Polydata
Submissive-Knee

@Submissive-Knee

#2,927,88784

0xd83a50077826ffbd79a3288f2d51d0e3705f3609

264d· 512 markets · 1185 tradesVol: $143,782 @0xShinei2026-07-02T15:20
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

84
Very Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 99%20/20
Profit Factor 1.38x7/15
Sharpe 0.76614/15
Sortino 10.19410/10
EV $+0.0432/10
HHI 9810/10
Profit Days 95%10/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

Submissive-Knee is an active Polymarket trader with 1,185 trades across 409 markets over 278 days. Despite a high volume of $143,782, their net PnL stands at -$4,668.43, placing them at #2,927,887 on the global leaderboard. Their Smart Score of 84/100 indicates very good trading skills, while their portfolio value remains low at $31.54, suggesting limited capital retention or withdrawal.

This trader favors a diverse set of markets, including a notable 15% allocation to weather markets. With a high win rate of 88.1% and a profit factor of 1.38, Submissive-Knee demonstrates a consistent and measured approach. Their relatively low sell percentage at 27% and stable equity trend point to a preference for holding positions rather than frequent flipping. The Sharpe ratio of 0.77 and zero-day max drawdown duration indicate moderate risk management and quick recovery from losses.

Submissive-Knee’s main strengths lie in their consistency and ability to maintain a long win streak, reinforced by badges like Sniper and Cool Head. However, the negative net PnL despite a strong win rate suggests issues with trade sizing or occasional large losses. Their low Bot Score confirms human-like trading behavior, which may limit scalability but helps avoid algorithmic risks. Overall, they show promise but face challenges in turning frequent wins into sustained profitability.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

5
Sniper
Win Rate 99%
Win Streak
50 wins in a row
Whale
$54,470
Consistent
42/44 days
Cool Head
DD 0%

Categories

9
CRYPTO#1,561,510$-896Vol: $73,404
🌤️ WEATHER#276,202$-116Vol: $17,047
SPORTS#1,756,128$-1,671Vol: $9,665
🎭 CULTURE#13,783$199Vol: $6,889
🏛️ POLITICS#1,458,593$-62Vol: $3,082
📈 ECONOMICS#561,913$-5Vol: $769
📢 MENTIONS#149,788$-49Vol: $293
💻 TECH#211,118$-7Vol: $149
💰 FINANCE#204,341$0Vol: $18

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-4,668
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$143,782
Total Redeem
$24,940
Portfolio
$32
Predictions
512
total markets
Trades
864B / 321S
Daily Volume
$196
Account Age
264d
since Oct 14, 2025

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-4
Vol: $0
Month
$-2
Vol: $0
All Time
$-4,668
Vol: $143,782

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
99%
241W / 2L events
Realized PnL
$7,173
Win Rate
88%
281W / 38L
Profit Factor
1.38x
Avg Win
$24
Avg Loss
$-128

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,675 (89.6% of PnL)

Top Winners

LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5)$716
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 18 to November 2$481
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Fnatic (BO3)$477
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET$262
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs FlyQuest (BO3)$262
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner$222
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 27, 6PM ET$182
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 18, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET$179
Grizzlies vs. Kings$141
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET$137

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET$-780
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 16, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$-660
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET$-398
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 16, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET$-383
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET$-336
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs PSG Talon (BO3)$-253
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$-241
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET$-190
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 8AM ET$-171
Solana Up or Down - November 17, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$-167

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.766
Sortino
10.194
HHI
98
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.043
Kelly %
57.8%
Half-Kelly
28.9%
Top-1 market
3.5%
Top-5 markets
12.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
4.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.7
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
50.3m
between trades
Night Trading
19%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.24
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.0

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

5 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 110s — typical for humanSize CV 2.24 — diverse, typical for human19% at night — different timezone?23/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.02 — human randomness

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 23:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.1
Moderate DCA
<=1
220 entries
<=2
301 entries
<=5
387 entries
<=10
407 entries
<=20
409 entries
<=50
409 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)6.8%
Mid (20-55c)20%
High (>55c)73.1%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 62.1%

Other$1,249
New York City$289
London$184
Buenos Aires$97
Paris$47
Seoul$4

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.1
Events covered
376

Single bracket

<=1
351 brackets
<=2
372 brackets
<=3
375 brackets
<=4
375 brackets
<=5
375 brackets
<=8
376 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
10/14/2025, 9:31:09 AM1 trades$100 min
10/14/2025, 9:36:37 AM1 trades$400 min
10/14/2025, 10:00:39 AM1 trades$510 min
10/14/2025, 9:37:35 PM4 trades$1481 min
10/15/2025, 9:52:25 AM1 trades$200 min
10/15/2025, 11:02:59 AM1 trades$510 min
10/15/2025, 12:52:17 PM1 trades$670 min
10/15/2025, 6:03:09 PM5 trades$1481 min
10/16/2025, 9:08:39 AM1 trades$430 min
10/16/2025, 10:40:23 AM1 trades$660 min
10/16/2025, 10:52:31 AM2 trades$251 min
10/16/2025, 12:07:09 PM2 trades$802 min
10/16/2025, 3:33:07 PM1 trades$40 min
10/16/2025, 4:33:49 PM4 trades$262 min
10/16/2025, 4:48:17 PM8 trades$1498 min
10/16/2025, 5:02:37 PM2 trades$252 min
10/16/2025, 5:45:13 PM4 trades$30 min
10/16/2025, 6:08:43 PM1 trades$200 min
10/16/2025, 6:39:05 PM2 trades$381 min
10/16/2025, 6:47:35 PM7 trades$977 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
10-29
11-18
11-26
12-05
12-12
05-11

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
15.4% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
27.1% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.1/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.1 br/event