Polydata

@TheGreekTrader

#2,096,77131

0xea2816c989805cf902a68a966aaf269c045a9a65

155d· 18 markets · 26 tradesVol: $5392026-06-26T21:17
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

31
Below Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 71%20/20
Profit Factor 0.42x0/15
HHI 7379/10
Profit Days 40%3/10
DD/Peak 253%0/10

Summary

TheGreekTrader is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, with 26 trades across 18 markets over 37 days. Despite a high win rate of 92.3%, their overall net PnL stands at negative $28.38, placing them at rank #2,096,771 on the global leaderboard. Their total trading volume is $539, and they currently hold no open portfolio value. The trader’s Smart Score is below average at 31/100, reflecting mixed performance metrics.

This trader appears to favor low-risk, high-confidence bets given their high win rate and profit factor of 2219.93. However, their Sharpe ratio of -0.36 indicates returns are not well-compensated for risk taken. TheGreekTrader does not engage in weather markets and tends to hold positions rather than frequently selling, with a sell percentage of 31%. Their trading style is manual and possibly event-driven, as suggested by badges like “Sniper” and “Win Streak”, implying strategic timing to capitalize on specific opportunities.

TheGreekTrader’s strengths lie in disciplined trade selection and a strong winning streak, which helps maintain a positive trade ratio. However, the downward equity trend and negative Sharpe ratio suggest that gains might be offset by occasional losses or poor risk management. Additionally, the low portfolio value and max drawdown duration of zero indicate limited capital deployment and potential issues scaling their strategy. These factors warrant caution despite the promising win rate.

Badges

2
Sniper
Win Rate 71%
Win Streak
11 wins in a row

Categories

3
CRYPTO#910,824$-2Vol: $479
SPORTS#1,430,102$-27Vol: $32
🏛️ POLITICS#394,381$0Vol: $27

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-28
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$539
Total Redeem
$109
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
18
total markets
Trades
18B / 8S
Daily Volume
$7
Account Age
155d
since Jan 22, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-28
Vol: $539

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
71%
12W / 5L events
Realized PnL
$20
Win Rate
92%
12W / 1L
Profit Factor
2219.93x
Avg Win
$2
Avg Loss
$-0

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $10 (49.2% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET$6
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$1

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.361
Sortino
-0.574
HHI
737
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.580
Kelly %
92.2%
Half-Kelly
46.1%
Top-1 market
10.3%
Top-5 markets
47.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
7/24
Normal
Peak Hour
11:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.0h
between trades
Night Trading
0%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.59
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
15
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.7

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

4 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
MEDIUM
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 302s — typical for humanSize CV 0.59 — diverse, typical for human0% at night — normal sleep pattern7/24 hours — normal hours

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 11:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1
Single entry
<=1
18 entries
<=2
18 entries
<=5
18 entries
<=10
18 entries
<=20
18 entries
<=50
18 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)5.6%
Mid (20-55c)22.2%
High (>55c)72.2%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 66.5%

Other$20
Madrid$0

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
18

Single bracket

<=1
18 brackets
<=2
18 brackets
<=3
18 brackets
<=4
18 brackets
<=5
18 brackets
<=8
18 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
2/13/2026, 9:44:35 PM2 trades$213 min
2/13/2026, 9:54:25 PM2 trades$221 min
2/13/2026, 10:00:39 PM2 trades$232 min
2/13/2026, 10:07:39 PM2 trades$53 min
2/13/2026, 10:19:59 PM1 trades$130 min
2/14/2026, 11:02:01 AM2 trades$294 min
2/14/2026, 11:19:55 AM1 trades$10 min
2/14/2026, 11:29:55 AM2 trades$332 min
2/14/2026, 11:41:33 AM1 trades$190 min
2/14/2026, 11:52:55 AM1 trades$200 min
2/14/2026, 1:47:57 PM3 trades$715 min
2/14/2026, 8:14:01 PM4 trades$788 min
2/17/2026, 7:25:09 PM1 trades$270 min
2/26/2026, 6:45:48 PM1 trades$100 min
3/22/2026, 1:12:11 PM1 trades$100 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-13
02-14
02-17
02-26
03-22

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
30.8% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event