Polydata

@Talkative-Dumbwaiter

#91,93899

0x3577763ad9d0d03f8977c74b962df9dea4996eff

196d· 25 markets · 28 tradesVol: $34,7502026-07-18T06:01
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

99
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 96%20/20
Profit Factor 7.32x15/15
Sharpe 0.76914/15
Sortino 128554.98010/10
EV $+1.13310/10
HHI 48710/10
Profit Days 83%10/10
DD/Peak 16%10/10

Summary

Talkative-Dumbwaiter is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, with 28 trades across 25 different markets over 200 days. Despite a relatively low number of trades, the trader has achieved a net PnL of $776.21, ranking #91,938 globally. Their portfolio is currently valued at $1,022.26, and their performance is recognized by an elite Smart Score of 99/100, indicating strong overall trading skills.

This trader favors a diversified approach, engaging in various markets but avoiding weather-related ones entirely. They maintain a low-risk profile, demonstrated by a high win rate of 94.4%, a profit factor of 4.50, and a Sharpe ratio of 0.77. The absence of sell orders and a zero-day max drawdown duration suggest Talkative-Dumbwaiter employs disciplined entry timing, holding positions steadily without frequent exits or losses. Their badges, such as Sniper and Diamond Hands, align with a patient and precise trading style.

Talkative-Dumbwaiter's key strengths include consistent profitability, strong risk management, and steady equity growth. However, the relatively low trade volume and limited market exposure may constrain potential upside. Additionally, the low Bot Score implies manual trading, which could affect scalability and reaction speed in volatile conditions. Overall, Talkative-Dumbwaiter demonstrates reliable performance with some constraints on expansion.

Badges

7
Sniper
Win Rate 96%
Profitable
PnL $+776
Diamond Hands
0% sell
Hedger
avg 4.2 brackets/event
Win Streak
17 wins in a row
Consistent
5/6 days
Cool Head
DD 16%

Categories

2
🎭 CULTURE#778,408$-122Vol: $32,083
📢 MENTIONS#1,371$898Vol: $2,667

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$776
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$34,750
Total Redeem
$1,539
Portfolio
$1,022
Predictions
25
total markets
Trades
28B / 0S
Daily Volume
$9
Account Age
196d
since Jan 2, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$20
Vol: $0
Week
$520
Vol: $1,128
Month
$725
Vol: $2,279
All Time
$776
Vol: $34,750

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
83%
5W / 1L events
Realized PnL
$427
Win Rate
94%
17W / 1L
Profit Factor
4.5x
Avg Win
$32
Avg Loss
$-122

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $188 (44.1% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will anyone say "Ship" 5+ times during House of the Dragon E1 S3?$68
Will anyone say "Queen" 20+ times during House of the Dragon E4 S$66
Will anyone say "Prayer" during House of the Dragon E4 S3?$54
Will anyone say "Bastard" during House of the Dragon E4 S3?$50
Will anyone say "Kingdom" during House of the Dragon E2 S3?$42
Will anyone say "Raven" during House of the Dragon E3 S3?$36
Will anyone say "Raven" during House of the Dragon E2 S3?$33
Will anyone say "Power" during House of the Dragon E2 S3?$30
Will anyone say "Wine" during House of the Dragon E4 S3?$28
Will anyone say "Conquest" during House of the Dragon E4 S3?$25

Top Losers

Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?$-122

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.769
Sortino
inf
HHI
487
Diversified
EV per $1
$1.133
Kelly %
84.4%
Half-Kelly
42.2%
Top-1 market
6.8%
Top-5 markets
29.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
10/24
Normal
Peak Hour
11:00 UTC
Median Gap
13.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
5.4h
between trades
Night Trading
7%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.57
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
20
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.4

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

5 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
MEDIUM
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 792s — typical for humanSize CV 0.57 — diverse, typical for human7% at night — normal sleep pattern10/24 hours — normal hoursSession CV 0.40 — mechanical

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 11:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.1
Single entry
<=1
23 entries
<=2
24 entries
<=5
25 entries
<=10
25 entries
<=20
25 entries
<=50
25 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)10.7%
Mid (20-55c)28.6%
High (>55c)60.7%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 59.8%

Other$427

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
4.2
Events covered
6

Multi-bracket hedger

<=1
2 brackets
<=2
2 brackets
<=3
3 brackets
<=4
3 brackets
<=5
4 brackets
<=8
6 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
1/2/2026, 11:37:17 PM1 trades$1000 min
1/2/2026, 11:57:07 PM1 trades$30 min
1/3/2026, 5:46:47 PM1 trades$190 min
6/19/2026, 2:48:08 AM1 trades$500 min
6/25/2026, 12:21:53 PM1 trades$300 min
6/25/2026, 12:38:44 PM1 trades$350 min
6/26/2026, 2:17:33 PM1 trades$1000 min
7/1/2026, 11:08:13 AM2 trades$201 min
7/2/2026, 2:41:31 AM1 trades$1000 min
7/2/2026, 1:23:38 PM1 trades$1000 min
7/4/2026, 1:22:08 PM1 trades$1000 min
7/8/2026, 4:46:47 PM5 trades$28911 min
7/8/2026, 5:06:20 PM1 trades$500 min
7/8/2026, 5:12:41 PM2 trades$665 min
7/9/2026, 12:21:26 PM1 trades$490 min
7/15/2026, 3:59:46 PM1 trades$1000 min
7/16/2026, 11:57:13 AM1 trades$1000 min
7/16/2026, 10:00:14 PM1 trades$1000 min
7/17/2026, 11:43:04 AM3 trades$2814 min
7/17/2026, 12:00:24 PM1 trades$1000 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-31
06-21
06-28
07-05
07-12
07-19

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.1/mkt
Hedging
MULTI
avg 4.2 br/event