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@Submissive-Dinghy

#476,88193

0x2a534fd02ab7bcfbcb6b59f84de57f551abf6381

141d· 55 markets · 76 tradesVol: $1032026-06-24T18:57
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

93
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 87%20/20
Profit Factor 3.26x15/15
Sharpe 0.4909/15
Sortino 1.20410/10
EV $+0.1749/10
HHI 18310/10
Profit Days 80%10/10
DD/Peak 21%10/10

Summary

Submissive-Dinghy is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, participating in 76 trades across 55 markets over 24 days. With a net profit of $9.95 and a total traded volume of $103, they are ranked #476,881 on the global PnL leaderboard. Their smart score of 93/100 reflects elite trading skill despite a relatively small portfolio value and a Sharpe ratio of 0.49, indicating moderate risk-adjusted returns.

This trader prefers weather-related markets, which make up 53% of their activity, showing a focused but diversified approach. Submissive-Dinghy’s win rate of 85.5% and profit factor of 3.26 suggest a strong ability to identify profitable opportunities. They tend to hold positions briefly, as indicated by zero max drawdown duration and a 28% sell rate, signaling a nimble, low-risk trading style with a cool-headed execution pattern.

Strengths for Submissive-Dinghy include high consistency, an upward equity trend, and elite smart score badges highlighting sniper-like precision and a steady win streak. However, the low portfolio value and limited trading volume could indicate constraints on scalability or capital deployment. Additionally, the relatively low Bot Score suggests manual trading, which might limit speed but supports careful decision-making.

Badges

5
Sniper
Win Rate 87%
Profitable
PnL $+10
Win Streak
19 wins in a row
Consistent
8/10 days
Cool Head
DD 21%

Categories

2
🌤️ WEATHER#20,282$11Vol: $71
CRYPTO#823,975$-1Vol: $32

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$10
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$103
Total Redeem
$39
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
55
total markets
Trades
55B / 21S
Daily Volume
$2
Account Age
141d
since Feb 26, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-1
Vol: $0
Month
$-1
Vol: $0
All Time
$10
Vol: $103

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
89%
47W / 6L events
Realized PnL
$10
Win Rate
85%
47W / 8L
Profit Factor
3.26x
Avg Win
$0
Avg Loss
$-1

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $4 (45.8% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 23?$2
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on April 22?$1
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on April 23?$1
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 22?$1
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 23?$1
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on April 22?$1
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on April 23?$1
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 21?$1
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on April 20?$0
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 20?$0

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET$-1
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET$-1
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET$-1
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on April 18?$-1
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on April $-0
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on April 20?$-0
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on April 20?$-0
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on April 18?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.490
Sortino
1.204
HHI
183
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.174
Kelly %
58.7%
Half-Kelly
29.4%
Top-1 market
3%
Top-5 markets
10.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
2.3
Active Hours
17/24
Extended
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
23.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.7h
between trades
Night Trading
20%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.09
Very consistent
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.3

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

5 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
HIGH
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1426s — typical for humanSize CV 0.09 — uniform orders20% at night — different timezone?17/24 hours — normal hoursSession CV 0.43 — semi-mechanical

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 12:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1
Single entry
<=1
55 entries
<=2
55 entries
<=5
55 entries
<=10
55 entries
<=20
55 entries
<=50
55 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)10.9%
High (>55c)89.1%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 38.1%

Hong Kong$3
London$3
Paris$2
Singapore$2
Shanghai$1
Beijing$0
Wellington$0
Munich$0
Seoul$-0
Other$-1

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
53

Single bracket

<=1
51 brackets
<=2
53 brackets
<=3
53 brackets
<=4
53 brackets
<=5
53 brackets
<=8
53 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
3/31/2026, 1:46:45 AM2 trades$24 min
3/31/2026, 1:57:15 AM2 trades$25 min
3/31/2026, 2:32:13 AM1 trades$10 min
3/31/2026, 2:38:03 AM1 trades$10 min
3/31/2026, 12:27:17 PM5 trades$510 min
3/31/2026, 1:51:45 PM1 trades$10 min
4/15/2026, 8:12:50 PM1 trades$10 min
4/15/2026, 9:24:46 PM1 trades$10 min
4/16/2026, 9:13:32 PM1 trades$10 min
4/16/2026, 9:45:00 PM1 trades$10 min
4/17/2026, 11:52:20 AM1 trades$10 min
4/17/2026, 12:04:52 PM1 trades$10 min
4/17/2026, 12:12:52 PM1 trades$10 min
4/17/2026, 12:29:22 PM1 trades$10 min
4/17/2026, 12:34:58 PM1 trades$10 min
4/17/2026, 4:19:02 PM1 trades$10 min
4/17/2026, 4:34:56 PM3 trades$37 min
4/17/2026, 5:32:20 PM1 trades$10 min
4/17/2026, 5:39:34 PM1 trades$10 min
4/17/2026, 5:46:34 PM1 trades$10 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-31
04-15
04-16
04-17
04-18
04-19
04-20
04-21
04-22
04-23

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
52.7% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
27.6% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event