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Svelte-Stomach

@Svelte-Stomach

#2,929,78237

0xf5156f12467f9032192eacf85292d4362d520805

360d· 506 markets · 585 tradesVol: $9,726,946 @AlandAlphoto2026-06-28T16:46
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

37
Below Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 67%19/20
Profit Factor 0.91x1/15
HHI 7310/10
Profit Days 60%7/10
DD/Peak 254%0/10

Summary

Svelte-Stomach is a highly active Polymarket trader, with 585 trades across 294 markets over 293 days. Despite a large trading volume of nearly $9.7 million, their net profit and loss stands at a significant loss of $20,538.61, placing them at rank #2,929,782 globally. Their smart score is below average at 37/100, and their portfolio value is currently zero, indicating recent liquidation or full withdrawal.

The trader’s style is characterized by an extremely high win rate of 99.4% and a very strong profit factor of 150.59, suggesting frequent small winning trades. However, the Sharpe ratio of -0.05 and a 24% sell percentage hint at a cautious approach with a relatively low risk appetite. Svelte-Stomach does not engage in weather markets and shows an upward equity trend, which might reflect steady gains despite the overall negative net PnL. Their badges such as Sniper and Whale indicate a focus on precise, possibly large-volume trades.

Svelte-Stomach’s strengths include a consistent winning pattern and significant market exposure, but the large net losses and low smart score reveal potential issues with trade sizing or timing. The negative Sharpe ratio and zero portfolio value may indicate risk management challenges or recent withdrawals. Overall, while their activity level and volume are impressive, their current performance metrics suggest that improvements in strategy execution could be beneficial.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

3
Sniper
Win Rate 67%
Win Streak
90 wins in a row
Whale
$217,048

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#1,605,147$-5,263Vol: $8,422,520
SPORTS#1,763,389$-14,016Vol: $1,006,089
🎭 CULTURE#787,865$-346Vol: $175,923
📈 ECONOMICS#651,667$-186Vol: $54,632
CRYPTO#1,538,544$-602Vol: $45,288
📢 MENTIONS#13,799$21Vol: $9,420
💻 TECH#12,327$20Vol: $7,170
💰 FINANCE#622,598$-167Vol: $5,902

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-20,539
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$9,726,946
Total Redeem
$84,248
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
506
total markets
Trades
443B / 142S
Daily Volume
$741
Account Age
360d
since Jul 7, 2025

Periods

#2
Today
$225
Vol: $0
Week
$591
Vol: $0
Month
$1,095
Vol: $237,052
All Time
$-20,539
Vol: $9,726,946

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
67%
240W / 119L events
Realized PnL
$68,958
Win Rate
99%
171W / 1L
Profit Factor
150.59x
Avg Win
$326
Avg Loss
$-371

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $5,848 (10.5% of PnL)

Top Winners

Newcastle United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5$2,211
Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5$2,077
Flyers vs. Panthers$1,560
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5$1,516
Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Score$1,407
Sporting CP vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 2.5$1,022
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-10-03?$998
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5$958
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$874
Seahawks vs. Patriots$850

Top Losers

Arsenal FC vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Score$-371

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.051
Sortino
-0.059
HHI
73
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.090
Kelly %
98.0%
Half-Kelly
49.0%
Top-1 market
2.4%
Top-5 markets
9.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.1
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
13.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.5h
between trades
Night Trading
6%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.27
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.4

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 800s — typical for humanSize CV 1.28 — diverse, typical for human5% at night — normal sleep pattern22/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 0.84 — human randomness371 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.5
Single entry
<=1
235 entries
<=2
271 entries
<=5
287 entries
<=10
293 entries
<=20
293 entries
<=50
294 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)5%
Mid (20-55c)31.8%
High (>55c)63.2%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 86.8%

Other$52,083
Madrid$2,636
Paris$674
Milan$55
New York City$0

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
285

Single bracket

<=1
277 brackets
<=2
284 brackets
<=3
285 brackets
<=4
285 brackets
<=5
285 brackets
<=8
285 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
10/1/2025, 6:21:03 AM1 trades$1,0150 min
10/2/2025, 3:52:41 AM1 trades$1,1940 min
10/2/2025, 3:59:19 AM1 trades$5000 min
10/3/2025, 4:10:39 AM1 trades$6000 min
10/3/2025, 4:42:43 AM1 trades$5000 min
10/3/2025, 4:49:09 AM1 trades$250 min
10/3/2025, 4:37:24 PM1 trades$1,5390 min
10/4/2025, 5:20:09 AM2 trades$2,1153 min
10/5/2025, 6:24:58 AM1 trades$1,4500 min
10/5/2025, 5:59:51 PM3 trades$4,7674 min
10/7/2025, 3:44:40 PM1 trades$1,0000 min
10/7/2025, 4:54:56 PM1 trades$5040 min
10/8/2025, 11:34:04 AM1 trades$1,0000 min
10/8/2025, 12:56:50 PM1 trades$5000 min
10/8/2025, 5:26:57 PM1 trades$1,5000 min
10/9/2025, 7:35:59 AM3 trades$3,0215 min
10/9/2025, 7:47:53 AM1 trades$1,3790 min
10/9/2025, 11:13:19 AM1 trades$170 min
10/10/2025, 7:45:15 AM2 trades$5900 min
10/10/2025, 7:58:43 AM3 trades$3941 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
10-23
11-15
12-06
02-08
03-21
06-14

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
24.3% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.5/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event