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Squanchy_

@Squanchy_

#14,58782

0x4d891f7bbf1de5a2c74cb9d718dc64cb743a5382

214d· 272 markets · 2289 tradesVol: $249,8852026-06-25T19:10
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

82
Very Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 77%20/20
Profit Factor 9.07x15/15
Sharpe 0.1282/15
Sortino 0.4835/10
EV $+2.23310/10
HHI 49410/10
Profit Days 82%10/10
DD/Peak 10%10/10

Summary

Squanchy_ is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, with 2,289 trades executed over 376 days and a net profit of $9,330.33, placing them at rank #14,587 globally. Their overall portfolio value stands at $5,031.06, supported by a substantial total trading volume of nearly $250,000. Despite a modest Sharpe ratio of 0.13, Squanchy_ maintains a solid win rate of 71.2% and a very strong Smart Score of 82, indicating consistently good performance.

This trader shows a preference for a diverse range of markets, having traded in 260 different markets, with a notable 16% of activity in weather-related markets. Squanchy_ demonstrates a risk profile that favors consistent, steady gains rather than high volatility, as evidenced by a flat equity trend and zero days of max drawdown duration. The sell percentage of 67% suggests a strategy focused on timely exits, likely capitalizing on short-term opportunities. The "Sniper" and "Consistent" badges reflect a style that emphasizes precision and reliability.

Squanchy_’s key strengths lie in their high win rate and profitability, combined with a large volume of trades that point to experience and discipline on Polymarket. However, the relatively low Sharpe ratio and flat equity trend may indicate limited upside during volatile market conditions. Additionally, their Bot Score suggests human-driven trading, which could affect reaction times compared to automated strategies. Overall, Squanchy_ balances steady returns with controlled risk, but may face challenges in rapidly changing markets.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

6
Sniper
Win Rate 77%
Profitable
PnL $+9,330
Win Streak
29 wins in a row
Whale
$61,817
Consistent
62/76 days
Cool Head
DD 10%

Categories

8
🎭 CULTURE#796,975$-1,411Vol: $125,472
SPORTS#29,143$1,306Vol: $40,521
🏛️ POLITICS#57,636$120Vol: $28,881
🌤️ WEATHER#179$9,408Vol: $28,610
💰 FINANCE#627,538$-483Vol: $7,750
📈 ECONOMICS#7,830$186Vol: $7,087
CRYPTO#259,078$6Vol: $295
💻 TECH#41,610$1Vol: $15

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$9,330
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$249,885
Total Redeem
$19,776
Portfolio
$5,031
Predictions
272
total markets
Trades
759B / 1530S
Daily Volume
$164
Account Age
214d
since Dec 6, 2025

Periods

#2
Today
$-65
Vol: $0
Week
$667
Vol: $0
Month
$-715
Vol: $87,664
All Time
$9,330
Vol: $249,885

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
82%
134W / 29L events
Realized PnL
$10,372
Win Rate
71%
173W / 64L
Profit Factor
54.97x
Avg Win
$63
Avg Loss
$-3

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $10,019 (93.7% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on May 22?$9,354
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?$529
Will gas hit (High) $3.75 by March 31?$136
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?$104
Will G2 Esports win Masters Santiago 2026?$66
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?$63
Will xQc beat Forsen's Minecraft speedrun record by January 31?$55
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?$40
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $90+ in March?$32
Will gas hit (High) $3.50 by March 31?$29

Top Losers

Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" be the May film with the highest d$-50
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on May 12$-47
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on Mar$-14
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$-14
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 3, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$-7
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET$-6
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - VCT Masters S$-6
Will Santa deliver between 8,200,000,000 and 8,300,000,000 gifts $-5
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET$-5
Rainbow Six Siege: G2 Esports vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - BLAST $-3

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.128
Sortino
0.483
HHI
494
Diversified
EV per $1
$2.232
Kelly %
63.3%
Half-Kelly
31.6%
Top-1 market
18.6%
Top-5 markets
33.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
12.6
Active
Markets / Day
1.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
46.3m
between trades
Night Trading
22%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.90
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.6

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 250s — typical for humanSize CV 4.90 — diverse, typical for human22% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 0.80 — human randomness13 trades/day — very active

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.9
Moderate DCA
<=1
155 entries
<=2
202 entries
<=5
239 entries
<=10
251 entries
<=20
256 entries
<=50
257 entries
>50
1 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)13.2%
Mid (20-55c)36.2%
High (>55c)50.6%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 62.3%

Tokyo$9,353
Other$1,329
Shenzhen$24
Seattle$13
Buenos Aires$12
Helsinki$8
New York City$3
Austin$1
Taipei$1
Seoul$1
Singapore$1
Houston$1
Russia$0
London$0
Mexico City$0
Sao Paulo$0
Karachi$-0
Denver$-0

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.5
Events covered
173

Single bracket

<=1
129 brackets
<=2
155 brackets
<=3
164 brackets
<=4
168 brackets
<=5
168 brackets
<=8
172 brackets
>8
1 brackets

Sessions

#12
12/20/2025, 7:39:25 PM1 trades$10 min
12/20/2025, 9:33:29 PM2 trades$33 min
12/20/2025, 9:44:21 PM1 trades$10 min
12/20/2025, 10:16:45 PM1 trades$10 min
12/20/2025, 10:26:21 PM1 trades$10 min
12/20/2025, 10:53:07 PM1 trades$10 min
12/20/2025, 10:59:45 PM1 trades$10 min
12/20/2025, 11:41:37 PM4 trades$43 min
12/21/2025, 8:55:12 PM1 trades$20 min
12/21/2025, 10:02:02 PM5 trades$52 min
12/21/2025, 10:15:24 PM2 trades$23 min
12/22/2025, 8:11:59 PM2 trades$21 min
12/22/2025, 8:34:25 PM3 trades$71 min
1/1/2026, 10:40:33 PM1 trades$10 min
1/1/2026, 10:58:19 PM1 trades$10 min
1/1/2026, 11:03:27 PM1 trades$50 min
1/2/2026, 2:33:41 PM1 trades$10 min
1/2/2026, 2:51:31 PM1 trades$50 min
1/2/2026, 4:50:05 PM1 trades$50 min
1/2/2026, 5:01:35 PM1 trades$50 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
01-14
03-03
03-20
04-17
05-15
12-18

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
16.5% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
66.8% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.9/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.5 br/event