Polydata

@Svelte-Criteria

#2,980,907100

0x153c6a1efea9f32dc21a50954864bf3f7d4b3386

104d· 710 markets · 8041 tradesVol: $846,9842026-07-07T23:40
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

100
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 88%20/20
Profit Factor 10.99x15/15
Sharpe 0.92715/15
Sortino 11.36510/10
EV $+9.89310/10
HHI 5410/10
Profit Days 72%10/10
DD/Peak 2%10/10

Summary

Svelte-Criteria is an experienced trader on Polymarket, with 8,041 trades across 291 markets over 101 active days. Despite an impressive win rate of 84.9% and a high Profit Factor of 6.49, their net PnL stands at -$16,784.78, placing them at rank #2,980,907 on the global leaderboard. Their Smart Score of 100/100 indicates elite trading skills, and they maintain a stable portfolio value with no current equity growth.

This trader demonstrates a strategic approach characterized by frequent trading and a semi-automated style, as reflected in their Bot Score of 55/100. Svelte-Criteria shows a preference for consistent, high-frequency trades rather than weather markets, holding a 59% sell rate and applying techniques like dollar-cost averaging. Their Sharpe Ratio of 0.93 suggests moderate risk-adjusted returns, and their max drawdown duration of zero days points to effective risk management without prolonged losses.

Key strengths for Svelte-Criteria include a strong win streak and consistent performance, supported by badges such as Sniper and DCA Master. However, the significant negative net PnL despite high volume and win rate raises questions about realized profits versus overall exposure. The flat equity trend suggests limited portfolio growth, highlighting risks related to capital allocation and market timing within their Polymarket activities.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

7
Sniper
Win Rate 88%
DCA Master
avg 11.3 entries/market
Win Streak
33 wins in a row
Whale
$145,140
Consistent
18/25 days
High Roller
$1,437/day
Cool Head
DD 2%

Categories

1
CRYPTO#1,629,085$-16,785Vol: $846,984

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-16,785
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$846,984
Total Redeem
$613
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
710
total markets
Trades
3291B / 4750S
Daily Volume
$1,437
Account Age
104d
since Mar 25, 2026

Periods

#2
Week
$-34
Vol: $334
Month
$-873
Vol: $10,999
All Time
$-16,785
Vol: $846,984

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
89%
248W / 32L events
Realized PnL
$83,487
Win Rate
85%
191W / 34L
Profit Factor
6.49x
Avg Win
$330
Avg Loss
$-286

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $4,052 (7.6% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$1,580
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET$1,266
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$1,207
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET$1,036
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET$901
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET$893
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET$888
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET$865
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET$814
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET$811

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET$-980
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET$-808
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET$-766
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET$-727
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET$-613
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$-513
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$-495
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$-410
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET$-382
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$-379

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.927
Sortino
11.365
HHI
54
Diversified
EV per $1
$9.893
Kelly %
76.7%
Half-Kelly
38.4%
Top-1 market
1.5%
Top-5 markets
6.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
82.7
Very active
Markets / Day
3.0
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
8s
between trades
Avg Gap
6.1m
between trades
Night Trading
20%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.43
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
7 min
Avg Trades / Session
29.4

Bot Detection

#6
55
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
51% < 10s — regular intervalSize CV 2.43 — diverse, typical for human20% at night — different timezone?23/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.49 — human randomness83 trades/day — mass trading

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
11.3
Heavy DCA
<=1
70 entries
<=2
105 entries
<=5
154 entries
<=10
190 entries
<=20
234 entries
<=50
282 entries
>50
9 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1%
Mid (20-55c)69.4%
High (>55c)29.6%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 44.1%

Other$53,330

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
291

Single bracket

<=1
291 brackets
<=2
291 brackets
<=3
291 brackets
<=4
291 brackets
<=5
291 brackets
<=8
291 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
3/31/2026, 1:05:35 PM11 trades$8075 min
4/6/2026, 6:35:09 PM5 trades$5385 min
4/6/2026, 7:02:29 PM14 trades$2972 min
4/6/2026, 7:19:29 PM15 trades$7934 min
4/6/2026, 7:35:09 PM15 trades$710 min
4/6/2026, 7:58:55 PM29 trades$5043 min
4/6/2026, 8:08:43 PM7 trades$3793 min
4/6/2026, 8:24:03 PM1 trades$2490 min
4/6/2026, 8:40:21 PM9 trades$5355 min
4/6/2026, 9:54:01 PM26 trades$1,0146 min
4/6/2026, 10:18:07 PM18 trades$9337 min
4/6/2026, 10:39:37 PM147 trades$4,69628 min
4/6/2026, 11:19:55 PM15 trades$1,4259 min
4/6/2026, 11:48:47 PM21 trades$4698 min
4/7/2026, 12:02:01 AM20 trades$1,2626 min
4/7/2026, 12:13:17 AM25 trades$1,4352 min
4/8/2026, 2:08:13 AM7 trades$631 min
4/8/2026, 2:15:11 AM1 trades$2850 min
4/8/2026, 2:20:37 AM24 trades$94714 min
4/8/2026, 3:14:59 AM15 trades$7115 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-27
04-08
04-21
04-27
05-26
06-25
07-06

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
59.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 11.3/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event