Polydata

@Tart-Kettledrum

#1,564,44610

0x02e1295bba1bca4a63f26a37db071f240436fa25

4d· 14 markets · 26 tradesVol: $362 @onchainsidd2026-05-21T17:23
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

10
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 36%3/20
Profit Factor 0.44x0/15
HHI 11657/10
Profit Days 20%0/10

Summary

Tart-Kettledrum is a relatively new and low-activity trader on Polymarket, with 26 trades across 14 different markets over 15 days. Their current rank is #1,564,446 on the global PnL leaderboard, reflecting a net loss of $6.91 and a portfolio value at zero. With a total trading volume of $362 and a Sharpe ratio of -0.50, Tart-Kettledrum’s trading performance shows an overall downward equity trend and a low Smart Score of 10/100, indicating beginner-level proficiency.

In terms of strategy, Tart-Kettledrum appears to take a contrarian approach, as suggested by their badge and a sell percentage near 46%. They do not focus on weather markets and seem to spread activity across a variety of topics rather than specializing. Their win rate of 35.7% and a profit factor of 0.44 suggest a risk profile that has not yet found consistent profitability. Timing patterns are unclear, but with a short maximum drawdown duration and moderate trading frequency, Tart-Kettledrum may be experimenting with different entry and exit points.

The key strength for Tart-Kettledrum lies in their willingness to engage with diverse markets and maintain active participation despite losses. However, their beginner status, negative profit metrics, and declining equity trend pose significant risks. Continued learning and strategy refinement are needed to improve performance and reduce drawdowns. Overall, Tart-Kettledrum’s data signals a trader in the early stages of development on Polymarket, facing challenges common to novices.

Badges

2
Lottery Player
36% entries <$0.20
Contrarian
86% entries <$0.50

Categories

2
🎭 CULTURE#584,796$-3Vol: $251
CRYPTO#940,519$-4Vol: $112

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-7
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$362
Total Redeem
$4
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
14
total markets
Trades
14B / 12S
Daily Volume
$3
Account Age
4d
since May 17, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-1
Vol: $362
Month
$-7
Vol: $362
All Time
$-7
Vol: $362

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
30%
3W / 7L events
Realized PnL
$-7
Win Rate
36%
5W / 9L
Profit Factor
0.44x
Avg Win
$1
Avg Loss
$-1

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET$2
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$2
XRP Up or Down - May 17, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET$1
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$1

Top Losers

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$-3
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET$-3
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET$-3
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$-1
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$-1
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$-1
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$-1
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?$-0
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.501
Sortino
-0.556
HHI
1165
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.138
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
26%
Top-5 markets
58.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
9.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
4.8
Active Hours
8/24
Normal
Peak Hour
5:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.2h
between trades
Night Trading
42%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.82
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
11
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.4

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

5 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 171s — typical for humanSize CV 0.82 — diverse, typical for human42% at night — bot never sleeps8/24 hours — normal hoursSession CV 0.69 — semi-mechanical

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 5:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1
Single entry
<=1
14 entries
<=2
14 entries
<=5
14 entries
<=10
14 entries
<=20
14 entries
<=50
14 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)35.7%
Mid (20-55c)57.1%
High (>55c)7.1%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 84%

Other$-7

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.4
Events covered
10

Single bracket

<=1
8 brackets
<=2
9 brackets
<=3
9 brackets
<=4
10 brackets
<=5
10 brackets
<=8
10 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
5/17/2026, 6:38:34 AM3 trades$64 min
5/17/2026, 7:27:40 AM1 trades$30 min
5/17/2026, 8:44:43 AM6 trades$1212 min
5/17/2026, 9:02:57 AM1 trades$30 min
5/17/2026, 9:30:11 AM1 trades$40 min
5/18/2026, 4:55:54 AM1 trades$130 min
5/18/2026, 5:11:39 AM5 trades$246 min
5/18/2026, 5:23:20 AM2 trades$60 min
5/18/2026, 11:21:15 AM3 trades$71 min
5/20/2026, 3:09:05 AM2 trades$90 min
5/20/2026, 4:17:33 AM1 trades$20 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-17
05-18
05-20
05-22
06-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
46.2% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.4 br/event