Polydata
Data is 21 days old — refreshing in background...

@Stiff-Diving

#2,798,49852

0x795e3e3a0df70eb7144386ac6f0b8ae037227768

123d· 7868 markets · 2450 tradesVol: $182,7902026-06-27T17:52
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

52
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 100%20/20
Profit Factor 1.28x6/15
Sharpe 0.1292/15
Sortino 0.2913/10
EV $+0.0492/10
HHI 3910/10
Profit Days 55%6/10
DD/Peak 59%2/10

Summary

Stiff-Diving is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, with 2,450 trades executed across 594 markets over 262 days. Despite a substantial total volume of nearly $183,000, the trader currently holds a negative net PnL of approximately -$1,074 and ranks #2,798,498 globally. Their Smart Score of 52 suggests average trading performance, and their portfolio value is nearly flat at $0.97, reflecting limited growth.

This trader prefers a diverse set of markets, including a notable 14% focus on weather-related events. Stiff-Diving exhibits a relatively conservative risk profile, indicated by a high win rate of 76.9% and a modest profit factor of 1.28, alongside a low Sharpe ratio of 0.13. Their trading style emphasizes frequent, smaller gains rather than large, volatile bets, supported by a sell percentage of 20% and a zero-day max drawdown duration. The presence of badges like “Sniper” and “Win Streak” imply a pattern of well-timed entries and consistent short-term successes.

Stiff-Diving’s strengths lie in their consistent execution and stable equity trend, which limits large losses and drawdowns. However, the overall negative net PnL and low Sharpe ratio highlight potential struggles in achieving sustainable profitability. The trader’s human-like interaction speed and average Smart Score suggest room for improvement, particularly in adapting strategies to enhance returns in Polymarket’s dynamic environment.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

2
Sniper
Win Rate 100%
Win Streak
54 wins in a row

Categories

9
CRYPTO#1,550,612$-893Vol: $164,072
SPORTS#1,563,012$-82Vol: $10,293
🌤️ WEATHER#258,040$-30Vol: $3,045
💰 FINANCE#574,818$-18Vol: $2,408
🏛️ POLITICS#1,327,576$-17Vol: $1,719
🎭 CULTURE#445,252$-0Vol: $326
📈 ECONOMICS#487,976$-1Vol: $146
📢 MENTIONS#74,483$-1Vol: $3
💻 TECH#128,257$-0Vol: $2

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,074
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$182,790
Total Redeem
$3,181
Portfolio
$1
Predictions
7868
total markets
Trades
1963B / 487S
Daily Volume
$76
Account Age
123d
since Mar 17, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$24
Vol: $207
Week
$-70
Vol: $3,189
Month
$-26
Vol: $10,229
All Time
$-1,074
Vol: $182,790

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
100%
251W / 0L events
Realized PnL
$5,669
Win Rate
77%
423W / 127L
Profit Factor
1.28x
Avg Win
$10
Avg Loss
$-25

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $222 (24.3% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$75
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET$75
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$72
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET$68
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET$64
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET$62
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET$53

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$-177
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET$-126
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET$-80
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$-76
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET$-73
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET$-72
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET$-68
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET$-65
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET$-65
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET$-56

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.129
Sortino
0.291
HHI
39
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.049
Kelly %
39.7%
Half-Kelly
19.8%
Top-1 market
1.3%
Top-5 markets
5.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
24.9
Active
Markets / Day
6.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
11:00 UTC
Median Gap
29s
between trades
Avg Gap
20.7m
between trades
Night Trading
17%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.89
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.3

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 29s — typical for humanSize CV 1.89 — diverse, typical for human17% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.03 — human randomness25 trades/day — suspiciously high

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 11:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.3
Moderate DCA
<=1
218 entries
<=2
322 entries
<=5
499 entries
<=10
569 entries
<=20
594 entries
<=50
594 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0.2%
Mid (20-55c)17.6%
High (>55c)82.2%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 52.5%

Other$907
Miami$1
New York City$1
Paris$1
Los Angeles$1
Milan$1
Hong Kong$0
London$0
Seoul$0
Sao Paulo$0
Kuala Lumpur$0
Jakarta$0
Shanghai$0
Taipei$0
Chicago$0
Madrid$0
Houston$0
Wuhan$0

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.1
Events covered
553

Single bracket

<=1
528 brackets
<=2
543 brackets
<=3
547 brackets
<=4
553 brackets
<=5
553 brackets
<=8
553 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
3/21/2026, 4:53:45 AM1 trades$10 min
3/21/2026, 5:13:57 AM4 trades$842 min
3/21/2026, 5:21:55 AM1 trades$10 min
3/23/2026, 4:03:11 AM1 trades$10 min
3/23/2026, 8:57:45 PM5 trades$221 min
3/24/2026, 5:54:53 AM1 trades$100 min
3/24/2026, 8:38:55 PM2 trades$23 min
3/24/2026, 8:51:43 PM1 trades$10 min
4/2/2026, 12:04:07 PM1 trades$10 min
4/4/2026, 4:56:53 AM9 trades$773 min
4/4/2026, 6:21:57 AM1 trades$10 min
4/4/2026, 8:45:55 PM2 trades$20 min
4/5/2026, 7:17:51 AM1 trades$10 min
4/8/2026, 6:25:01 AM1 trades$50 min
4/8/2026, 10:46:37 AM1 trades$10 min
4/10/2026, 6:57:57 AM5 trades$131 min
4/11/2026, 7:45:33 AM4 trades$263 min
4/11/2026, 8:02:11 AM11 trades$233 min
4/11/2026, 9:07:11 AM5 trades$181 min
4/13/2026, 9:35:09 PM3 trades$574 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-21
04-14
04-23
05-01
05-09
05-21
06-19

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
14% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
19.9% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.3/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.1 br/event