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Strange-Maintenance

@Strange-Maintenance

#25,30748

0xf13242c0f5ed15fe9aec0c5eab40a2a8dbafc706

246d· 4355 markets · 23744 tradesVol: $1,186,140 @SupnPablo2026-06-26T18:49
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

48
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 7%0/20
Profit Factor 1.51x9/15
Sharpe 0.1202/15
Sortino 0.5235/10
EV $+0.51510/10
HHI 1510/10
Profit Days 36%1/10
DD/Peak 16%10/10

Summary

Strange-Maintenance is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, with 23,744 trades across 3,721 markets over 202 days. Ranked #25,307 globally by net PnL, they have achieved a total net profit of $4,637.11 on a substantial volume of $1,186,140. Despite their average Smart Score of 48, their portfolio value remains low at $3.54, and their Sharpe ratio of 0.12 indicates limited risk-adjusted returns.

This trader predominantly focuses on weather-related markets, which make up 97% of their activity. Their strategy appears highly automated, supported by a Bot Score of 70, and they exhibit a contrarian and lottery-player style, rarely selling positions with only 1% sell rate. Strange-Maintenance maintains a flat equity trend and a perfect win rate of 100%, suggesting consistent outcomes but possibly low-margin trades or small incremental gains over time.

Strengths for Strange-Maintenance include disciplined automated trading and a stable equity trend with no drawdown periods. However, the near-zero profit factor and minimal portfolio value raise concerns about the scalability and real profitability of their approach. Their heavy reliance on a single market type and extremely low sell activity may expose them to risks if market conditions shift or if liquidity becomes an issue.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

10
Profitable
PnL $+4,637
Lottery Player
99% entries <$0.20
Contrarian
100% entries <$0.50
Diamond Hands
1% sell
DCA Master
avg 6.3 entries/market
Weather Pro
97% weather
Bot
Score 70/100
Hedger
avg 2.3 brackets/event
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
Cool Head
DD 16%

Categories

4
🌤️ WEATHER#376$4,670Vol: $1,179,348
🎭 CULTURE#734,809$-34Vol: $6,428
₿ CRYPTO#872,641$-1Vol: $186
🏛️ POLITICS#866,344$-1Vol: $160

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$4,637
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,186,140
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$4
Predictions
4355
total markets
Trades
23524B / 220S
Daily Volume
$53
Account Age
246d
since Nov 13, 2025

Periods

#2
Today
$4
Vol: $1,184
Week
$-5
Vol: $6,719
Month
$-43
Vol: $47,106
All Time
$4,637
Vol: $1,186,140

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
14%
226W / 1407L events
Realized PnL
$16,066
Win Rate
100%
7W / 0L
Profit Factor
0x
Avg Win
$6
Avg Loss
$0

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $30 (70.2% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 42°F or higher on Janu$14
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 16°C on March 28?$10
Will the highest temperature in London be 6°C on January 7?$6
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on March 18?$5
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 9°C on March 8?$4
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on Mar$2
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on March 19?$2

Top Losers

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.120
Sortino
0.523
HHI
15
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.515
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.1%
Top-5 markets
4.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
118.0
Very active
Markets / Day
18.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
14.7m
between trades
Night Trading
22%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.24
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.4

Bot Detection

#6
70
BOT (automated trading)HIGH probability

8 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 119s — typical for humanSize CV 3.24 — diverse, typical for human22% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 0.99 — human randomness118 trades/day — automation18 markets/day — mass coverage3970 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 7:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.3
Active DCA
<=1
1140 entries
<=2
1792 entries
<=5
2599 entries
<=10
3144 entries
<=20
3486 entries
<=50
3680 entries
>50
41 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)98.6%
Mid (20-55c)1.4%
High (>55c)0%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 98.7%

Atlanta$14
Chongqing$10
Tokyo$6
London$6
Toronto$4
Chicago$2
New York City$0
Seattle$0
Buenos Aires$0
Seoul$0
Other$0
Dallas$0
Miami$0
Ankara$0
Wellington$0
Paris$0
Sao Paulo$0
Lucknow$0

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
2.3
Events covered
1598

Moderate coverage

<=1
507 brackets
<=2
1007 brackets
<=3
1328 brackets
<=4
1486 brackets
<=5
1558 brackets
<=8
1595 brackets
>8
3 brackets

Sessions

#12
12/7/2025, 12:12:43 PM2 trades$31 min
12/7/2025, 1:27:05 PM1 trades$40 min
12/7/2025, 1:41:27 PM1 trades$110 min
12/7/2025, 1:54:47 PM2 trades$22 min
12/7/2025, 2:08:19 PM2 trades$45 min
12/7/2025, 3:00:47 PM1 trades$00 min
12/7/2025, 3:07:05 PM1 trades$00 min
12/7/2025, 3:21:13 PM3 trades$22 min
12/7/2025, 3:32:07 PM2 trades$21 min
12/7/2025, 3:48:51 PM1 trades$30 min
12/7/2025, 5:17:39 PM1 trades$40 min
12/7/2025, 5:51:37 PM1 trades$00 min
12/7/2025, 6:36:59 PM2 trades$24 min
12/7/2025, 7:18:27 PM1 trades$00 min
12/7/2025, 7:37:45 PM1 trades$00 min
12/7/2025, 7:45:09 PM1 trades$00 min
12/7/2025, 8:40:33 PM1 trades$00 min
12/7/2025, 8:59:27 PM1 trades$00 min
12/7/2025, 9:46:29 PM1 trades$00 min
12/7/2025, 9:57:33 PM2 trades$12 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-07
01-09
02-11
03-16
04-19
05-23
06-25

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
97.1% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.3/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 2.3 br/event