Polydata

@Strident-Evolution

#1,15372

0xbb0bd109b9f0c2a59b8819c466f064cf65ab3790

481d· 2484 markets · 4496 tradesVol: $2,454,3722026-07-12T21:40
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

72
Very Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 17%0/20
Profit Factor 5.42x15/15
Sharpe 0.4989/15
Sortino 2.81210/10
EV $+4.51810/10
HHI 12010/10
Profit Days 60%8/10
DD/Peak 1%10/10

Summary

Strident-Evolution is a highly active trader on Polymarket, ranked #1153 globally by net PnL, with a substantial profit of $167,793.89. Over 473 days, they executed 4,496 trades across 1,471 markets, accumulating a total trading volume exceeding $2.4 million. Their performance is marked by a very good Smart Score of 72/100 and a remarkable win rate of 96.8%, indicating consistent profitability. Despite this, their portfolio value currently stands at zero, and their Sharpe ratio is moderate at 0.50.

The trading style of Strident-Evolution appears diversified, engaging in a broad range of markets without a specific niche such as weather. They demonstrate a conservative risk profile, reflected in a max drawdown duration of zero days and a low sell percentage of 11%, suggesting a preference for holding winning positions. The combination of manual and semi-automated strategies, indicated by a Bot Score of 55/100, suggests a hybrid approach balancing human judgment with algorithmic support. Timing-wise, the trader maintains a steady activity pattern without significant equity trend fluctuations.

Strident-Evolution’s strengths lie in their high win rate and profit factor of 121.47, underscoring their ability to generate returns efficiently. Their contrarian badge and lottery player status suggest a willingness to take calculated, unconventional bets that pay off. However, the flat equity trend and moderate Sharpe ratio point to limited growth momentum and risk-adjusted returns. The zero portfolio value might indicate recent position closures, which could signal temporary inactivity or a strategic reset. Overall, Strident-Evolution’s data profile highlights strong consistency with some potential risks in scaling future gains.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

7
Profitable
PnL $+167,794
Lottery Player
92% entries <$0.20
Contrarian
98% entries <$0.50
Win Streak
46 wins in a row
Whale
$61,104
Consistent
117/194 days
Cool Head
DD 1%

Categories

2
SPORTS#530$167,719Vol: $2,453,772
🎭 CULTURE#24,210$75Vol: $600

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$167,794
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,454,372
Total Redeem
$53,111
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
2484
total markets
Trades
4010B / 486S
Daily Volume
$129
Account Age
481d
since Mar 18, 2025

Periods

#2
Today
$52
Vol: $10,109
Week
$2,836
Vol: $10,109
Month
$8,484
Vol: $142,919
All Time
$167,794
Vol: $2,454,372

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
21%
231W / 856L events
Realized PnL
$191,113
Win Rate
97%
122W / 4L
Profit Factor
121.47x
Avg Win
$438
Avg Loss
$-110

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $19,531 (36.9% of PnL)

Top Winners

Spread: Brazil (-1.5)$11,167
Spread: France (-1.5)$4,184
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?$4,179
AC Monza vs. SS Juve Stabia: O/U 1.5$3,563
Will Thailand win on 2026-06-05?$3,318
Will Angers SCO win on 2026-05-03?$2,556
Spread: Knicks (-3.5)$2,301
Will AC Milan win on 2026-05-03?$2,100
Will Spain win on 2026-06-04?$1,934
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 4.5$1,768

Top Losers

76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5$-176
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 207.5$-112
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5$-82
Will United States win on 2026-03-28?$-69

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.498
Sortino
2.812
HHI
120
Diversified
EV per $1
$4.518
Kelly %
96.4%
Half-Kelly
48.2%
Top-1 market
4.4%
Top-5 markets
19.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
22.0
Active
Markets / Day
7.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
2:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.2h
between trades
Night Trading
52%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.71
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
21.1

Bot Detection

#6
55
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 66s — typical for humanSize CV 4.71 — diverse, typical for human52% at night — bot never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.25 — human randomness22 trades/day — suspiciously high1619 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 2:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.7
Moderate DCA
<=1
948 entries
<=2
1216 entries
<=5
1385 entries
<=10
1439 entries
<=20
1460 entries
<=50
1467 entries
>50
4 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)91.6%
Mid (20-55c)7.8%
High (>55c)0.6%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 37.4%

Other$50,707
Milan$2,246
Madrid$0
Tel Aviv$0
Paris$0
Austin$0
Seattle$0
Los Angeles$0
New York City$0
Houston$0
Miami$0
Atlanta$0
Chicago$0
Wellington$0
Toronto$0
Singapore$0

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.5
Events covered
1004

Single bracket

<=1
708 brackets
<=2
904 brackets
<=3
959 brackets
<=4
990 brackets
<=5
997 brackets
<=8
1004 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
12/20/2025, 4:11:29 PM1 trades$50 min
12/20/2025, 7:01:43 PM1 trades$00 min
12/20/2025, 7:08:01 PM3 trades$511 min
12/20/2025, 7:21:59 PM1 trades$00 min
12/21/2025, 1:21:21 AM1 trades$40 min
12/21/2025, 1:43:01 AM1 trades$00 min
12/21/2025, 2:12:01 AM1 trades$40 min
12/21/2025, 2:29:43 AM1 trades$20 min
12/21/2025, 5:38:01 PM2 trades$32 min
12/21/2025, 7:00:42 PM1 trades$190 min
12/21/2025, 7:48:54 PM2 trades$23 min
12/21/2025, 8:31:56 PM1 trades$210 min
12/21/2025, 9:45:38 PM2 trades$02 min
12/21/2025, 11:41:52 PM1 trades$00 min
12/21/2025, 11:49:38 PM1 trades$30 min
12/22/2025, 1:29:26 AM1 trades$50 min
12/22/2025, 1:34:54 AM2 trades$11 min
12/22/2025, 2:21:50 AM1 trades$20 min
12/22/2025, 3:54:46 AM1 trades$00 min
12/22/2025, 4:19:34 AM1 trades$150 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-26
01-21
02-28
04-02
05-04
06-09
07-11
07-12

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
10.8% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.7/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.5 br/event