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@Svelte-Criteria

#2,715,003100

0x153c6a1efea9f32dc21a50954864bf3f7d4b3386

57d· 570 markets · 8109 tradesVol: $650,9282026-05-16T01:36
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

100
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 96%20/20
Profit Factor 19.74x15/15
Sharpe 1.06615/15
Sortino 3622327.92310/10
EV $+18.42210/10
HHI 5510/10
Profit Days 94%10/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

Svelte-Criteria is an active trader on Polymarket, with 8,109 trades executed over 34 days across 275 markets. Despite a high volume of $650,928, the trader currently holds a net PnL of -$14,003.13 and ranks #2,715,003 on the global profit and loss leaderboard. Their smart score is an elite 100/100, indicating strong overall trading skills, while their portfolio value stands at zero, suggesting recent full liquidation or redeployment of capital.

The trader shows a preference for a wide variety of markets, as evidenced by trading in 275 different events, and maintains a balanced sell rate of 50%. Svelte-Criteria exhibits a disciplined risk profile with a high win rate of 86.1% and a profit factor of 6.71, reflecting profitable trades outweighing losses significantly. The semi-automated approach (bot score 60/100) blends manual and algorithmic strategies, likely enabling timely entries and exits. Their Sharpe ratio of 1.07 and zero-day maximum drawdown duration indicate effective volatility management and consistent positive returns.

Svelte-Criteria’s strengths include elite precision, consistent performance, and strong risk control, supported by badges like Sniper and DCA Master. However, the substantial negative net PnL despite the high win rate raises concerns about occasional large losses or ineffective capital deployment. The zero portfolio value also suggests potential liquidity risks or strategy resets. Overall, Svelte-Criteria demonstrates promising trading capabilities on Polymarket but may face challenges in sustaining profitability.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

7
Sniper
Win Rate 96%
DCA Master
avg 14.7 entries/market
Win Streak
20 wins in a row
Whale
$126,890
Consistent
17/18 days
High Roller
$3,732/day
Cool Head
DD 0%

Categories

1
CRYPTO#1,508,938$-14,003Vol: $650,928

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-14,003
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$650,928
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
570
total markets
Trades
4044B / 4065S
Daily Volume
$3,732
Account Age
57d
since Mar 25, 2026

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
97%
248W / 9L events
Realized PnL
$68,741
Win Rate
86%
211W / 34L
Profit Factor
6.71x
Avg Win
$267
Avg Loss
$-247

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,805 (7.9% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$1,579
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$1,202
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET$1,024
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET$901
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET$890
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET$881
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET$790
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET$787
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET$779
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET$753

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET$-744
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$-663
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET$-636
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$-526
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$-507
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$-500
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET$-436
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$-412
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET$-393
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$-392

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
1.066
Sortino
inf
HHI
55
Diversified
EV per $1
$18.422
Kelly %
76.8%
Half-Kelly
38.4%
Top-1 market
1.8%
Top-5 markets
6.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
239.0
Very active
Markets / Day
8.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
6s
between trades
Avg Gap
5.5m
between trades
Night Trading
22%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.46
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
8 min
Avg Trades / Session
32.3

Bot Detection

#6
60
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
54% < 10s — regular intervalSize CV 2.46 — diverse, typical for human22% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.54 — human randomness239 trades/day — automation

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
14.7
Heavy DCA
<=1
33 entries
<=2
55 entries
<=5
80 entries
<=10
135 entries
<=20
207 entries
<=50
265 entries
>50
10 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0.1%
Mid (20-55c)68.6%
High (>55c)31.3%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 43.5%

Other$47,911

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
275

Single bracket

<=1
275 brackets
<=2
275 brackets
<=3
275 brackets
<=4
275 brackets
<=5
275 brackets
<=8
275 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
3/27/2026, 12:39:15 PM51 trades$8314 min
3/27/2026, 12:50:49 PM15 trades$6792 min
3/27/2026, 1:04:57 PM123 trades$3,95816 min
3/27/2026, 1:25:57 PM18 trades$6003 min
3/27/2026, 1:34:21 PM116 trades$5,58035 min
3/27/2026, 2:41:47 PM2 trades$1,2073 min
3/27/2026, 2:54:35 PM52 trades$2,40310 min
3/27/2026, 3:15:55 PM29 trades$2,46414 min
3/27/2026, 3:41:05 PM30 trades$1,58512 min
3/27/2026, 3:59:33 PM76 trades$2,6819 min
3/27/2026, 4:14:25 PM12 trades$1,1376 min
3/27/2026, 5:10:05 PM15 trades$1810 min
3/27/2026, 5:15:17 PM1 trades$4000 min
3/27/2026, 5:46:11 PM37 trades$1,4898 min
3/27/2026, 7:01:23 PM35 trades$2,17414 min
3/27/2026, 8:00:57 PM164 trades$7,42854 min
3/27/2026, 9:14:31 PM10 trades$1585 min
3/27/2026, 9:26:51 PM18 trades$7434 min
3/28/2026, 7:27:54 PM22 trades$7558 min
3/31/2026, 1:05:35 PM47 trades$1,29310 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-27
04-06
04-11
04-14
04-23
04-27

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
50.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 14.7/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event