
Profit Days 79%10/10
DD/Peak 17%10/10

Summary

Splendid-Collection is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, ranked #3119 on the global PnL leaderboard. With 1,881 trades across 107 markets over 397 days, they have accumulated a net profit of $51,923.73 on a total traded volume exceeding $1.18 million. Their portfolio currently holds a value of $42,033.40, and a Smart Score of 83 reflects very good trading performance.

The trading style of Splendid-Collection favors an aggressive yet consistent approach, evidenced by a high win rate of 78.2% and a profit factor near 5. They engage in a wide range of markets but show no exposure to weather markets, suggesting a preference for more predictable event types. The low sell percentage (19%) and the presence of a "DCA Master" badge indicate a tendency toward dollar-cost averaging and holding positions rather than frequent exit trades. Their Sharpe Ratio of 0.21 suggests moderate risk-adjusted returns, while the zero-day max drawdown duration points to disciplined risk management.

Splendid-Collection’s main strengths lie in their strong consistency and profitable track record, supported by an upward equity trend and a very good Smart Score. However, their relatively low Sharpe Ratio signals some vulnerability to volatility, and their low Bot Score means they likely rely on human decision-making, which can introduce emotional biases. Overall, Splendid-Collection demonstrates solid performance on Polymarket but may face risks if market conditions become more erratic.

Badges

8
Sniper
Win Rate 71%
Profitable
PnL $+51,924
DCA Master
avg 14.3 entries/market
Win Streak
11 wins in a row
Whale
$443,408
Consistent
41/52 days
High Roller
$1,117/day
Cool Head
DD 17%

Categories

6
CRYPTO#948$40,459Vol: $635,189
🏛️ POLITICS#2,965$13,410Vol: $280,748
SPORTS#39,791$802Vol: $194,215
💰 FINANCE#7,851$397Vol: $57,890
📈 ECONOMICS#6,642$245Vol: $15,658
🎭 CULTURE#800,188$-3,389Vol: $4,907

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$51,924
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,188,606
Total Redeem
$379,448
Portfolio
$42,033
Predictions
107
total markets
Trades
1529B / 352S
Daily Volume
$1,117
Account Age
221d
since Dec 7, 2025

Periods

#2
Today
$-4,981
Vol: $26,748
Week
$-5,044
Vol: $195,831
Month
$42,723
Vol: $506,902
All Time
$51,924
Vol: $1,188,606

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
75%
62W / 21L events
Realized PnL
$44,253
Win Rate
78%
68W / 19L
Profit Factor
4.94x
Avg Win
$2,038
Avg Loss
$-1,475

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $84,929 (76.8% of PnL)

Top Winners

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$42,623
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 2-8?$27,022
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8?$15,284
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$6,025
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase January 13-19?$3,649
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?$3,156
Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?$2,866
Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?$2,451
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$2,450
Will Javokhir Sindarov win on 2026-04-08 at FIDE Candidates 2026 $2,376

Top Losers

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$-12,602
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 202$-3,389
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?$-2,900
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$-1,578
US government shutdown Saturday?$-1,578
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?$-1,000
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$-867
UFC 326: Gregory Rodrigues vs. Brunno Ferreira (Middleweight, Mai$-800
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?$-640
Will Iran close its airspace by July 31?$-540

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.213
Sortino
0.625
HHI
518
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.829
Kelly %
60.1%
Half-Kelly
30.0%
Top-1 market
15.5%
Top-5 markets
40.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
9.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
46.7m
between trades
Night Trading
23%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.10
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.8

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

5 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 143s — typical for humanSize CV 3.10 — diverse, typical for human23% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 0.93 — human randomness

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
14.3
Heavy DCA
<=1
20 entries
<=2
27 entries
<=5
46 entries
<=10
76 entries
<=20
92 entries
<=50
103 entries
>50
4 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)9.2%
Mid (20-55c)36.3%
High (>55c)54.5%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 63.1%

Other$110,572

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.2
Events covered
86

Single bracket

<=1
74 brackets
<=2
80 brackets
<=3
84 brackets
<=4
85 brackets
<=5
86 brackets
<=8
86 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
12/7/2025, 10:34:57 AM9 trades$83511 min
12/7/2025, 10:51:13 AM2 trades$4723 min
12/7/2025, 11:32:15 AM1 trades$1490 min
12/7/2025, 3:27:15 PM3 trades$8146 min
12/7/2025, 11:24:39 PM5 trades$5,6885 min
12/7/2025, 11:35:09 PM5 trades$5507 min
12/7/2025, 11:49:01 PM1 trades$2590 min
12/7/2025, 11:58:13 PM1 trades$4400 min
12/8/2025, 12:05:41 AM5 trades$4303 min
12/8/2025, 1:49:59 AM1 trades$8000 min
12/8/2025, 2:21:11 AM3 trades$8403 min
12/8/2025, 2:33:07 AM7 trades$1,75818 min
12/8/2025, 3:11:45 AM1 trades$3,3600 min
12/9/2025, 2:59:47 AM10 trades$18,2055 min
12/10/2025, 1:14:28 AM2 trades$1900 min
12/10/2025, 1:32:06 AM3 trades$2,0294 min
12/10/2025, 2:02:44 AM3 trades$3940 min
12/10/2025, 2:15:48 AM5 trades$1,3602 min
12/10/2025, 3:32:47 AM1 trades$1,9600 min
12/10/2025, 3:43:17 AM1 trades$1,6800 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
01-13
02-28
04-16
06-09
07-01
07-16
12-09

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
18.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 14.3/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.2 br/event