Polydata
Data is 21 days old — refreshing in background...

@Staid-Stamen

#2,859,60796

0x915bdef98ab785a00da98024b7a79c0301f62729

192d· 1085 markets · 1924 tradesVol: $367,6212026-06-27T12:59
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

96
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 100%20/20
Profit Factor 777.74x15/15
Sharpe 0.57111/15
Sortino 1.57210/10
EV $+776.74110/10
HHI 5310/10
Profit Days 95%10/10
DD/Peak 2%10/10

Summary

Staid-Stamen is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, with 1,924 trades across 658 markets over 132 days. Despite a high win rate of 90.4% and an elite Smart Score of 96/100, the trader currently shows a net loss of $2,156.31 and holds a global PnL rank of #2,859,607. With a total trading volume of $367,621, Staid-Stamen maintains a stable equity trend but has a portfolio value of zero at present.

Staid-Stamen’s trading style appears to be low-risk and highly selective, reflected in a profit factor of 19.32 and a Sharpe ratio of 0.57. The trader does not engage in weather markets and sells 38% of positions, indicating a measured exit strategy. The high win rate combined with badges such as Sniper and Contrarian suggest a focus on precise, opportunistic entry points, likely involving manual, human-driven decisions rather than algorithmic trading.

Strengths for Staid-Stamen include consistent performance, a strong ability to pick winning trades, and minimal drawdown durations, signaling effective risk management. However, the negative net PnL despite these factors points to potential issues with trade sizing or market selection. Additionally, the low portfolio value and flat equity trend may indicate difficulties in scaling or capitalizing on winning streaks in the current Polymarket environment.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

6
Sniper
Win Rate 100%
Lottery Player
53% entries <$0.20
Contrarian
94% entries <$0.50
Win Streak
29 wins in a row
Consistent
57/60 days
Cool Head
DD 2%

Categories

7
CRYPTO#1,584,858$-2,071Vol: $200,234
🎭 CULTURE#19,533$107Vol: $148,457
SPORTS#1,613,809$-144Vol: $10,288
🏛️ POLITICS#1,284,527$-12Vol: $4,211
📢 MENTIONS#141,533$-27Vol: $3,215
💰 FINANCE#526,701$-5Vol: $899
💻 TECH#183,607$-1Vol: $247

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-2,156
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$367,621
Total Redeem
$576
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1085
total markets
Trades
1200B / 724S
Daily Volume
$155
Account Age
192d
since Jan 7, 2026

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
100%
219W / 1L events
Realized PnL
$13,743
Win Rate
90%
226W / 24L
Profit Factor
19.32x
Avg Win
$67
Avg Loss
$-33

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,208 (15.4% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 17 to January 19, $941
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET$833
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET$434
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET$411
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET$352
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 9 to January 16, $336
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$300
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET$295
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 15 to January 17,$286
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$286

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET$-128
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$-87
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$-80
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET$-66
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET$-59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$-51
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$-49
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET$-43
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$-40
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$-30

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.571
Sortino
1.572
HHI
53
Diversified
EV per $1
$776.741
Kelly %
87.8%
Half-Kelly
43.9%
Top-1 market
2.4%
Top-5 markets
8.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
14.7
Active
Markets / Day
5.0
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
53.6m
between trades
Night Trading
15%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.69
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.1

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 124s — typical for humanSize CV 1.69 — diverse, typical for human15% at night — different timezone?21/24 hours — extended daySession CV 0.91 — human randomness15 trades/day — very active

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 22:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2
Single entry
<=1
340 entries
<=2
485 entries
<=5
587 entries
<=10
610 entries
<=20
613 entries
<=50
614 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)53.4%
Mid (20-55c)42.8%
High (>55c)3.8%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 69.2%

Other$14,321
Houston$0
Miami$0

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.1
Events covered
582

Single bracket

<=1
548 brackets
<=2
566 brackets
<=3
573 brackets
<=4
580 brackets
<=5
580 brackets
<=8
580 brackets
>8
2 brackets

Sessions

#12
1/7/2026, 1:43:21 PM1 trades$50 min
1/7/2026, 5:47:45 PM3 trades$307 min
1/7/2026, 6:16:31 PM1 trades$100 min
1/7/2026, 6:25:57 PM5 trades$119 min
1/7/2026, 6:43:29 PM1 trades$50 min
1/7/2026, 8:28:35 PM1 trades$100 min
1/7/2026, 9:15:37 PM1 trades$390 min
1/7/2026, 9:20:59 PM2 trades$411 min
1/7/2026, 9:46:51 PM1 trades$490 min
1/7/2026, 9:58:17 PM8 trades$750 min
1/7/2026, 10:42:21 PM4 trades$692 min
1/7/2026, 10:49:41 PM4 trades$275 min
1/7/2026, 11:01:33 PM7 trades$12813 min
1/8/2026, 12:11:19 AM1 trades$1000 min
1/8/2026, 12:43:27 AM1 trades$100 min
1/8/2026, 12:58:39 AM2 trades$3413 min
1/8/2026, 1:40:57 AM1 trades$100 min
1/8/2026, 1:53:29 AM1 trades$200 min
1/8/2026, 2:10:13 AM2 trades$593 min
1/8/2026, 2:54:01 AM1 trades$690 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-07
01-23
02-15
03-02
04-11
04-23

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
37.6% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 2/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.1 br/event