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@Strong-Fire

#2,744,91126

0xc5681ef95c7d7e40ce18dfc35cfb479ea974ecb7

251d· 90 markets · 182 tradesVol: $33,6842026-06-22T15:24
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

26
Below Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 53%11/20
Profit Factor 0.83x0/15
HHI 17610/10
Profit Days 48%4/10
DD/Peak 192%0/10

Summary

Strong-Fire is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, having executed 182 trades across 90 different markets over 138 days. Despite a total trading volume of $33,684, their net profit and loss currently stands at a loss of $813.21, placing them at rank #2,744,911 on the global PnL leaderboard. Their Smart Score of 26/100 indicates below-average performance relative to other traders.

The trading style of Strong-Fire appears diversified across many markets, though with no specific focus on weather markets. Their win rate of 53.9% suggests a slightly positive success ratio, but a profit factor below 1 (0.83) and a negative Sharpe ratio (-0.14) indicate that losses have outweighed gains over time. The trader shows a moderate risk profile with a notable sell percentage of 36%, possibly indicating some profit-taking or risk management, but the overall equity trend is upward, hinting at improvement.

Strong-Fire’s strengths include an upward equity trend and consistent trading activity, highlighted by a “Win Streak” badge, which may reflect periods of effective decision-making. However, risks remain due to the negative net PnL, below-average Smart and Bot Scores, and a lack of specialization, which could lead to inconsistent performance. Careful monitoring of trading patterns on Polymarket is advisable to assess potential future profitability.

Badges

1
Win Streak
12 wins in a row

Categories

1
⚽ SPORTS#1,686,274$-947Vol: $29,378

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-813
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$33,684
Total Redeem
$487
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
90
total markets
Trades
116B / 66S
Daily Volume
$86
Account Age
251d
since Oct 24, 2025

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
54%
45W / 39L events
Realized PnL
$-785
Win Rate
54%
48W / 41L
Profit Factor
0.83x
Avg Win
$81
Avg Loss
$-115

Top Winners

FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5$274
Suns vs. 76ers$267
Spread: Kings (-6.5)$258
Lakers vs. Nuggets: O/U 229.5$220
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3)$218
Celtics vs. Pistons: O/U 224.5$184
Panthers vs. Hurricanes$166
Thunder vs. Rockets$158
KHL: Torpedo vs. Lokomotiv Yaroslavl$127
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner$125

Top Losers

Devils vs. Oilers$-312
Ducks vs. Kings$-293
Islanders vs. Canucks$-284
Lakers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 224.5$-248
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-01-17?$-248
Clippers vs. Raptors$-242
Spread: Knicks (-9.5)$-241
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-20?$-238
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-21?$-217
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-17?$-203

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.139
Sortino
-0.213
HHI
176
Diversified
EV per $1
$-27.902
Kelly %
1.3%
Half-Kelly
0.6%
Top-1 market
3.6%
Top-5 markets
15.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.7
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
5:00 UTC
Median Gap
17.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.7h
between trades
Night Trading
44%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.93
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.7

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

5 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1022s — typical for humanSize CV 0.93 — diverse, typical for human44% at night — bot never sleeps23/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.48 — human randomness

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 5:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.3
Single entry
<=1
81 entries
<=2
84 entries
<=5
88 entries
<=10
90 entries
<=20
90 entries
<=50
90 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)19.8%
High (>55c)80.2%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 67.5%

San Francisco$49
Seattle$44
Milan$22
Los Angeles$0
Seoul$-85
Madrid$-217
Paris$-264
Other$-354

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.1
Events covered
84

Single bracket

<=1
79 brackets
<=2
83 brackets
<=3
84 brackets
<=4
84 brackets
<=5
84 brackets
<=8
84 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
1/10/2026, 7:30:26 PM1 trades$680 min
1/11/2026, 4:23:12 AM1 trades$820 min
1/11/2026, 4:38:10 AM1 trades$1020 min
1/11/2026, 4:53:20 AM1 trades$1020 min
1/11/2026, 7:06:12 AM2 trades$2604 min
1/11/2026, 9:30:02 AM1 trades$900 min
1/12/2026, 2:40:58 AM1 trades$620 min
1/12/2026, 4:44:50 AM1 trades$940 min
1/12/2026, 3:07:20 PM2 trades$945 min
1/13/2026, 4:16:45 AM2 trades$2441 min
1/13/2026, 4:22:39 AM1 trades$440 min
1/13/2026, 5:29:41 AM3 trades$3713 min
1/13/2026, 5:48:31 AM1 trades$1000 min
1/14/2026, 11:43:42 AM1 trades$750 min
1/14/2026, 3:07:02 PM1 trades$10 min
1/14/2026, 3:49:26 PM1 trades$1010 min
1/14/2026, 6:44:46 PM1 trades$2290 min
1/14/2026, 7:02:32 PM1 trades$1140 min
1/14/2026, 7:18:56 PM1 trades$1150 min
1/15/2026, 2:31:06 AM5 trades$7347 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-10
01-13
01-16
01-19
01-25
02-12
03-31
05-26

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
36.3% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.3/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.1 br/event