Polydata

@Squiggly-Menopause

#17530

0xebf79787ab928c803cbef6fa8e0abe42b9e1da78

357d· 1244 markets · 48378 tradesVol: $51,700,0882026-07-06T08:46
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

30
Below Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 100%20/20
Profit Factor 0.01x0/15
HHI 5210/10
Profit Days 0%0/10

Summary

Squiggly-Menopause is an active trader on Polymarket, ranking #175 on the global PnL leaderboard with a net profit of $938,164.32. Over 34 days, they executed 48,378 trades across 456 markets, generating a total volume exceeding $51.7 million. Despite the high volume and profit, their Smart Score is below average at 30/100, and their portfolio value currently stands at zero, indicating potential recent losses or withdrawals.

The trading style of Squiggly-Menopause appears aggressive and high-frequency, with a preference for diverse markets but no exposure to weather-related events. Their risk profile is high, reflected in a low win rate of 22.2%, a profit factor of 0.01, and a negative Sharpe ratio of -0.80. The trader's timing suggests rapid, repeated trades rather than long-term holds, supported by a Sell percentage of 0% and a semi-automated (bot plus manual) approach signaled by their 60/100 Bot Score.

Strengths for Squiggly-Menopause include significant experience and volume, as well as badges indicating strong execution skills like Sniper and Diamond Hands. However, the downward equity trend, poor profit factor, and negative Sharpe ratio highlight risks related to sustainability and consistent profitability. This profile suggests that while Squiggly-Menopause can generate large gains, they face considerable volatility and drawdowns in their Polymarket activity.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

6
Sniper
Win Rate 100%
Profitable
PnL $+938,164
Diamond Hands
0% sell
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
Whale
$16,261,323
High Roller
$478,274/day

Categories

1
CRYPTO#9$947,978Vol: $51,034,120

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$938,164
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$51,700,088
Total Redeem
$908,759
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1244
total markets
Trades
48378B / 0S
Daily Volume
$478,274
Account Age
357d
since Jul 13, 2025

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
100%
136W / 0L events
Realized PnL
$3,449,807
Win Rate
22%
89W / 311L
Profit Factor
0.01x
Avg Win
$997
Avg Loss
$-45,249

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down on August 30?$10,008
Will XRP reach $4.50 in August?$7,655
Will Ethereum dip to $4200 August 25–31?$6,209
Will Ethereum dip to $4000 August 25–31?$4,456
Bitcoin above $108K on August 29?$4,244
Will the price of Ethereum be between $4200 and $4400 on August 2$2,964
Will Solana reach $230 in August?$2,547
Bitcoin above $106K on September 1?$2,411
Ethereum above $4800 on September 1?$2,104
Ethereum Up or Down on August 30?$2,064

Top Losers

Will Ethereum reach $5000 in August?$-279,511
Bitcoin above $117000 on August 15?$-274,815
Ethereum above $4400 on August 18?$-254,041
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $4400 on August 18?$-219,036
Will Bitcoin reach $120K August 4–10?$-213,301
Will Bitcoin dip to $110K in August?$-200,724
Will the price of Ethereum be between $4300 and $4400 on August 1$-169,007
Will Bitcoin dip to $116k August 11–17?$-160,599
Will the price of Ethereum be less than 4400 on August 18 at 5PM $-158,727
Will the price of Ethereum be between $4200 and $4300 on August 1$-158,539

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.796
Sortino
-0.796
HHI
52
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.890
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.8%
Top-5 markets
7.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1462.8
Very active
Markets / Day
13.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
18s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.4m
between trades
Night Trading
18%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.22
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.9

Bot Detection

#6
60
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 18s — typical for humanSize CV 2.22 — diverse, typical for human18% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.09 — human randomness1463 trades/day — automation14 markets/day — mass coverage

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
106.1
Heavy DCA
<=1
18 entries
<=2
31 entries
<=5
54 entries
<=10
81 entries
<=20
121 entries
<=50
197 entries
>50
259 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)18.9%
Mid (20-55c)36.8%
High (>55c)44.3%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 42.8%

Up or Down$-946,145
Other$-13,037,615

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
2.8
Events covered
164

Moderate coverage

<=1
79 brackets
<=2
112 brackets
<=3
127 brackets
<=4
134 brackets
<=5
138 brackets
<=8
153 brackets
>8
11 brackets

Sessions

#12
7/28/2025, 5:41:27 PM55 trades$19,53229 min
7/28/2025, 6:19:11 PM1 trades$640 min
7/28/2025, 6:25:07 PM5 trades$276 min
7/28/2025, 6:36:39 PM2 trades$865 min
7/28/2025, 7:03:53 PM10 trades$3,9444 min
7/28/2025, 7:30:11 PM4 trades$2983 min
7/28/2025, 7:38:25 PM1 trades$70 min
7/28/2025, 7:44:35 PM3 trades$7316 min
7/28/2025, 7:55:55 PM1 trades$40 min
7/28/2025, 8:11:19 PM2 trades$1121 min
7/28/2025, 8:21:05 PM1 trades$250 min
7/28/2025, 8:26:35 PM2 trades$290 min
7/28/2025, 8:33:21 PM1 trades$140 min
7/28/2025, 8:56:05 PM5 trades$2,7251 min
7/28/2025, 9:06:15 PM2 trades$1,2462 min
7/28/2025, 9:20:11 PM5 trades$3536 min
7/28/2025, 9:38:51 PM7 trades$4,27617 min
7/28/2025, 10:01:15 PM2 trades$61 min
7/28/2025, 10:11:15 PM4 trades$1031 min
7/28/2025, 10:20:07 PM2 trades$6250 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
08-02
08-08
08-13
08-18
08-23
08-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 106.1/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 2.8 br/event