Polydata

@Squiggly-Menopause

#13230

0xebf79787ab928c803cbef6fa8e0abe42b9e1da78

313d· 1244 markets · 48902 tradesVol: $51,700,0882026-05-22T01:03
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

30
Below Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 100%20/20
Profit Factor 0.01x0/15
HHI 5210/10
Profit Days 0%0/10

Summary

Squiggly-Menopause is a highly active trader on Polymarket, ranking #132 globally with a net profit of $938,164.32 from nearly 49,000 trades across 456 markets. Despite the large trading volume exceeding $51 million, their Smart Score is 30/100, indicating below-average performance quality. They have been active for only 34 days but have already made a significant impact on the leaderboard. Their portfolio value currently stands at zero, and the equity trend is declining.

The trading style of Squiggly-Menopause appears to be aggressive, with a low win rate of 22.2% and a profit factor of 0.01, suggesting frequent losses relative to gains. The trader does not engage in weather markets and rarely sells, which aligns with the Diamond Hands badge, implying a tendency to hold positions for extended periods. The timing pattern suggests a semi-automated approach, as indicated by a Bot Score of 60/100, combining both bot and manual trading strategies.

Squiggly-Menopause’s main strength lies in their high volume and ability to maintain a long streak of wins, earning badges like Sniper and Whale. However, their negative Sharpe ratio (-0.80) and zero sell percentage highlight potential risks such as poor risk management and a declining equity trend. The combination of a below-average Smart Score and significant drawdowns could signal vulnerability if market conditions shift.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

6
Sniper
Win Rate 100%
Profitable
PnL $+938,164
Diamond Hands
0% sell
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
Whale
$16,362,114
High Roller
$481,239/day

Categories

1
CRYPTO#8$947,978Vol: $51,034,120

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$938,164
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$51,700,088
Total Redeem
$908,759
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1244
total markets
Trades
48902B / 0S
Daily Volume
$481,239
Account Age
313d
since Jul 13, 2025

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
100%
136W / 0L events
Realized PnL
$3,449,807
Win Rate
22%
89W / 311L
Profit Factor
0.01x
Avg Win
$985
Avg Loss
$-45,529

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down on August 30?$10,008
Will XRP reach $4.50 in August?$7,655
Will Ethereum dip to $4200 August 25–31?$6,209
Will Ethereum dip to $4000 August 25–31?$4,456
Bitcoin above $108K on August 29?$4,244
Will Solana reach $230 in August?$2,547
Will the price of Ethereum be between $4200 and $4400 on August 2$2,469
Bitcoin above $106K on September 1?$2,411
Ethereum above $4800 on September 1?$2,104
Ethereum Up or Down on August 30?$2,064

Top Losers

Will Ethereum reach $5000 in August?$-279,511
Bitcoin above $117000 on August 15?$-275,200
Ethereum above $4400 on August 18?$-254,043
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $4400 on August 18?$-219,040
Will Bitcoin reach $120K August 4–10?$-213,301
Will Bitcoin dip to $110K in August?$-200,725
Will the price of Ethereum be between $4300 and $4400 on August 1$-169,078
Will Bitcoin dip to $116k August 11–17?$-160,599
Will the price of Ethereum be less than 4400 on August 18 at 5PM $-158,727
Will the price of Ethereum be between $4200 and $4300 on August 1$-158,542

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.800
Sortino
-0.800
HHI
52
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.891
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.7%
Top-5 markets
7.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1478.6
Very active
Markets / Day
13.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
18s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.3m
between trades
Night Trading
18%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.23
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.9

Bot Detection

#6
60
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 18s — typical for humanSize CV 2.23 — diverse, typical for human18% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.09 — human randomness1479 trades/day — automation14 markets/day — mass coverage

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
107.2
Heavy DCA
<=1
17 entries
<=2
31 entries
<=5
54 entries
<=10
81 entries
<=20
121 entries
<=50
195 entries
>50
261 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)18.9%
Mid (20-55c)36.8%
High (>55c)44.3%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 42.6%

Up or Down$-944,025
Other$-13,127,860

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
2.8
Events covered
164

Moderate coverage

<=1
79 brackets
<=2
112 brackets
<=3
127 brackets
<=4
134 brackets
<=5
138 brackets
<=8
153 brackets
>8
11 brackets

Sessions

#12
7/28/2025, 5:41:27 PM55 trades$19,53229 min
7/28/2025, 6:19:11 PM1 trades$640 min
7/28/2025, 6:25:07 PM5 trades$276 min
7/28/2025, 6:36:39 PM2 trades$865 min
7/28/2025, 7:03:53 PM10 trades$3,9444 min
7/28/2025, 7:30:11 PM4 trades$2983 min
7/28/2025, 7:38:25 PM1 trades$70 min
7/28/2025, 7:44:35 PM3 trades$7316 min
7/28/2025, 7:55:55 PM1 trades$40 min
7/28/2025, 8:11:19 PM2 trades$1121 min
7/28/2025, 8:21:05 PM1 trades$250 min
7/28/2025, 8:26:35 PM2 trades$290 min
7/28/2025, 8:33:21 PM1 trades$140 min
7/28/2025, 8:56:05 PM5 trades$2,7251 min
7/28/2025, 9:06:15 PM2 trades$1,2462 min
7/28/2025, 9:20:11 PM5 trades$3536 min
7/28/2025, 9:38:51 PM7 trades$4,27617 min
7/28/2025, 10:01:15 PM2 trades$61 min
7/28/2025, 10:11:15 PM4 trades$1031 min
7/28/2025, 10:20:07 PM2 trades$6250 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
08-02
08-08
08-13
08-18
08-23
08-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 107.2/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 2.8 br/event