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Strange-Maintenance

@Strange-Maintenance

#21,53152

0xf13242c0f5ed15fe9aec0c5eab40a2a8dbafc706

189d· 3281 markets · 19930 tradesVol: $1,059,350 @SupnPablo2026-05-14T15:12
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

52
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 9%0/20
Profit Factor 1.63x10/15
Sharpe 0.1463/15
Sortino 0.6567/10
EV $+0.64010/10
HHI 1910/10
Profit Days 39%2/10
DD/Peak 15%10/10

Summary

Strange-Maintenance is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, ranked #21,531 on the global PnL leaderboard with a net profit of $5,021.18. Over 159 days, they executed nearly 20,000 trades across 2,760 markets, accumulating a total volume exceeding $1 million. Their portfolio value remains stable at $104.08, supported by an average Smart Score of 52 and a Sharpe ratio of 0.15, indicating modest risk-adjusted returns.

This trader favors weather markets heavily, accounting for 96% of their trading activity. With a high win rate of 87.5% and a profit factor of 77.33, Strange-Maintenance demonstrates a consistent and conservative approach. Their minimal use of selling (1%) and a zero-day max drawdown duration suggest disciplined risk management. The presence of automated trading elements is reflected in a strong bot score of 70, indicating reliance on algorithmic strategies and dollar-cost averaging, as highlighted by their badges.

Strange-Maintenance’s strengths lie in their consistency and effective use of contrarian and lottery-like strategies, supported by stable equity trends and a reputation for "diamond hands." However, their low Sharpe ratio and flat equity trend may suggest limited upside potential or sensitivity to market volatility. The heavy concentration in a single market type and reliance on bots could expose them to systematic risks if weather market dynamics shift.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

10
Profitable
PnL $+5,021
Lottery Player
99% entries <$0.20
Contrarian
100% entries <$0.50
Diamond Hands
1% sell
DCA Master
avg 7.2 entries/market
Weather Pro
96% weather
Bot
Score 70/100
Hedger
avg 2.4 brackets/event
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
Cool Head
DD 15%

Categories

5
🌤️ WEATHER#277$5,054Vol: $1,052,558
🎭 CULTURE#708,114$-34Vol: $6,428
CRYPTO#837,190$-1Vol: $186
🏛️ POLITICS#842,148$-1Vol: $160
SPORTS#300,646$4Vol: $18

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$5,021
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,059,350
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$104
Predictions
3281
total markets
Trades
19755B / 175S
Daily Volume
$58
Account Age
189d
since Nov 13, 2025

Periods

#2
Today
$15
Vol: $11,824
Week
$18
Vol: $59,611
Month
$1,823
Vol: $169,739
All Time
$5,021
Vol: $1,059,350

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
16%
187W / 993L events
Realized PnL
$14,949
Win Rate
88%
7W / 1L
Profit Factor
77.33x
Avg Win
$6
Avg Loss
$-1

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $30 (71.1% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 42°F or higher on Janu$14
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 16°C on March 28?$10
Will the highest temperature in London be 6°C on January 7?$6
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on March 18?$5
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 9°C on March 8?$4
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on Mar$2
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on March 19?$2

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on March 26?$-1

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.146
Sortino
0.656
HHI
19
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.639
Kelly %
84.8%
Half-Kelly
42.4%
Top-1 market
1.2%
Top-5 markets
4.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
126.1
Very active
Markets / Day
17.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
13.9m
between trades
Night Trading
22%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.31
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.4

Bot Detection

#6
70
BOT (automated trading)HIGH probability

8 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 106s — typical for humanSize CV 3.31 — diverse, typical for human22% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.00 — human randomness126 trades/day — automation17 markets/day — mass coverage3009 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 7:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7.2
Active DCA
<=1
761 entries
<=2
1223 entries
<=5
1822 entries
<=10
2262 entries
<=20
2549 entries
<=50
2719 entries
>50
41 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)98.5%
Mid (20-55c)1.4%
High (>55c)0%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 98.6%

Atlanta$14
Chongqing$10
Tokyo$6
London$6
Toronto$4
Chicago$2
New York City$0
Seattle$0
Buenos Aires$0
Other$0
Dallas$0
Miami$0
Ankara$0
Wellington$0
Paris$0
Sao Paulo$0
Lucknow$0
Munich$0

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
2.4
Events covered
1145

Moderate coverage

<=1
346 brackets
<=2
684 brackets
<=3
929 brackets
<=4
1054 brackets
<=5
1114 brackets
<=8
1142 brackets
>8
3 brackets

Sessions

#12
12/7/2025, 12:12:43 PM2 trades$31 min
12/7/2025, 1:27:05 PM1 trades$40 min
12/7/2025, 1:41:27 PM1 trades$110 min
12/7/2025, 1:54:47 PM2 trades$22 min
12/7/2025, 2:08:19 PM2 trades$45 min
12/7/2025, 3:00:47 PM1 trades$00 min
12/7/2025, 3:07:05 PM1 trades$00 min
12/7/2025, 3:21:13 PM3 trades$22 min
12/7/2025, 3:32:07 PM2 trades$21 min
12/7/2025, 3:48:51 PM1 trades$30 min
12/7/2025, 5:17:39 PM1 trades$40 min
12/7/2025, 5:51:37 PM1 trades$00 min
12/7/2025, 6:36:59 PM2 trades$24 min
12/7/2025, 7:18:27 PM1 trades$00 min
12/7/2025, 7:37:45 PM1 trades$00 min
12/7/2025, 7:45:09 PM1 trades$00 min
12/7/2025, 8:40:33 PM1 trades$00 min
12/7/2025, 8:59:27 PM1 trades$00 min
12/7/2025, 9:46:29 PM1 trades$00 min
12/7/2025, 9:57:33 PM2 trades$12 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-07
01-02
01-28
02-23
03-21
04-17
05-13

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
96.1% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.2/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 2.4 br/event