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Submissive-Knee

@Submissive-Knee

#2,879,93596

0xd83a50077826ffbd79a3288f2d51d0e3705f3609

261d· 511 markets · 1324 tradesVol: $143,782 @0xShinei2026-06-24T08:32
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

96
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 99%20/20
Profit Factor 9.31x15/15
Sharpe 0.76814/15
Sortino 22.60810/10
EV $+0.1417/10
HHI 8910/10
Profit Days 95%10/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

Submissive-Knee is an active trader on Polymarket with 1,324 trades across 455 markets over 278 days. Despite a high trading volume of $143,782, the trader currently holds a net PnL of -$4,656.07, placing them at rank #2,879,935 globally. Their portfolio value is low at $43.90, and they maintain a stable equity trend with no prolonged drawdowns, supported by a Sharpe ratio of 0.77. Submissive-Knee’s smart score of 96/100 reflects elite analytical capability, though their bot score suggests human trading behavior.

The trader favors a diverse range of markets, with 14% exposure to weather-related markets and a sell percentage of 26%, indicating moderate profit-taking or risk management. Submissive-Knee exhibits a risk-averse profile, evidenced by a high win rate of 94.7% and a notable profit factor of 9.31, signifying strong returns on winning trades relative to losses. Their style appears consistent and methodical, aligning with badges like Sniper and Cool Head, and they sustain steady activity without significant drawdown periods, suggesting disciplined timing and execution.

Submissive-Knee’s key strengths lie in their consistency, strong win rate, and disciplined approach, which have earned them elite status on Polymarket despite a negative net PnL. However, the low portfolio value and overall loss position indicate potential issues in scaling or market selection. The disparity between volume and profitability might suggest overtrading or suboptimal position sizing. Vigilance is required to address these risks to leverage their evident strategic skill more effectively.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

5
Sniper
Win Rate 99%
Win Streak
113 wins in a row
Whale
$58,316
Consistent
42/44 days
Cool Head
DD 0%

Categories

9
CRYPTO#1,543,749$-896Vol: $73,404
🌤️ WEATHER#273,226$-116Vol: $17,047
SPORTS#1,715,340$-1,658Vol: $9,665
🎭 CULTURE#13,684$199Vol: $6,889
🏛️ POLITICS#1,454,144$-62Vol: $3,082
📈 ECONOMICS#559,563$-5Vol: $769
📢 MENTIONS#148,761$-49Vol: $293
💻 TECH#206,755$-7Vol: $149
💰 FINANCE#202,946$0Vol: $18

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-4,656
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$143,782
Total Redeem
$30,107
Portfolio
$44
Predictions
511
total markets
Trades
985B / 339S
Daily Volume
$210
Account Age
261d
since Oct 14, 2025

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$-9
Vol: $19
All Time
$-4,656
Vol: $143,782

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
99%
241W / 2L events
Realized PnL
$7,173
Win Rate
95%
337W / 19L
Profit Factor
9.31x
Avg Win
$22
Avg Loss
$-42

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,675 (25.4% of PnL)

Top Winners

LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5)$716
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 18 to November 2$481
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Fnatic (BO3)$477
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET$262
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs FlyQuest (BO3)$262
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner$222
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 18, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET$179
Grizzlies vs. Kings$141
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET$137
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5)$126

Top Losers

LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs PSG Talon (BO3)$-253
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$-96
Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET$-88
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 16, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET$-82
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 16, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET$-46
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$-32
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$-30
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET$-26
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET$-24
Solana Up or Down - November 17, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$-20

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.768
Sortino
22.608
HHI
89
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.141
Kelly %
91.0%
Half-Kelly
45.5%
Top-1 market
3.3%
Top-5 markets
11.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
5.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.9
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
45.0m
between trades
Night Trading
21%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.27
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.0

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

5 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 100s — typical for humanSize CV 2.27 — diverse, typical for human21% at night — different timezone?23/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.04 — human randomness

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 23:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.2
Moderate DCA
<=1
237 entries
<=2
328 entries
<=5
429 entries
<=10
453 entries
<=20
455 entries
<=50
455 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)7.1%
Mid (20-55c)19.1%
High (>55c)73.8%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 62.3%

Other$5,962
New York City$289
London$184
Buenos Aires$97
Paris$47
Seoul$4

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.1
Events covered
422

Single bracket

<=1
397 brackets
<=2
418 brackets
<=3
421 brackets
<=4
421 brackets
<=5
421 brackets
<=8
422 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
10/14/2025, 9:31:09 AM1 trades$100 min
10/14/2025, 9:36:37 AM1 trades$400 min
10/14/2025, 10:00:39 AM1 trades$510 min
10/14/2025, 9:37:35 PM4 trades$1481 min
10/15/2025, 9:52:25 AM1 trades$200 min
10/15/2025, 11:02:59 AM1 trades$510 min
10/15/2025, 12:52:17 PM1 trades$670 min
10/15/2025, 6:03:09 PM5 trades$1481 min
10/16/2025, 9:08:39 AM1 trades$430 min
10/16/2025, 10:40:23 AM1 trades$660 min
10/16/2025, 10:52:31 AM2 trades$251 min
10/16/2025, 12:07:09 PM2 trades$802 min
10/16/2025, 3:33:07 PM1 trades$40 min
10/16/2025, 4:33:49 PM4 trades$262 min
10/16/2025, 4:48:17 PM8 trades$1498 min
10/16/2025, 5:02:37 PM2 trades$252 min
10/16/2025, 5:45:13 PM4 trades$30 min
10/16/2025, 6:08:43 PM1 trades$200 min
10/16/2025, 6:39:05 PM2 trades$381 min
10/16/2025, 6:47:35 PM7 trades$977 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
10-29
11-18
11-26
12-05
12-12
05-11

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
13.8% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
25.6% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.2/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.1 br/event