Polydata
Submissive-Clan

@Submissive-Clan

#66635

0xad89f899f1524533adfd1e6a07da692fcd92f6e1

443d· 2806 markets · 12058 tradesVol: $10,093,4162026-07-22T17:17
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

35
Below Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 99%20/20
Profit Factor 0.26x0/15
HHI 20610/10
Profit Days 50%5/10
DD/Peak 25067%0/10

Summary

Submissive-Clan is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, ranking #666 on the global PnL leaderboard with a net profit of $305,434.66. Over 749 days, they executed 12,058 trades across 329 markets, accumulating over $10 million in volume. Despite a below-average Smart Score of 35/100, their portfolio value currently stands at $251,729.76, reflecting an overall upward equity trend.

This trader shows a preference for diverse markets but notably avoids weather-related markets. With a win rate of 53.8% and a profit factor of 0.26, Submissive-Clan appears to employ a contrarian and sniper-style strategy, as indicated by their badges. Their approach includes dollar-cost averaging (DCA) and a moderate sell percentage of 32%, suggesting a balanced risk profile with a tendency for selective, timed entries and exits. Their Sharpe ratio of -0.28 implies challenges in risk-adjusted returns, while the zero-day max drawdown duration indicates effective capital preservation tactics.

Submissive-Clan’s strengths lie in consistent profitability and an upward equity trajectory, supported by a sizable trading volume and experience. However, the below-average Smart Score and negative Sharpe ratio highlight potential inefficiencies in risk management and trade selection. Traders following Submissive-Clan should consider these factors within the broader context of Polymarket’s dynamic environment.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

7
Sniper
Win Rate 99%
Profitable
PnL $+305,435
Contrarian
83% entries <$0.50
DCA Master
avg 25.1 entries/market
Win Streak
40 wins in a row
Whale
$1,927,104
High Roller
$2,573/day

Categories

8
SPORTS#422$232,006Vol: $7,794,184
🎭 CULTURE#194$39,067Vol: $966,888
📢 MENTIONS#102$19,048Vol: $612,471
🏛️ POLITICS#3,728$10,165Vol: $429,762
📈 ECONOMICS#1,422$2,917Vol: $151,981
CRYPTO#33,285$830Vol: $104,222
💰 FINANCE#10,073$273Vol: $7,592
💻 TECH#7,871$57Vol: $600

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$305,435
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$10,093,416
Total Redeem
$731,638
Portfolio
$251,730
Predictions
2806
total markets
Trades
8256B / 3802S
Daily Volume
$2,573
Account Age
443d
since May 5, 2025

Periods

#2
Today
$47
Vol: $0
Week
$1,079
Vol: $48,168
Month
$7,378
Vol: $388,907
All Time
$305,435
Vol: $10,093,416

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
99%
181W / 2L events
Realized PnL
$351,079
Win Rate
54%
161W / 138L
Profit Factor
0.26x
Avg Win
$1,074
Avg Loss
$-4,752

Top Winners

Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Flavio Cobolli$49,316
Dubai Tennis Championships: Arthur Fils vs Jiri Lehecka$14,707
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 2.5$10,303
Will Viktor Gyokeres be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 Englis$6,298
Roland Garros ATP: Luca Van Assche vs Patrick Kypson$4,159
Set 1 Winner: Baptiste vs Kostovic$4,087
Transylvania Open: Camila Osorio vs Jaqueline Cristian$3,774
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$3,707
Celtic FC vs. AS Roma: O/U 3.5$3,323
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3,183

Top Losers

Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?$-31,141
Will Trump visit China by April 30?$-25,582
Thionville: Moise Kouame vs Giulio Zeppieri$-25,494
Rio Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Matteo Berrettini$-25,102
Sonego vs. Berrettini: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5$-23,614
Hersonissos: Maximus Jones vs Tom Gentzsch$-22,930
Set Handicap: Valentova (-1.5) vs Birrell (+1.5)$-22,614
Will Mohamed Salah be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English $-21,086
Spizzirri vs. Diallo: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5$-19,963
Spizzirri vs. Diallo: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5$-18,310

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.282
Sortino
-0.240
HHI
206
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.258
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.6%
Top-5 markets
26.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
34.7
Active
Markets / Day
0.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
27s
between trades
Avg Gap
30.5m
between trades
Night Trading
20%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
7.69
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.4

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 27s — typical for humanSize CV 7.69 — diverse, typical for human20% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.19 — human randomness35 trades/day — suspiciously high

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 22:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
25.1
Heavy DCA
<=1
66 entries
<=2
99 entries
<=5
150 entries
<=10
208 entries
<=20
265 entries
<=50
302 entries
>50
27 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)4.9%
Mid (20-55c)80.4%
High (>55c)14.7%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 40.1%

Los Angeles$3,669
Milan$42
Paris$-270
Corpus Christi$-588
Dallas$-946
Madrid$-2,740
New York City$-3,036
Miami$-16,634
Other$-462,388

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.5
Events covered
218

Single bracket

<=1
151 brackets
<=2
193 brackets
<=3
204 brackets
<=4
214 brackets
<=5
217 brackets
<=8
218 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
8/6/2025, 5:15:37 PM1 trades$100 min
8/8/2025, 1:59:01 AM4 trades$1,2320 min
8/8/2025, 2:04:49 AM5 trades$2,6499 min
8/28/2025, 12:46:19 AM1 trades$2180 min
8/28/2025, 12:57:43 AM1 trades$2810 min
8/28/2025, 10:18:41 PM1 trades$990 min
9/1/2025, 10:53:07 PM1 trades$120 min
9/5/2025, 1:01:20 PM1 trades$650 min
9/5/2025, 5:45:40 PM1 trades$1650 min
9/6/2025, 8:01:54 AM1 trades$960 min
9/7/2025, 1:51:34 AM1 trades$4140 min
9/25/2025, 12:16:01 PM2 trades$1,1731 min
10/6/2025, 6:47:37 AM1 trades$10 min
10/6/2025, 11:31:21 AM1 trades$4990 min
10/6/2025, 12:52:47 PM1 trades$20 min
10/6/2025, 2:41:51 PM2 trades$1650 min
10/9/2025, 8:06:15 PM7 trades$1,50710 min
10/11/2025, 5:13:18 PM3 trades$130 min
10/11/2025, 7:41:06 PM9 trades$532 min
10/11/2025, 9:03:07 PM1 trades$270 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
12-07
01-20
03-02
05-26
06-23
07-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
31.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 25.1/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.5 br/event