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Svelte-Stomach

@Svelte-Stomach

#2,726,71237

0xf5156f12467f9032192eacf85292d4362d520805

318d· 489 markets · 621 tradesVol: $9,486,767 @AlandAlphoto2026-05-18T05:46
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

37
Below Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 68%19/20
Profit Factor 0.87x1/15
HHI 7210/10
Profit Days 57%7/10
DD/Peak 253%0/10

Summary

Svelte-Stomach is a moderately active trader on Polymarket with 621 trades across 297 markets over 304 days. Despite a high win rate of 99.4% and a large total volume of nearly $9.5 million, Svelte-Stomach’s net PnL stands at a significant loss of $22,924.96, placing them at rank #2,726,712 globally. Their portfolio value is currently zero, and their Smart Score is below average at 37/100, indicating limited overall profitability despite extensive activity.

The trading style of Svelte-Stomach appears to focus on frequent, high-volume trades with a very high win rate and profit factor, suggesting a strategy leaning toward low-risk, high-frequency moves. However, the negative Sharpe ratio and the equity trend show a consistent decline in returns. Svelte-Stomach’s approach does not involve weather markets and includes a 24% sell rate, hinting at a preference for holding positions rather than rapid selling. The short max drawdown duration of zero days may reflect quick position adjustments or rapid trade turnovers.

Svelte-Stomach’s key strength lies in their consistent win streak and sniper-like precision, as reflected in their badges, indicating strong trade timing and entry points. However, the trader’s significant net losses, declining equity, and negative risk-adjusted returns highlight potential risks in their overall strategy execution. The data suggests that despite frequent wins, the losses on fewer trades or position sizing may be undermining profitability on Polymarket.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

3
Sniper
Win Rate 68%
Win Streak
128 wins in a row
Whale
$212,326

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#1,539,295$-5,263Vol: $8,422,520
SPORTS#1,648,634$-16,403Vol: $765,910
🎭 CULTURE#764,686$-346Vol: $175,923
📈 ECONOMICS#626,447$-186Vol: $54,632
CRYPTO#1,445,171$-602Vol: $45,288
📢 MENTIONS#13,581$21Vol: $9,420
💻 TECH#11,458$20Vol: $7,170
💰 FINANCE#588,338$-167Vol: $5,902

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-22,925
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$9,486,767
Total Redeem
$81,887
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
489
total markets
Trades
473B / 148S
Daily Volume
$698
Account Age
318d
since Jul 7, 2025

Periods

#2
Month
$-1,466
Vol: $3,153
All Time
$-22,925
Vol: $9,486,767

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
67%
237W / 117L events
Realized PnL
$65,450
Win Rate
99%
176W / 1L
Profit Factor
91.61x
Avg Win
$304
Avg Loss
$-583

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $5,848 (11.1% of PnL)

Top Winners

Newcastle United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5$2,211
Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5$2,077
Flyers vs. Panthers$1,560
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5$1,516
Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Score$1,407
Sporting CP vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 2.5$1,022
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-10-03?$998
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5$958
Seahawks vs. Patriots$850
Spread: Ravens (-7.5)$833

Top Losers

Open de Moselle: Cameron Norrie vs Learner Tien$-583

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.073
Sortino
-0.087
HHI
73
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.126
Kelly %
98.7%
Half-Kelly
49.4%
Top-1 market
2.4%
Top-5 markets
9.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.3
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
7.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.0h
between trades
Night Trading
5%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.37
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.5

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 456s — typical for humanSize CV 1.37 — diverse, typical for human5% at night — normal sleep pattern22/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 0.76 — human randomness369 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.6
Single entry
<=1
235 entries
<=2
273 entries
<=5
289 entries
<=10
295 entries
<=20
295 entries
<=50
297 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)4.4%
Mid (20-55c)31.1%
High (>55c)64.5%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 85.9%

Other$49,502
Madrid$2,636
Paris$674
Milan$55
New York City$0

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
287

Single bracket

<=1
278 brackets
<=2
286 brackets
<=3
287 brackets
<=4
287 brackets
<=5
287 brackets
<=8
287 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
10/1/2025, 6:21:03 AM1 trades$1,0150 min
10/2/2025, 3:52:41 AM1 trades$1,1940 min
10/2/2025, 3:59:19 AM1 trades$5000 min
10/3/2025, 4:10:39 AM1 trades$6000 min
10/3/2025, 4:42:43 AM1 trades$5000 min
10/3/2025, 4:49:09 AM1 trades$250 min
10/3/2025, 4:37:24 PM1 trades$1,5390 min
10/4/2025, 5:20:09 AM2 trades$2,1153 min
10/5/2025, 6:24:58 AM1 trades$1,4500 min
10/5/2025, 5:59:51 PM3 trades$4,7674 min
10/7/2025, 3:44:40 PM1 trades$1,0000 min
10/7/2025, 4:54:56 PM1 trades$5040 min
10/8/2025, 11:34:04 AM1 trades$1,0000 min
10/8/2025, 12:56:50 PM1 trades$5000 min
10/8/2025, 5:26:57 PM1 trades$1,5000 min
10/9/2025, 7:35:59 AM3 trades$3,0215 min
10/9/2025, 7:47:53 AM1 trades$1,3790 min
10/9/2025, 11:13:19 AM1 trades$170 min
10/10/2025, 7:45:15 AM2 trades$5900 min
10/10/2025, 7:58:43 AM3 trades$3941 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
10-22
11-13
12-03
02-02
03-16

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
23.8% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.6/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event