Polydata

@Sweltering-Inequality

#16782

0x65018f9fc473f6e920b8929a375d39c26a461220

58d· 55 markets · 1631 tradesVol: $8,043,9262026-07-06T17:39
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

82
Very Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 61%16/20
Profit Factor 2.41x15/15
Sharpe 0.3116/15
Sortino 0.98910/10
EV $+0.97210/10
HHI 35310/10
Profit Days 55%6/10
DD/Peak 17%10/10

Summary

Sweltering-Inequality is a highly active trader on Polymarket, with 1,631 trades across 55 markets over 72 days. Ranked #167 globally by net PnL, they have generated $973,475.15 in profits from a total volume exceeding $8 million. Their smart score of 82/100 reflects strong performance, supported by an exceptional 96.9% win rate and a profit factor above 50,000, indicating consistent profitability. Despite the large profits, their portfolio value remains stable around $300,000, with a low Sharpe ratio of 0.31 suggesting moderate risk-adjusted returns.

This trader demonstrates a clear preference for high-confidence, low-risk trades, as evidenced by their minimal sell percentage (4%) and zero exposure to weather markets. Sweltering-Inequality exhibits a sniper-like trading style, focusing on precision entries and holding positions firmly, which aligns with their diamond hands and DCA master badges. Their timing appears disciplined, avoiding prolonged drawdowns, and maintaining a flat equity trend that shows steady capital preservation rather than aggressive growth.

Sweltering-Inequality’s key strength lies in their remarkably high win rate and consistent profitability, making them a reliable participant on Polymarket. However, the low Sharpe ratio and stable equity trend may indicate limited upside potential or a conservative approach that caps returns. Additionally, the moderate bot score suggests mostly manual trading, which could affect scalability and reaction speed in volatile markets. Overall, this trader balances steady gains with controlled risk, but opportunities for larger swings may be limited.

Badges

8
Sniper
Win Rate 61%
Profitable
PnL $+973,475
Diamond Hands
4% sell
DCA Master
avg 28.5 entries/market
Win Streak
29 wins in a row
Whale
$3,516,195
High Roller
$48,836/day
Cool Head
DD 17%

Categories

1
SPORTS#110$973,475Vol: $8,043,926

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$973,475
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$8,043,926
Total Redeem
$3,301,903
Portfolio
$300,371
Predictions
55
total markets
Trades
1566B / 65S
Daily Volume
$48,836
Account Age
58d
since May 9, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$-2,242
Vol: $286,178
Week
$-2,242
Vol: $772,446
Month
$222,764
Vol: $1,961,130
All Time
$973,475
Vol: $8,043,926

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
62%
31W / 19L events
Realized PnL
$1,526,480
Win Rate
97%
31W / 1L
Profit Factor
50300.99x
Avg Win
$51,880
Avg Loss
$-32

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $458,195 (28.5% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Netherlands vs. Morocco end in a draw?$240,020
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advance$118,277
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-05-23?$99,898
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$96,941
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Team to Advance$88,484
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?$79,715
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?$76,798
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advance$73,576
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?$70,380
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-05-09?$66,144

Top Losers

Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?$-32

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.311
Sortino
0.989
HHI
353
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.972
Kelly %
96.6%
Half-Kelly
48.3%
Top-1 market
8.4%
Top-5 markets
30.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
28.3
Active
Markets / Day
1.0
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
2s
between trades
Avg Gap
41.6m
between trades
Night Trading
2%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.59
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
31.4

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
57% < 3s — suspicious speedSize CV 5.60 — diverse, typical for human2% at night — normal sleep pattern21/24 hours — extended daySession CV 1.46 — human randomness28 trades/day — suspiciously high

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 7:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
28.5
Heavy DCA
<=1
28 entries
<=2
35 entries
<=5
48 entries
<=10
51 entries
<=20
51 entries
<=50
51 entries
>50
4 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1%
Mid (20-55c)79.7%
High (>55c)19.3%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 72.2%

Other$1,608,257

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.1
Events covered
50

Single bracket

<=1
45 brackets
<=2
50 brackets
<=3
50 brackets
<=4
50 brackets
<=5
50 brackets
<=8
50 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
5/9/2026, 4:17:34 PM1 trades$9,8680 min
5/9/2026, 6:33:52 PM264 trades$59,9413 min
5/9/2026, 6:43:02 PM78 trades$22,1291 min
5/9/2026, 10:53:13 PM56 trades$161,4521 min
5/11/2026, 7:33:00 PM218 trades$31,88926 min
5/11/2026, 8:23:17 PM17 trades$49,2460 min
5/19/2026, 7:35:52 PM305 trades$80,9196 min
5/23/2026, 6:38:02 AM2 trades$5060 min
5/23/2026, 7:02:44 AM1 trades$4,5480 min
5/23/2026, 7:14:59 AM575 trades$98,30819 min
5/23/2026, 4:46:57 PM1 trades$202,2800 min
5/28/2026, 5:53:41 PM1 trades$2,0000 min
5/29/2026, 12:37:09 PM5 trades$78,5750 min
5/29/2026, 4:24:38 PM1 trades$57,4740 min
5/30/2026, 4:13:53 PM3 trades$30,0004 min
5/30/2026, 4:32:03 PM1 trades$5,0000 min
5/30/2026, 4:43:13 PM1 trades$14,1330 min
5/30/2026, 5:04:20 PM1 trades$420 min
5/30/2026, 7:07:10 PM1 trades$90,7610 min
6/2/2026, 7:34:22 PM1 trades$17,3710 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-09
05-31
06-12
06-18
06-24
07-03
07-06
07-10

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 28.5/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.1 br/event